@ Wisky Predictions
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No kidding. I think Garza may have missed his last 4. Finished 2-7 from the line. Ouch.
Hope he breaks out of his slump Thursday.
I’m not sure how strong the correlation is on a national scale, but there certainly will be some correlation. In Wisconsin’s case I think it’s magnified due to the offensive skillsets on the team. There is not a strong ability to get to the rim. The majority of shots inside the arc in conference play (55% compared to 42% for Iowa) have been midrange shots, which are made at a clip 20% lower than shots near the rim. Essentially Wisconsin is more reliant on jump shooting to score than most teams, and coupled with consistent outputs defensively, you’ll see W/L record pretty strongly tied to the jump shooting numbers
3P% has dipped down to 32% in conference play, so it has been more of a struggle than earlier in the year
This is what worries me. Iowa gets behind and can't recover, and Wisconsin suffocates Iowa in this case. Because Iowa can't defend well enough to get back in the game. Michigan could, but they have superior D against the 3.
Wisconsin's stats showing offense-related weaknesses won't be relevant enough to secure a win, because our D is not good enough to shut down their offense. We need to press, bother, push them off their game by tying to run them out of the gym. Wear them out.
I thought Wisconsin struggled from 3pt line midway through B1G last year and then got HOT from 3pt line and rode 3pt shooting + easy schedule to share of B1G title. One thing we know is Trice seems to go off vs Iowa and make clutch baskets. Reuvers and Potter ....neither of them has much of a post game compared to Garza and that
is their big problem.
I loved seeing Iowa go off from 3pt line vs MSU but when the reverse happens and an an opponent is making every three pt shot they throw up, it is usually a long night. Assuming Wisconsin gets their 3pt shooting back and shoots 40% from 3pt line vs Iowa, it probably is a dog fight game.
If we can control the tempo and rebound well, then we should be ok IMO. 3/4 court press and hit our FT's. Agree with you on the press. Let's see how the zebras treat us.
We might win by 14 but no way do we score 86 points with the slow game that Wisc. plays...
I want a repeat hawk performance of the msu game, that isn't too much to ask is it? 🙄
Where?
Iowa at Wisconsin - 02/19/21 - DRatings.com
Game Analysis for Iowa at Wisconsin. See our bet values and picks for the money lines, run lines, and over/under for each game.
www.dratings.com
Vegas breakdown says CJ Frederick "Questionable"
They were -1.5 all day yesterday. Moved to even and now Wisconsin -1Where?
Iowa at Wisconsin - 02/19/21 - DRatings.com
Game Analysis for Iowa at Wisconsin. See our bet values and picks for the money lines, run lines, and over/under for each game.
Vegas breakdown says CJ Frederick "Questionable"
Kenpom also has Iowa as a 1 pt favorite
T-Rank says Wisc. -0.8.
Then again.... all the sharps were predicting MSU to cover. lol
Who knows?.... I'll keep my money in my mattress.
The spread doesn't mean anything unless you're betting and I never bet my Hawks...
One team will be feeling a metaphorical nut punch during and after this game, and Wisky will be going home after to put some ice on it.
Always an x factor in these games. Someone no one expects will have a career night and be the difference in the game.
I pick Joe T.
I pick Joe T.
Give me Jack Nunge and/or Keegan Murray.
I think he (either/both) goes off on Potter and Reuvers - inside & out (3ptrs). And also blocks a few shots.
Potter hustles like Garza and plays dirty like Davidson. Nunge and KM more athletic than both of them.
Those seniors are all 23, 24. Arthritis probably setting in to some degree.
So there’s always some scrub level player (or decent but not yet good player I guess) w a career game against the Hawks.
So watch for the Wahl kid to drop 15 in the first half.
So watch for the Wahl kid to drop 15 in the first half.
You just drop this and no one has anything to add or explain?
I wish I had a prediction but I can't figure this Iowa team out. I thought we'd beat Indiana twice ... expected MSU to beat us in E. Lansing ... so I quit trying to predict what they are going to do ...
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