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Trump’s Truth Social lost $58 million in 2023, despite $8 billion valuation

cigaretteman

HR King
May 29, 2001
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Former president Trump’s social media company made just over $4 million in revenue last year, despite a highflying stock market debut last week that sent the company’s value soaring to more than $8 billion.

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Trump Media & Technology Group said in a new Securities and Exchange Commission filing Monday that the company lost more than $58 million last year. Its revenue in the last quarter of the year dipped below $1 million, down from its previous quarter’s earnings of about $1.07 million.

The share price of the company — which uses the stock ticker DJT, for Trump’s initials — plunged 15 percent Monday morning. The drop shaved hundreds of millions of dollars off the company’s market value.

The new financial figures throw into stark relief the gap between Trump Media’s highly hyped investor-driven valuation on the public stock market and the reality of its business performance.


Reddit, the discussion-board service that recently went public and whose shares are trading at lower prices than Trump Media, made more than $800 million in revenue last year.
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Trump Media, which makes money exclusively through advertising on Truth Social, has struggled to gain a broad audience. Truth Social’s website peaked this month at 277,000 U.S. visitors Tuesday, the first day of its public trading, according to estimates from the online analytics firm SimilarWeb. On the same day, Reddit saw more than 32 million U.S. visitors.

Trump invested no money in the company and owns about 60 percent of it — a stake worth about $4.6 billion. SEC filings last week said Trump was given 78 million shares of the company and stood to earn millions more over the next three years if the stock stayed above $12 to $17.


Trump can’t sell the shares for six months due to a provision in the company’s merger agreement, known as a lockup, unless the company’s board approves it. Cashing out early, however, could sink the stock price by flooding the market with shares and undermining investor confidence in Trump’s commitment to the brand, financial analysts said.
The board includes Trump’s son Donald Trump Jr.; Robert E. Lighthizer, Trump’s former trade representative; Linda McMahon, his former administrator of the Small Business Administration; and Kash Patel, who served on Trump’s National Security Council.

Trump Media’s chief executive, the former Republican congressman Devin Nunes, was given 115,000 shares, a stake worth about $6.9 million today. He and other board members are bound by the same lockup agreement.


Nunes is paid a $750,000 salary that is subject to increase to $1 million within two years. The company’s two chief financial officers, Phillip Juhan and Andrew Northwall, are each paid about $350,000. Nunes, Juhan and Northwall will also each receive $600,000 “retention bonuses” this month.
Patel was paid $130,000 last year through a consulting agreement. Dan Scavino Jr., Trump’s White House social media director, was also paid $240,000 last year through a consulting agreement that listed him as an independent contractor, the filing shows. He, too, will be given a $600,000 retention bonus.
The filing shows that Digital World Acquisition, the special purpose acquisition company that merged with Trump Media to take it public, paid $18 million to the SEC as part of a settlement last week.

 
High valued companies lose money all the time (see Uber/Lyft), but if I'm reading correctly, Truth Social only made $4 million in revenue and against $62 million is cost, with no apparent scaling our upward trend in revenue?

That's a huge red flag. I'm surprised it's even listed.
 
High valued companies lose money all the time (see Uber/Lyft), but if I'm reading correctly, Truth Social only made $4 million in revenue and against $62 million is cost, with no apparent scaling our upward trend in revenue?

That's a huge red flag. I'm surprised it's even listed.
It has only a few million users. Compared to say bookface that has billions.
 
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High valued companies lose money all the time (see Uber/Lyft), but if I'm reading correctly, Truth Social only made $4 million in revenue and against $62 million is cost, with no apparent scaling our upward trend in revenue?

That's a huge red flag. I'm surprised it's even listed.

Those companies lose money but have a ton of revenue (and expenses).
 

DJT stock hits turbulence: More volatility ahead for Trump's high-flying Truth Social​




6–8 minutes



They say the bigger they come, the harder they fall. That reckoning always comes eventually for meme stocks ‒ and Trump Media & Technology Group appears to be no exception.
Donald Trump’s namesake social media company burst out of the gate on its first day of trading Tuesday, opening at $70.90 and soaring as high as $79.38 as Trump fans and opportunistic traders bought up shares. But the price faded late in the session and has bounced along at lower levels ever since. As of 10:28 a.m. ET Monday, the stock was trading down 13.3% at $53.70.
Trump Media's market valuation, just over $8 billion, is still stunning for a social media fledgling with an unproven business model that has struggled to attract users and advertisers, burned through cash and racked up losses.
“The valuation of the company should be several hundred million, not the billions it is currently valued at,” University of Florida professor Jay Ritter said.
Thursday’s slide into the red could be just the beginning, market observers say. Ritter predicts the vanity stock ticker DJT will bottom out around $2 a share – or worse.
In this photo illustration, Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump's social media platform Truth Social is shown on a cellphone on Monday in Chicago.

“The stock will continue to be very volatile, with sharp moves up and down. But the long-term trend will be down,” he said. “The company has about $2 in cash per share, but it will probably burn through that money and the most likely outcome is eventual bankruptcy.”
Trump also used a vanity ticker for his Atlantic City casino business, Trump Hotels and Casino Resorts, when it went public in 1995. The company never turned a profit and ended up bankrupt in 2004.

Trump Media trading like meme stocks​

Trump Media’s trading has mimicked meme stocks like GameStop and AMC Entertainment, which rose to improbable heights in 2021 after individual investors organized on social media platform Reddit to drive up the stock price. Those investors aimed to strike back against hedge funds that had bet against the company and shorted the stock.
“It has all the ingredients to be a volatile stock,” said Jonathan Brogaard, a finance professor at the University of Utah who has researched meme stocks.
What’s tricky is predicting when a meme stock will collapse, said Derek Horstmeyer, a finance professor at George Mason University in Virginia, who specializes in corporate finance. The only hard-and-fast rule? “Eventually, it does," Horstmeyer said.
News of Trump Media & Technology Group public trading is seen on television screens at the Nasdaq Marketplace on March 26, 2024 in New York City.

Stock price is still high: Is Trump Media overvalued?​

Like typical meme stocks, Trump Media is overvalued compared with other social media companies, at least by conventional Wall Street standards. It recorded $3.3 million in revenue in the first nine months of 2023 and a loss of $49 million, but its market value is more than 2,000 times its estimated annual revenue compared to Reddit at 10 times, Meta at seven and Snap at six.
“The only way to get to that number is to imagine some sort of immense growth in the platform,” said Brent Goldfarb, a professor at the University of Maryland’s business school and co-author of “Bubbles and Crashes,” a book on financial market bubbles.
But Goldfarb sees "no path to profitability" for Truth Social.
“Unless you believe that Truth Social is the next Facebook or TikTok, I don’t see a reason (for it to be valued this high)," he said.

Truth Social trades on Trump brand, following​

Trump Media’s flagship product, Truth Social, trades on Trump’s personality and brand and, while powerful, that comes with risks. Just ask Trump Media.
In addition to Trump’s "death, incarceration or incapacity," there’s his checkered business history that includes the bankruptcy of the Trump Taj Mahal in 1991 and the Trump Hotels and Casinos Resorts bankruptcy, according to the risk factors listed in a Trump Media regulatory filing.
"A number of companies that were associated with President Trump have filed for bankruptcy," the filing states.

Trump's Truth Social has far fewer users than Facebook, TikTok​

And, unlike other social media and tech companies that trade on the expectation of growth, the number of users of Truth Social has declined.
Trump Media was formed in 2021 after the former president was barred from major social media platforms after the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the Capitol. Truth Social debuted in 2022 as an alternative to Twitter, now known as X, and serves as Trump’s preferred bullhorn.
In February, Truth Social had 5 million desktop and mobile visitors, according to Similarweb, a data and analytics company. Facebook, on the other hand, has 3 billion monthly active users. Truth Social does not release user figures.
“The stock is a way to invest in Trump. The ticker DJT is not a coincidence in any way,” Goldfarb said. “It’s a perfectly above-board way to push money into his pockets.”

Trump supporters are propping up stock price​

Trump supporters banded together on social media to lift the stock even before Trump Media completed the merger with Digital World Acquisition Corp., a special purpose acquisition company, or SPAC, on Monday. It started trading on Tuesday.
Teri Lynn Roberson couldn’t care less about the business fundamentals.
Roberson, 52, from the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex in Texas, said she purchased five shares of Trump Media at about $72 a pop, right around the stock price’s Monday peak, to show her support for the former president.
“It’s mainly to support Trump and his legal battles,” she said.
Horstmeyer expects Truth Social’s stock price to swing 10% or more on a daily basis in the coming months. However, because the stock’s price is based on sentiment, not hard metrics like revenue and cash flow, the pattern is difficult to anticipate.
“It could either go down to $10 or up to $150,” he said. “The only thing I can predict is volatility.”
Republican presidential candidate, former U.S. President Donald Trump, gestures while speaking during the 2024 NRB International Christian Media Convention Presidential Forum on February 22, 2024 in Nashville, Tennessee.

How much is Donald Trump worth with DJT stock gains?​

Trump Media’s Nasdaq debut padded Trump’s wealth by about $5 billion – though only on paper.
And cashing out won’t be easy. Trump Media has restrictions that prevent insiders from selling shares or using shares as collateral for loans for at least six months.
The board which is stacked with Trump allies could waive those restrictions. It could also hold a secondary offering to allow insiders an earlier opportunity to sell.
The risk for Trump Media: If Trump sells shares, it could deflate the stock price.

“Donald Trump has substantial paper wealth in the stock, but the ability to turn it into cash is limited,” Ritter said. “By the time that he can sell shares, the price is likely to be in the single digits. And the more shares that he sells, the lower will be the price.”
 
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Will Trump put in an order to short it, set to one minute after he sells his shares? That would be awesome. Especially if he had his daughter do it then plead ignorance.
 
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High valued companies lose money all the time (see Uber/Lyft), but if I'm reading correctly, Truth Social only made $4 million in revenue and against $62 million is cost, with no apparent scaling our upward trend in revenue?

That's a huge red flag. I'm surprised it's even listed.
Yep. Truth Social has lost subscribers and revenue is down a bit. The only way companies achieve these types of valuations legitimately is if the market forecasts enormous growth (early days of Facebook, Uber, Tesla, etc). This stock does not have that profile. It’s another GameStop.
 
High valued companies lose money all the time (see Uber/Lyft), but if I'm reading correctly, Truth Social only made $4 million in revenue and against $62 million is cost, with no apparent scaling our upward trend in revenue?

That's a huge red flag. I'm surprised it's even listed.
The getting listed part is really odd to me seeing these numbers. I suspect, like so much else in life, they got some insider help on getting this on NASDAQ. And as people lose their ass, those people will probably have some splaining to do. You don’t get to have IPOs on something like NASDAQ with out passing some legitimacy/ not a scam tests. But if any family could, it would be these ghouls.
 
The getting listed part is really odd to me seeing these numbers. I suspect, like so much else in life, they got some insider help on getting this on NASDAQ. And as people lose their ass, those people will probably have some splaining to do. You don’t get to have IPOs on something like NASDAQ with out passing some legitimacy/ not a scam tests. But if any family could, it would be these ghouls.
It was a SPAC. It was already listed.
 
Former president Trump’s social media company made just over $4 million in revenue last year, despite a highflying stock market debut last week that sent the company’s value soaring to more than $8 billion.

Cut through the 2024 election noise. Get The Campaign Moment newsletter.

Trump Media & Technology Group said in a new Securities and Exchange Commission filing Monday that the company lost more than $58 million last year. Its revenue in the last quarter of the year dipped below $1 million, down from its previous quarter’s earnings of about $1.07 million.

The share price of the company — which uses the stock ticker DJT, for Trump’s initials — plunged 15 percent Monday morning. The drop shaved hundreds of millions of dollars off the company’s market value.

The new financial figures throw into stark relief the gap between Trump Media’s highly hyped investor-driven valuation on the public stock market and the reality of its business performance.


Reddit, the discussion-board service that recently went public and whose shares are trading at lower prices than Trump Media, made more than $800 million in revenue last year.
icon-election.png

Follow Election 2024
Trump Media, which makes money exclusively through advertising on Truth Social, has struggled to gain a broad audience. Truth Social’s website peaked this month at 277,000 U.S. visitors Tuesday, the first day of its public trading, according to estimates from the online analytics firm SimilarWeb. On the same day, Reddit saw more than 32 million U.S. visitors.

Trump invested no money in the company and owns about 60 percent of it — a stake worth about $4.6 billion. SEC filings last week said Trump was given 78 million shares of the company and stood to earn millions more over the next three years if the stock stayed above $12 to $17.


Trump can’t sell the shares for six months due to a provision in the company’s merger agreement, known as a lockup, unless the company’s board approves it. Cashing out early, however, could sink the stock price by flooding the market with shares and undermining investor confidence in Trump’s commitment to the brand, financial analysts said.
The board includes Trump’s son Donald Trump Jr.; Robert E. Lighthizer, Trump’s former trade representative; Linda McMahon, his former administrator of the Small Business Administration; and Kash Patel, who served on Trump’s National Security Council.

Trump Media’s chief executive, the former Republican congressman Devin Nunes, was given 115,000 shares, a stake worth about $6.9 million today. He and other board members are bound by the same lockup agreement.


Nunes is paid a $750,000 salary that is subject to increase to $1 million within two years. The company’s two chief financial officers, Phillip Juhan and Andrew Northwall, are each paid about $350,000. Nunes, Juhan and Northwall will also each receive $600,000 “retention bonuses” this month.
Patel was paid $130,000 last year through a consulting agreement. Dan Scavino Jr., Trump’s White House social media director, was also paid $240,000 last year through a consulting agreement that listed him as an independent contractor, the filing shows. He, too, will be given a $600,000 retention bonus.
The filing shows that Digital World Acquisition, the special purpose acquisition company that merged with Trump Media to take it public, paid $18 million to the SEC as part of a settlement last week.


 
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What you are seeing is a classic pump and dump.

Pump and Dump is now trending






From crypto but still useful for understanding this Truth Social scam:

Anatomy of a Pump and Dump.

Because of the recent onchain hype, many influencers are taking advantage of their audience - Here is a recent example.

Many of These assets have low liquidity and low Market Cap.

Injecting just 10-20 thousand of Capital can effectively pump price and begin a larger influx of innocent market participants.

You are then turned from a follower to exit liquidity.



 
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