Lugo was 2 years out of high school when he transferred to Iowa. Silly, silly comparison. Nobody transfers with the intention to get worse.
It has less to do with where Parco is now than how long he's been in school. I would have the same regression and/or injury concerns for him at ASU. It's a long time to compete in college. We see it all the time now.
I think he places, but regression or injury is a real possibility. Same goes for Teemer. And Nelson. Just to use the last couple years of hawks as an example, Spencer, Woods, Marinelli, Kemerer, Cass, and Warner all finished their careers on the downslope compared to previous years, whether it was injury, general wear and tear, or burnout.