Iowas best offensive weapons this year are Stanley and Fant , they better at the very least be balanced .
Another "surprise" that the above data supplies is that we, as Iowa fans, have a tendency to assume that our best offenses necessarily correlate to our best OLs. As a case in point where that clearly was NOT the case ... the 2009 season. When Dace was healthy, he was playing like an All-Big 10 contributor. That OL also featured Bryan Bulaga at LT. We also had a young Riley Reiff cutting his teeth at OG (and at OT when Bulaga was out). That 2009 OL was both exceedingly experienced ... and it also haa ton of talent. I won't necessarily say that the '09 OL underperformed ... because there was also a lot of adversity it faced. Specifically, Calloway, Bulaga, and Vandervelde each had preseason injuries heading into the season .... thus, the group was a little nicked up before they even got out of the gates.
In addition, to having pretty impressive personnel on the OL ... we were seemingly pretty well stocked at WR too. We returned experienced guys in DJK, Stross, and Sandeman. Furthermore, McNutt was emerging and Keenan Davis was a promising FROSH (who was a bit of a prodigy out of CR Wash).
Stanzi showed moxy towards the end of the '08 season. Although he was a bit of a game-manager in '08 because of Shonn Greene's strong presence ... we wouldn't have defeated PSU that season without Stanzi's arm. He as poised to take positive steps in '09 ... but little did he anticipate that between Greene's early departure to the NFL and Hampton's blown ACL ... the Iowa O was about to be forced to flow almost entirely through Stanzi. Hence, the advent of the Rick six .... he knew he had to make plays ... it's just that they weren't always for Iowa.
Despite having a great OL (at least on paper) ... having such young and inexperienced RBs really undermined the offensive balance that Iowa prefers. Between the turnovers and the mediocre running game - that likely explains why the Iowa O had so few red-zone visits.
Coach Brown, Alford and unfortunately have to add Tom Izzo on that list now too. I used to respect him greatly and now......not so much. Bruce Pearl is sleazy as well. Brad Underwood and Sean Miller too.You forgot Rick Pitino.
I grew up in the Quad Cities in Iowa, so I know a few Bengal fans who share your pain. A few holdovers from the Kenny Anderson days, when he played at Augustana college before leading the Bengals to the Super Bowl. We need the Bucks and frankly Michigan or PSU to be good, for the prestige of the BIG, (other then any Saturday when they play Iowa of course). Besides it certainly helps Iowa's perception nationally when we have a game like last years. Unfortunately we didn't follow up the next two weeks, but water under the bridge.
I'd like nothing more then another shot at Urban and the boys next December in Indy, so good luck to your Bucks.
Part of it was poor player development under Kennedy. Furthermore, we suffered from pretty massive attrition at WR too. From just one year we lost Parker, Scheel, and J. Smith (following '16). Following '17, we lost Falconer, one of the few remaining Greg Davis era WRs (the very last is Devonte Young).David Bell might also recognize that we are possibly going to start 2 walk-ons at WR, which almost has to be unique amongst P5 universities. The WR talent brought in under the GD days was so bad that the WR room is really underwhelming and he truly could step in and be a big contributor from his true freshman year.
Go where you are needed the most, young man!
In '09, Adam Robinson was a redshirt freshman who had just slid over from safety. Brandon Wegher was fresh from high school and was a true freshman. To say that they were green would be an understatement.I read this, knowing that we have 2 inexperienced running back coming back, and return the vast majority of our recieving core and think we are going to push closer to 50/50. What's going to be funny is we will be 50/50 and some fans will think we went full air raid. Thanks as always homer.
One point I'd disagree on this is that "letting guys go out and play" isn't what gets guys open. How well guys get out of their breaks ... that can not only get a guy open, it can net him STEPS on the defender! Also, if a WR can disguise his assignment - make it look like he's about to block .. and then make a quick cut and bolt up-field ... that can get a guy way-open too.Bell will visit OSU May 20-21. Hope we can get him in for another visit. There are other issues that hinder our high end receiver recruiting add well. A palpable timidity for letting receivers go out and play is obvious to some guys. I'm not saying they should not get.coached up, rather let an athlete play a little. Maybe we Will see more of that from ISM.
No doubt - there is definitely a difference between those reps and those of an every-down starter. However, because they were top back-ups, they also benefitted from prepping for the opponents with the upper teamers (1st and 2nd teamers). Now that they're a year more experienced, they likely know how to better break down film. They know better how to prep for the opponent - especially compared to how our RBs were in '09.Homer I mean no slight to either of them and believe me I want them both to be 1k rushers but to refrence 150 yards 2 TDs in mop up time isnt a big body of work. There is a big difference between running against north Texas/a submitted nebraska and wiscy when the chips are on the table.
Notice I said that they should be coached. All the techniques you touched on would fall into that. Im sure the coaches do this already and should continue to do so. My point is more about the ethos of the program and the rigidity that in some ways may limit the spontaneous improvisation capabilities of a receiver corp or larger team. I would never advocate letting them play in the manner you have portrayed. It less of an X's and O's concept than a atmosphere generated by program leadership (KF). I'm not blaming but I am observing and offering up some interpretation. Folks have touched upon the difference between Fry and Ferentz being Ferentzs' pragmatism. I believe this pragmatism has increased over time. All of the ability to improvise rests with the players ultimately as they are the ones on the field, however I feel unseen limits can end up holding a team/player back because of the mentality/demeanor of a Head Coach. Again, not blaming but constructively criticizing. Before I wax too philosophical I'll sign off this post.One point I'd disagree on this is that "letting guys go out and play" isn't what gets guys open. How well guys get out of their breaks ... that can not only get a guy open, it can net him STEPS on the defender! Also, if a WR can disguise his assignment - make it look like he's about to block .. and then make a quick cut and bolt up-field ... that can get a guy way-open too.
The point being, success at WR is typically predicated upon being on the same wavelength as the QB AND executing exemplary technique. Given the DBs that are out there ... it's pretty rare that a WR can simply just out-speed or out-athlete the defender. As a case-in-point ... look at Desmond King against LSU back in 2013! King was a talented true freshman ... but by most physical metrics, he's never been considered a "burner." All the same, Odell Beckham didn't tear the Hawks a new one either.
I think that many fans often erroneously blame the coaches for particular WRs not getting more targets ... when the truth of the matter is that Iowa's QB has a lot of autonomy. It's usually the Iowa QB who chooses to not pass the ball to a guy. Sometimes that is because the target doesn't have his full trust. Sometimes it's because the QB is being risk averse (which seemed to be all the time when Rudock was our QB). Sometimes it's because the WR simply isn't getting open. Lastly, while being risk averse and trust issues invariably feed into it ... sometimes the Iowa QB, for whatever reason, doesn't feel comfortable throwing the "jump ball." I remember back in 2014, even Marvin McNutt was lamenting (as a fan) how Iowa's QBs were willing to throw more "jump balls" to the WRs.
Hopefully, with guys like Brandon Smith, Noah Fant, and TJ Hockenson, hopefully the Hawks are willing to try a few more "jump balls." However, more importantly, hopefully the WRs go out there and execute great technique too!
If you've read some of my posts concerning my hopes as it relates to the evolution of Stanley's game - the further development of being able to work "off-script" is one of them. This falls precisely in line with what you're saying about improvisation. However, one thing about improvisation in a sport at this level, is that you still need to really know the game. Thus, this both falls in line with what I said before about the WRs and QB being on the same page ... but, furthermore, it falls in line with film study ... and having the players understand what the defensive is doing well enough to know where to go and where to throw.Notice I said that they should be coached. All the techniques you touched on would fall into that. Im sure the coaches do this already and should continue to do so. My point is more about the ethos of the program and the rigidity that in some ways may limit the spontaneous improvisation capabilities of a receiver corp or larger team. I would never advocate letting them play in the manner you have portrayed. It less of an X's and O's concept than a atmosphere generated by program leadership (KF). I'm not blaming but I am observing and offering up some interpretation. Folks have touched upon the difference between Fry and Ferentz being Ferentzs' pragmatism. I believe this pragmatism has increased over time. All of the ability to improvise rests with the players ultimately as they are the ones on the field, however I feel unseen limits can end up holding a team/player back because of the mentality/demeanor of a Head Coach. Again, not blaming but constructively criticizing. Before I wax too philosophical I'll sign off this post.
Curious why the article doesn’t mention Purdue as one of the main contenders seeing as they have the 4 most recent crystal ball picks. I think Brohm’s offense favors WR’s more than Iowa (and on the flip side, Iowa’s offense favors RB’s more than Purdue). I think Purdue and OSU are his top 2 and there’s a pretty solid chance he ends up a boiler.
That's because you are a Purdue fan.
Am I wrong though?
A pro style offense is likely only beneficial to the offensive line and possibly running backs/QB. You are nuts, if you think being a WR and running a pro-style offense benefits you in any way.Bottomline: If David Bell comes to Iowa and is a standout WR, he will see the ball plenty.
He would likely have less competition as compared to OSU=more touches.
He would be in a Pro Style offense which would prepare him best for the NFL, where they play what?.....that's right, Pro Style Offenses.
He would have a good OL, good QB, and healthy running game. All things that help a WR's chances at success. He would learn to become a complete WR.
I think McNutt got plenty of balls thrown his way. Because he played in a manner that justified it.
Curious if anyone here knows of stats source that could tell us what the range of catches (targets would be better) for each teams leading receivers in a big ten game get on average.
Lets say that the leading passers in the Big Ten average 24 out of 36 (66%). On average, how many targets does a leading receiver get? Maybe 10-12 at most? And, doesn't that depend on match ups against the opponents cover guys? Assume Receiver 1 gets covered by Cover Guy 1 as much as possible.
So assume at best 10-12 balls your way, if you are open all the time. That seems like a lot.
My point is top to bottom, that most Big 10 Teams want to run the ball and have a balanced attach. The difference in passing attempts to leading receiver for top 20 receivers in the league can't be that large.
Any given week's Game Plan will determine how many looks you get as a receiver. Opponents Defensive Philosophy, Match ups, etc. Your targets as a receiver could vary wildly, week to week.
I just think this "Prove they Pass the ball" thing is some negative recruiting put in his head. He is thinking about his opportunity all wrong.
My guess is that the average 1 receiver in the Big 10 gets
boiler1987 -Curious why the article doesn’t mention Purdue as one of the main contenders seeing as they have the 4 most recent crystal ball picks. I think Brohm’s offense favors WR’s more than Iowa (and on the flip side, Iowa’s offense favors RB’s more than Purdue). I think Purdue and OSU are his top 2 and there’s a pretty solid chance he ends up a boiler.
With Greg Davis at the helm and with CJ Beathard at QB, the percentages were awfully close to 40-60 pass-rush split. In Brian's first year as OC, that number already shifted up to 43.5% pass.I'm not sure I can break it down to targets per game but there were 9 recievers with more receptions than our leading receiver (easley) which leaves a little to be desired but if we were spreading the ball around wouldnt be a big deal. The problem is our 2nd leading receiver was Fant (28) and there were 30 Big 10 "recievers", including easley, ahead of him. Another way to look at this was of the 6 starting quarterbacks who started and finish the season only Hornibrooke had less attempts than Stanley but he averaged a full yard and a half more per reception, which doesnt sound like much but his average reception was 8.5 yards (aka they run and then play action to a big pass)
A very telling stat was Iowa ran the ball 58% of the time. That isnt balanced. There was a reason our eyeballs were seeing us run into a loaded box so often, Iowa ran the ball, wether ir worked or not. This year that needs to be much closer to 50/50. I dare say if iowa went 50% pass some people would think we turned into Texas tech.
http://www.espn.com/college-football/conferences/statistics/player/_/stat/passing/id/5
A pro style offense is likely only beneficial to the offensive line and possibly running backs/QB. You are nuts, if you think being a WR and running a pro-style offense benefits you in any way.
Thanks for the telling stat. But that helps to make my point I think. Assuming max average of 70 offensive plays, that would be 41 run plays to 29 vs, 35 run / 35 pass at 50%. A swing of 6 run plays, 3 a half. That just doesn't seem to be enough to measure a team's desire to Pass the ball one way or the other.I'm not sure I can break it down to targets per game but there were 9 recievers with more receptions than our leading receiver (easley) which leaves a little to be desired but if we were spreading the ball around wouldnt be a big deal. The problem is our 2nd leading receiver was Fant (28) and there were 30 Big 10 "recievers", including easley, ahead of him. Another way to look at this was of the 6 starting quarterbacks who started and finish the season only Hornibrooke had less attempts than Stanley but he averaged a full yard and a half more per reception, which doesnt sound like much but his average reception was 8.5 yards (aka they run and then play action to a big pass)
A very telling stat was Iowa ran the ball 58% of the time. That isnt balanced. There was a reason our eyeballs were seeing us run into a loaded box so often, Iowa ran the ball, wether ir worked or not. This year that needs to be much closer to 50/50. I dare say if iowa went 50% pass some people would think we turned into Texas tech.
http://www.espn.com/college-football/conferences/statistics/player/_/stat/passing/id/5
With Greg Davis at the helm and with CJ Beathard at QB, the percentages were awfully close to 40-60 pass-rush split. In Brian's first year as OC, that number already shifted up to 43.5% pass.
if you look at the progression of Ricky Stanzi, in O'Keefe's O, the numbers tell the following story:
'08: 38.3-61.7 pass-run
'09: 46.4-53.6 pass-run
'10: 44.3-55.7 pass-run
Given that the Iowa coaches really trusted Wadley and Butler ... AND given that we had RB depth behind them ... that points to me that Brian would have been more willing to lean on his RBs. Given how the numbers played out, that likely impacted the number of rushing touches. Of course, one thing that the above numbers don't account for is the number of designated QB carries that originated as pass-plays. If we assume that the majority of Stanley's carries were either sacks or scrambles - then the pass-run ratio climbs up closer to 47-53.
The intention wasn't to say that Stanley or a hypothetical JT Barrett threw the ball THAT often ... but rather, the point was to reflect the balance of play-calling by the OC. There is no kool aide (or spiked kool-aide per your innuendo) in pointing out the actual distribution of how things were called by Brian.No homo, I heart you homer and if you are ever willing to share whatever it is your drinking I would love a glass. How you just added Stanley's runs to throws is some ultimate kool aid. I agree they put the weight on a proven commodity last year but this year the "proven" will be the WR group. We ran into loaded boxes ALOT, to the point announcers were saying it during games. Stanley needs to air it out more to be balanced and the recievers need to catch the ball to keep drives moving. I would love to see the math you worked up for a JT barrett or a t.tech offense. I'm willing to bet with that mindset JT "threw" the ball 60% and tech would be in the 80s.
Teams that stink and are consistently playing from behind would skew any such stats , having to throw the ball early and often .Curious if anyone here knows of stats source that could tell us what the range of catches (targets would be better) for each teams leading receivers in a big ten game get on average.
Lets say that the leading passers in the Big Ten average 24 out of 36 (66%). On average, how many targets does a leading receiver get? Maybe 10-12 at most? And, doesn't that depend on match ups against the opponents cover guys? Assume Receiver 1 gets covered by Cover Guy 1 as much as possible.
So assume at best 10-12 balls your way, if you are open all the time. That seems like a lot.
My point is top to bottom, that most Big 10 Teams want to run the ball and have a balanced attach. The difference in passing attempts to leading receiver for top 20 receivers in the league can't be that large.
Any given week's Game Plan will determine how many looks you get as a receiver. Opponents Defensive Philosophy, Match ups, etc. Your targets as a receiver could vary wildly, week to week.
I just think this "Prove they Pass the ball" thing is some negative recruiting put in his head. He is thinking about his opportunity all wrong.
My guess is that the average 1 receiver in the Big 10 gets
problem is if you don't have any other good targets on your team, it'll be a lot easier to shut you down as well.......David Bell might also recognize that we are possibly going to start 2 walk-ons at WR, which almost has to be unique amongst P5 universities. The WR talent brought in under the GD days was so bad that the WR room is really underwhelming and he truly could step in and be a big contributor from his true freshman year.
Go where you are needed the most, young man!
A 20 year body of work has indeed proven that the O-line is the strength of KF and the staff. We knew this way back when KF first became head coach. The running attack has been the primary beneficiary of the OL. Would be great to have a real passing attack guru type coach who could integrate the staffs OL acumen with a lethal ability to throw the ball. We have had a number of good receivers despite the NFL draft numbers but, as of late the performance has not been adequate.
Iowas best offensive weapons this year are Stanley and Fant , they better at the very least be balanced .
Many factors to consider. Maybe the skill positions are fine but the OL has sucked and ultimately the program is lacking in that dept. Would that be a result of coaching or not have competent and capable guys playing OL?That is simply a myth that has caught on with a large segment of the fan base. They have developed some very good linemen, but the OLs as a whole have actually been subpar. Check the number of times in the last 20 years that we have led the B10 in rushing, or even finished second or third. Then check how many times we've finished in the bottom half and even 8th or worse. Then check the passing sacks and hurrys.
You now have actual proof rather than imagined proof.
Can he catch the ball consistently? Gotta say aside from our expectation that he becomes a serious outside threat, ISM needs to be returning KO's. He's a serious threat back there.Can he block?