Bubble Watch

BigOHawk

HR All-American
Oct 27, 2001
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Kentucky loses 1-0 lead in 8th to a solo HR from Auburn and then goes back to back jacks for a 3-1 lead T9.
 

whatsup13579er

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Oct 13, 2015
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Pitt gained 10 spots in RPI to land at #62 right now, wow.
I think they would have to play their way into the 40s of the RPI to be considered. They would have a long way to go IMO. Clemson, with a better resume, is considered out. Pitt would have to get even with Clemson or close to that.
 

Franisdaman

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Nov 3, 2012
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Sent something to Burke Granger again. He said he felt like Iowa did enough to get included in the D1Baseball field, but evidently the Kendall and the others that build the field didn’t agree.

Start 2-0 and I find it hard to believe Iowa isn’t in. Barring losing to Illinois twice in the semifinals.

that would be very interesting if Iowa started out 2-0 and Illinois came out of the other bracket with 1 loss to face Iowa
 
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AuroraHawk

HR Heisman
Dec 18, 2004
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In other games, Kentucky knocks off Auburn. Kentucky snags 30 RPI points and is up to #51 in RPI but still has a 12-18 record in the SEC.
Alabama is up 3-1 over Arkansas in T4. Alabama would likely be #41 RPI if they win; they are 12-17 in the SEC.

It's almost as if the ACC and SEC teams are collaborating to help maximize the number of bids from the conference.
 

HawkeyeGenius

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In other games, Kentucky knocks off Auburn. Kentucky snags 30 RPI points and is up to #51 in RPI but still has a 12-18 record in the SEC.
Alabama is up 3-1 over Arkansas in T4. Alabama would likely be #41 RPI if they win; they are 12-17 in the SEC.

It's almost as if the ACC and SEC teams are collaborating to help maximize the number of bids from the conference.
I've often had this thought. Happens every year.
 

ssckelley

HR All-State
Oct 11, 2021
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In other games, Kentucky knocks off Auburn. Kentucky snags 30 RPI points and is up to #51 in RPI but still has a 12-18 record in the SEC.
Alabama is up 3-1 over Arkansas in T4. Alabama would likely be #41 RPI if they win; they are 12-17 in the SEC.

It's almost as if the ACC and SEC teams are collaborating to help maximize the number of bids from the conference.
Alabama beating Arkansas would not be good.
 

whatsup13579er

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I think Iowa would be considered solidly in the regionals if that G2 loss wouldn't have happened. Iowa would have finished in 2nd place by themselves.
Not to mention the probably 50 point RPI swing by not getting that last strike.
 

whatsup13579er

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5/26 AM update

*Last 4 In BA, ^Last 4 In D1

Teams safely in a bracket
Coastal Carolina 36-17-1 (21-8-1) 28 RPI vs Troy (100)
Georgia Tech 33-23 (15-15) 27 RPI L 12-6 Pitt (72) and vs L'ville (9)
NCST 35-20 (14-15) 34 RPI W vs WF (11) and W vs Miami (8)
*Louisiana Tech 38-18 (20-10) 45 RPI W vs Charlotte (74), vs ODU (46)

Last 4 In
*Ole Miss 32-22 (14-16) 39 RPI L vs Vandy (5)
*^Alabama 31-25 (12-17) 41 RPI W vs Georgia (12) and W vs Arkansas (36)
*Iowa 32-16 (17-7) 58 RPI vs PSU (146)
^UTSA 35-19 (19-11) 4 RPI vs FAU (92)
^Clemson 35-21 (13-16) 30 RPI L vs UNC (16) and Va Tech (4)
^Old Dominion 38-15 (19-11) 45 RPI W vs MTST (57), vs La Tech (45)

First 4/8 Out
San Diego 33-18 (17-10) 55 RPI W vs SF (154), vs Portland (86)
Louisiana 33-21 (19-11) 59 RPI vs S Bama (66)
-------------------I think there is a pretty clear divide here-------------------
Keennesaw State 32-24 (19-11) 33 RPI L vs Lipscomb (144), L vs Liberty (41), vs FGCU (73)
Penn 33-15 (17-4) 53
Kentucky 31-24 (12-18) 51 RPI W vs Auburn (7), vs LSU (22)

Off the bubble
Mercer 39-16 (12-9) 52 RPI vs Samford (134)
Mid Tenn State 29-24 (17-13) 57 RPI L vs ODU (45)
Pittsburgh 27-26 (13-16) 65 RPI W vs GT (20) vs W L'ville (9)
Illinois 30-20 (17-7) 69 RPI vs Michigan (77)

Ole Miss is done and firmly on the bubble. Ole Miss replaces NCST in BAs last 4 in. Clemson lost and can't advance so they should be out. Penn is likely out after a really good season.

Alabama keeps winning. I don't think they're in yet but another win might just do it. Kentucky still has a lot of work to do. The Sun Belt switched to a single elimination format so there is a greater chance for a bid stealer there.
 

HawkeyeGenius

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If Rutgers goes 0-2 are they on the bubble? That would mean they’d lose to Purdue and Iowa. He 1-3 vs Iowa and 3-7 vs the top five in the league. Not to mention the unreal amount of quad four games they have.
 

BigOHawk

HR All-American
Oct 27, 2001
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Omaha, NE
If Rutgers goes 0-2 are they on the bubble? That would mean they’d lose to Purdue and Iowa. He 1-3 vs Iowa and 3-7 vs the top five in the league. Not to mention the unreal amount of quad four games they have.
I would sure think so, RPI would be in low 50s by then I'd imagine.
 

HawkeyeGenius

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We have struggled every time we've played here offensively it seems, wonder what our best run output is over the history of playing here?
2014: 2,2,1 (1-2 record)
2015: Minneapolis
2016: 8, 5, 11, 7 (3-1 lost in title game)
2017: Bloomington, IN - Iowa won
2018: 1,0 (0-2)
2019: 4,1,0 (1-2)
2020: Season Cancelled
2021: No Tournament (would have qualified)
2022: 2, TBD
 
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Feb 25, 2008
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Iowa #60 RPI. Michigan is worth 22 points if you win.
Explain to me how Maryland is supposedly the 9th ranked team in the country......and Iowa is just as good as Maryland...........and they're a lock for the tourney and we may not even f***ing get in unless we make the BTCG?


RPI is trash, along with East Coast and Southern bias. Just sayin.......Come on now college baseball and NCAA. Do better.
 

whatsup13579er

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Oct 13, 2015
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Lets put a bow on this with some results from the regionals this weekend.

Last 4: combined 2-6
Florida State 0-2
Grand Canyon 0-2
Liberty 0-2
Ole Miss 2-0

Other bubble teams: 3-5 (2 wins vs 4 seeds)
Dallas Baptist 0-2
Georgia Tech 2-2
Wake Forest 1-2

Big Ten: 5-2

Iowa faced 5 tourney teams and went 7-5 against those teams during the season. Those teams have gone 10-7 in regionals.

I think it is safe to say the committee got it wrong, the B1G was undervalued, and Iowa should have been in the field. The ASUN (15) and WAC (19) had no business being multi-bid leagues. DBU barely finished .500 in the 9th best conference. The ACC is not as strong as it was perceived going in to the tourney.
 
Feb 25, 2008
51,512
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Lets put a bow on this with some results from the regionals this weekend.

Last 4: combined 2-6
Florida State 0-2
Grand Canyon 0-2
Liberty 0-2
Ole Miss 2-0

Other bubble teams: 3-5 (2 wins vs 4 seeds)
Dallas Baptist 0-2
Georgia Tech 2-2
Wake Forest 1-2

Big Ten: 5-2

Iowa faced 5 tourney teams and went 7-5 against those teams during the season. Those teams have gone 10-7 in regionals.

I think it is safe to say the committee got it wrong, the B1G was undervalued, and Iowa should have been in the field. The ASUN (15) and WAC (19) had no business being multi-bid leagues. DBU barely finished .500 in the 9th best conference. The ACC is not as strong as it was perceived going in to the tourney.
Hopefully that gets spammed towards the committee, regardless of how little they care..................
 

AuroraHawk

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Dec 18, 2004
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B1G results:

vs. #1 seed: 1-2
vs. #2 seed: 2-0
vs. #3 seed: 1-2
vs. #4 seed: 1-0
Overall: 5-4

vs. ACC: 2-2
vs. Big East: 1-2
vs. Pac-12: 1-0
vs. NEC: 1-0

Against higher seeds: 2-2
Against lower seeds: 3-2
 

whatsup13579er

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B1G results:

vs. #1 seed: 1-2
vs. #2 seed: 2-0
vs. #3 seed: 1-2
vs. #4 seed: 1-0
Overall: 5-4

vs. ACC: 2-2
vs. Big East: 1-2
vs. Pac-12: 1-0
vs. NEC: 1-0

Against higher seeds: 2-2
Against lower seeds: 3-2
Against umps: 0-2

I’m not a conspiracy theorist or ‘it’s rigged’ guy but those two calls against Michigan and Maryland Monday were brutal.
 
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