ESPN Bracketology, Updated MARCH 13. IOWA is a 5 Seed in CHICAGO Regional. Bracket Matrix on MARCH 13 has IOWA a 5 Seed. #14 NET Ranking on March 13

[hooper56]

Iowa used to schedule these games but stopped since they wanted more home dates. The more home games the more revenue and Drake & UNI wanted home and away. I'm sure Iowa would schedule them if they agreed to come to Carver every year.

Also we used to do 2 for 1s with some teams where they would play us twice at Carver and once in their arena.

You do not know for a fact that Iowa would NOT sell more tickets if they scheduled better nonconference opponents. But, it sure is worth a try to generate more fan interest AND, more importantly, for NCAA Tournament purposes, it would improve their nonconference schedule strength ranking. Why do you think we are #18 in the NET yet considered an 8 or 9 seed by so many? It's because of our WEAK nonconference schedule.

Your point that Fran & Barta cannot possibly predict the NET rankings of these non conference opponents is flat out wrong. You realize the range for Quad 4 home games is 161-358, right??? Therefore, it does not take a rocket scientist to know that 5 very bad opponents (SE Louisiana , NC Central, Portland State, Alabama State and Western Michigan) were going to be Quad 4 bad. And Iowa scheduled them anyway.

I am not sure how you or anyone can look at the 7 nonconference games that follow and not think we can do better.

And contrary to what you wrote, when you beat 5 of your nonconference opponents by at least 26 points, those 5 teams are most definitely the worst of the worst.


Quad 4:
Home: 161-358
Away: 241-358

7 Nonconference Quad 4 Wins

#197 UMKC (by 32 points)
#221 Western Illinois (by 21 points)
#276 SE Louisiana (by 31 points)
#282 NC Central (by 17 points)
#296 Portland State (by 34 points)
#316 Alabama State (by 26 points)
#336 Western Michigan (by 48 points)

You are right, of course. However, consider this: with the Portal it can be near impossible to predict a team's strength when they bring in a bunch of transfers. Sometimes all it takes is one good transfer to turn a team around. I think it is especially true for the mid majors.

 

[Franisdaman]

Shelby Mast is the Bracketologist for USA Today. His projections are based on how he thinks the committee will make their selections, not how he would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.

On his website he brags that he is one of the most accurate Bracketologists with 15+ years experience and a 98% accuracy rate since 2005.

His bracket was last updated early this morning, March 1, 2022, at 12:15 AM CT.

Shelby now has #8 IOWA (21-8) vs #9 Creighton (19-9) with the winner playing the winner of #1 Baylor (25-5) vs #16 Cleveland State (19-9) / Longwood (23-6).


The 8 B1G teams that he has in:

Seed/Team:
2 Purdue
3 Wisconsin
4 Illinois
5 Ohio State
7 Michigan State
8 IOWA
12 Michigan (Last 4 In/Play in Game)
12 Indiana (Last 4 In/Play in Game)


Last 4 IN - Indiana, Michigan, SMU, North Carolina

First 4 OUT - Memphis, VCU, St Bonaventure, Rutgers (@MrsScrew )

Next 4 OUT - Oregon, Florida, Virginia Tech, Belmont




His Full Bracket & Analysis:

Shelby's Bracket WAG

bracketwag.com

 

[Franisdaman]

As of MARCH 1, 6:00 am CT:


Michigan, our next opponent, gets one of the LAST 4 BYES.

Rutgers & Indiana are part of the LAST 4 IN (in a Play in Game).

Joe Lunardi has #7 Iowa vs #10 Davidson with the winner getting #2 Duke or #15 Longwood.
@Hawksfor3


He has these 9 B1G teams in the NCAA Tournament:

Seed/Team:
2 Purdue
3 Wisconsin
4 Illinois
6 Ohio State
7 IOWA
7 Michigan State
11 Michigan (gets 1 of the LAST 4 BYES)
11 Indiana (part of the LAST 4 IN; in a Play in Game)
12 Rutgers (part of the LAST 4 IN; in a Play in Game) @MrsScrew



Bracket Matrix, which currently combines the results of 119 brackets, has IOWA as a 7 Seed.

Link: http://www.bracketmatrix.com/


Iowa's March 1 nonconference schedule rank (per KenPom): #331 out of 358 teams.

IOWA (#18 NET Ranking on March 1)
1-5: Quad 1
6-3: Quad 2
6-0: Quad 3
8-0: Quad 4
............................................
21-8 Overall Record
===================


Current Quad 1 Records (thru Feb 28 Games):
5-5: Rutgers @MrsScrew
4-8: Michigan
3-6: Indiana
1-5: IOWA



The Full ESPN Bracket:

Zach Edey returning to Purdue shakes up Bracketology in a big way

Kansas remains the clear preseason No. 1, but the Boilermakers have slipped in behind the Jayhawks as a probable repeat 1-seed with revenge on their minds.

www.espn.com

 

[WadeLookingbill]

If Hawks want to be assured of avoiding the 8/9 line have to win at Michigan. Hopefully MSU becomes Quad 1 as well and @ Michigan win gives them 3 Quad 1 wins, and then that resume wart is a non-issue, and at worst a high 7. @ Michigan is a pretty important game for any dreams of the second weekend (a nice problem to have!).

 

[Franisdaman]

Mike DeCourcy is a Sporting News college hoops columnist and a Big Ten Network studio analyst.

He does a Bracket Forecast for Fox Sports.

He has Indiana as part of his LAST 4 IN (play in game).

He has Rutgers as part of his FIRST 4 OUT. @MrsScrew


The 8 B1G teams he has in the NCAA Tournament:

Seed/Team:
2 Wisconsin
3 Purdue
4 Illinois
6 Ohio State
7 IOWA
7 Michigan State
11 Michigan
12 Indiana (LAST 4 IN; play in game)



His Full Bracket:

 

[HawkAssassin]

Lol, you really think Fran built this schedule to optimize chances for the NIT? I don’t think you know Fran. The logical gymnastics some people will go through to validate their prejudice is impressive.

Fans always complaining about our schedule but what Fran did this year was perfect for this team. Built some confidence and experience and allowed him to experiment. And our seeding will not suffer. If we’d played better teams in December, we would have lost - see ISU, Purdue, Illinois. Losing doesn’t help your seed.

You’re assuming that Iowa would’ve lost games in December. They beat two teams in the 50-100 range away from home. Were competitive against two top 15 teams. There was only one clunker and it came in the toughest environment we play in.

I don’t think Iowa’s quad 1 record is what it is because they can’t beat good teams. They didn’t give themselves enough opportunities against teams they matchup well against and could beat. Ohio St is top 15, but they’re not a bad matchup so Iowa was fine.

They put themselves in a position where a good chunk of their quad 1 games came against teams like Purdue and Illinois who they can’t realistically guard size wise.

 

[TheTruthTheWholeTruth]

The 1 and 2 seeds are interchangeable imo. It would really benefit Iowa if they could scratch and claw their way to that 6 line. Iowa would currently be a 3 point dog to everyone listed as a current 3 on bracketmatrix except Wisconsin where iowa would be favored. It’s rare to get a conference opponent in the R32 although MSU played Minnesota a few years back. Let’s keep it rolling, boys!

 

[Iafootballfan]

Houston being #4 in NET but not even in the top 16 from the committee's release shows how much they are valuing Quad 1 wins. We are in the same boat as Houston needing to get 1 or two more to avoid being seeded too far below our analytical equivalent.

 

[Franisdaman]

The 1 and 2 seeds are interchangeable imo. It would really benefit Iowa if they could scratch and claw their way to that 6 line. Iowa would currently be a 3 point dog to everyone listed as a current 3 on bracketmatrix except Wisconsin where iowa would be favored. It’s rare to get a conference opponent in the R32 although MSU played Minnesota a few years back. Let’s keep it rolling, boys!

if we got to a 6 seed that would be phenomenal

 

[Franisdaman]

Houston being #4 in NET but not even in the top 16 from the committee's release shows how much they are valuing Quad 1 wins. We are in the same boat as Houston needing to get 1 or two more to avoid being seeded too far below our analytical equivalent.

It is interesting. Houston, right now, is considered a borderline 4/5 seed.

And Houston's resume vs Iowa's?

Here are their Current NET Rankings, Through Feb 28, 2022 Games:


Rank..Previous..Record...Road..Neutral..Home..Quad1...Quad 2...Quad 3...Quad 4

4

3

Houston

AAC

24-4

7-2

3-1

14-1

0-3

8-1

9-0

7-0

18

18

Iowa

Big Ten

21-8

5-5

1-0

15-3

1-5

6-3

6-0

8-0

 

[fezzador]

You’re assuming that Iowa would’ve lost games in December. They beat two teams in the 50-100 range away from home. Were competitive against two top 15 teams. There was only one clunker and it came in the toughest environment we play in.

I don’t think Iowa’s quad 1 record is what it is because they can’t beat good teams. They didn’t give themselves enough opportunities against teams they matchup well against and could beat. Ohio St is top 15, but they’re not a bad matchup so Iowa was fine.

They put themselves in a position where a good chunk of their quad 1 games came against teams like Purdue and Illinois who they can’t realistically guard size wise.

Iowa is a better team now than it was in mid-December or even on February 1st. The drubbing in Hilton was definitely discouraging and I think a lot of folks were more or less resigned to an NIT-bound postseason. However, that game also came off two heartbreaking losses against Purdue and Illinois so team morale might not have been very high at that point.

Outside of the Michigan game, Iowa has had a terrific February. Even with Keegan going Keegan, JBo moving back to the point and Connor having success shooting the ball, Iowa is still flying a bit under the radar both nationally and within the B1G. They aren't going to win the conference title but that doesn't mean that they have nothing to play for - they absolutely do. They have two difficult, but winnable, games at Michigan and Illinois to close out the season. Splitting those games is a reasonable and realistic goal, but winning both can get Iowa off the 7/8/9/10 lines for good.

 

[fezzador]

The 1 and 2 seeds are interchangeable imo. It would really benefit Iowa if they could scratch and claw their way to that 6 line. Iowa would currently be a 3 point dog to everyone listed as a current 3 on bracketmatrix except Wisconsin where iowa would be favored. It’s rare to get a conference opponent in the R32 although MSU played Minnesota a few years back. Let’s keep it rolling, boys!

Nobody on that 3 line that Iowa can't beat. Purdue is a liability defensively - if Iowa even pretends to play at its current defensive level, they can absolutely win a rematch.

 

[truehawkfan45]

If we beat Michigan, lose to Illinois, and win our first game in the BTT.. I genuinely do not understand how we’re still on the 7 line. If we can squeak out one more win, I honestly think they have a case for a 5 seed.

If the NCAA screws us with a 7 seed and top-flight 2 seed, they just need to say they really hate seeing iowa be successful and call it a day. They owe us a favorable draw, we are more than overdue. Not once have they give us a decent draw under Fran!

 

[DirtyJohns97]

If we beat Michigan, lose to Illinois, and win our first game in the BTT.. I genuinely do not understand how we’re still on the 7 line. If we can squeak out one more win, I honestly think they have a case for a 5 seed.

If the NCAA screws us with a 7 seed and top-flight 2 seed, they just need to say they really hate seeing iowa be successful and call it a day. They owe us a favorable draw, we are more than overdue. Not once have they give us a decent draw under Fran!

Last years draw was fine, it just turned out the Pac12 was way better than anyone thought. I was super happy when they paired us with Kansas as a 3 seed.

 

[Hawksfor3]

Joe Lunardi has #7 Iowa vs #10 Davidson with the winner getting #2 Duke or #15 Longwood.

Didn't we go down that road before? 😠

 

[ssckelley]

It is interesting. Houston, right now, is considered a borderline 4/5 seed.

And Houston's resume vs Iowa's?

Here are their Current NET Rankings, Through Feb 28, 2022 Games:


Rank..Previous..Record...Road..Neutral..Home..Quad1...Quad 2...Quad 3...Quad 4

4

3

Houston

AAC

24-4

7-2

3-1

14-1

0-3

8-1

9-0

7-0

18

18

Iowa

Big Ten

21-8

5-5

1-0

15-3

1-5

6-3

6-0

8-0

I think Iowa‘s resume is about as good.

 

[NI hawk]

The 1 and 2 seeds are interchangeable imo. It would really benefit Iowa if they could scratch and claw their way to that 6 line. Iowa would currently be a 3 point dog to everyone listed as a current 3 on bracketmatrix except Wisconsin where iowa would be favored. It’s rare to get a conference opponent in the R32 although MSU played Minnesota a few years back. Let’s keep it rolling, boys!

Minnesota and MSU were allowed to meet in 2nd round because they only met once during the regular season. If two teams from same conference play twice during season they keep them separated.

 

[TheTruthTheWholeTruth]

Minnesota and MSU were allowed to meet in 2nd round because they only met once during the regular season. If two teams from same conference play twice during season they keep them separated.

Yeah, I know

 

[NI hawk]

Yeah, I know

Never said otherwise.

 

[TheTruthTheWholeTruth]

Never said otherwise.

Well you quoted me and then explained why….soooo

 

[Franisdaman]

We have a couple Quad 1 opportunities coming up.

IOWA (#18 NET Ranking on March 2)
1-5: Quad 1
6-3: Quad 2
7-0: Quad 3
7-0: Quad 4
............................................
21-8 Overall Record
====================


The remaining 2 games:
March 3 at #32 NET Michigan.... (Quad 1: Away vs 1-75)
March 6 at #14 NET Illinois.........(Quad 1: Away vs 1-75)


Here are the Current NET Rankings, Through March 1, 2022 Games:


Rank..Previous..Record...Road..Neutral..Home..Quad1...Quad 2...Quad 3...Quad 4

13	12	Purdue	Big Ten	24-6	5-5	4-0	15-1	7-5	4-1	7-0	6-0
14	14	Illinois	Big Ten	20-8	7-4	2-1	11-3	5-5	6-3	5-0	4-0
18	18	Iowa	Big Ten	21-8	5-5	1-0	15-3	1-5	6-3	7-0	7-0
20	21	Wisconsin	Big Ten	24-5	9-2	3-0	12-3	8-3	8-1	4-1	4-0
22	20	Ohio St.	Big Ten	18-9	5-6	1-1	12-2	5-5	4-3	6-1	3-0
32	37	Michigan	Big Ten	16-12	4-7	2-1	10-4	4-8	3-3	6-1	3-0
38	33	Michigan St.	Big Ten	19-10	5-5	3-2	11-3	4-7	7-2	5-1	3-0
43	43	Indiana	Big Ten	18-10	3-7	1-0	14-3	3-6	3-4	5-0	7-0
81	82	Rutgers	Big Ten	16-12	3-9	0-0	13-3	5-5	3-4	3-2	5-1
83	84	Northwestern	Big Ten	12-15	3-8	1-1	8-6	1-10	2-3	3-2	6-0
90	90	Maryland	Big Ten	14-15	3-6	2-1	9-8	2-8	5-3	3-4	4-0
94	94	Penn St.	Big Ten	12-14	1-8	1-1	10-5	1-8	3-4	4-2	4-0
103	104	Minnesota	Big Ten	13-14	3-7	2-0	8-7	2-10	0-3	6-1	5-0
148	166	Nebraska	Big Ten	9-21	2-8	0-1	7-12	1-10	1-6	1-4	6-1

 

[Franisdaman]

We currently have just ONE Quad 1 win.

What's interesting is that we could have had up to 4 more Quad 1 wins if these 4 teams had not struggled so much:

#38 Michigan State
#43 Indiana
#68 Utah State (neutral site)
at #79 Virginia

Note that both Nebraska wins are now QUAD 3.

Here's the current breakdown of our 21-8 record:

Quad 1 (1-5):
Home: 1-30
Away: 1-75

Wins
AT #22 Ohio State (13 point win)

Losses
#13 Purdue
#14 Illinois
AT #13 Purdue
AT #20 Wisconsin
AT #35 Iowa State


Quad 2 (6-3):
Home: 31-75
Away: 76-135
Neutral: 51-100

Wins
#38 Michigan State (by 26 points)
#43 Indiana
#68 Utah State (Neutral, by 19 points)
AT #79 Virginia
AT #90 Maryland (by 23 points)
AT #103 Minnesota (by 10 points)

Losses
#32 Michigan
AT #81 Rutgers
AT #94 Penn State


Quad 3 (7-0):
Home: 76-160
Away: 136-240

Wins
#94 Penn State (by 17 points)
#90 Maryland
#103 Minnesota (by 12 points)
#143 Longwood (by 33 points)
#83 Northwestern (by 21 points)
#148 Nebraska (by 23 points)
AT #148 Nebraska (by 10 points)

Losses
NONE

Quad 4 (7-0):
Home: 161-358
Away: 241-358

Wins
#328 Western Michigan (by 48 points)
#319 Alabama State (by 26 points)
#296 NC Central (by 17 points)
#289 Portland State (by 34 points)
#264 SE Louisiana (by 31 points)
#227 Western Illinois (by 21 points)
#196 UMKC (by 32 points)

Losses
NONE

 

[ChiHawk21]

We HAVE to, and can, win one of these final two.

 

[Ronman]

If it costs Iowa 1 or 2 seed lines, then no it wasn't perfect for this team. Reasonable people can disagree on that opinion. I get playing a couple of really terrible teams. I don't agree with playing 6-7 of them like Iowa did.

Fran deserves all the kudos that will come his way for the season when they end up making the NCAA tournament. He will have coached 4 straight tournament teams (assuming Iowa makes it here in 22). There was no tournament in 2020, but Iowa was in the tournament. Getting to 4 straight tournaments at Iowa is not given and has not happened since 1985-89.

Just wanted to show not a Fran-hater. One can respect the job he has done while still pointing items out. Who knows, this could be the team that makes it past the first weekend of the NCAA tournament. This team really seems to be together, can't put a price on that.

Weak schedule or not, the computers seem to really like Iowa and, in this day and age, that seems to be a huge advantage for us.

 

[Franisdaman]

Big match up tonight as both Iowa & Michigan are looking to add another Quad 1 victory to their resumes.

And why is Michigan, at just 16-12, still clearly on the bubble?

And why is #17 NET Iowa only projected as a 7 or 8 seed?

For starters, all you have to do is look at their KenPom Nonconference Strength of Schedules:

#330: Iowa
#23: Michigan


IOWA (#17 NET Ranking)
1-6: Quad 1
6-2: Quad 2
7-0: Quad 3
7-0: Quad 4
..........................................
21-8 Overall Record
==================


Michigan (#32 NET Ranking)
4-9: Quad 1
4-2: Quad 2
5-1: Quad 3
3-0: Quad 4
..........................................
16-12 Overall Record
==================

 

[HawknBadgerLand]

We currently have just ONE Quad 1 win.

What's interesting is that we could have had up to 4 more Quad 1 wins if these 4 teams had not struggled so much:

#38 Michigan State
#43 Indiana
#68 Utah State (neutral site)
at #79 Virginia

Note that both Nebraska wins are now QUAD 3.

Here's the current breakdown of our 21-8 record:

Quad 1 (1-5):
Home: 1-30
Away: 1-75

Wins
AT #22 Ohio State (13 point win)

Losses
#13 Purdue
#14 Illinois
AT #13 Purdue
AT #20 Wisconsin
AT #35 Iowa State


Quad 2 (6-3):
Home: 31-75
Away: 76-135
Neutral: 51-100

Wins
#38 Michigan State (by 26 points)
#43 Indiana
#68 Utah State (Neutral, by 19 points)
AT #79 Virginia
AT #90 Maryland (by 23 points)
AT #103 Minnesota (by 10 points)

Losses
#32 Michigan
AT #81 Rutgers
AT #94 Penn State


Quad 3 (7-0):
Home: 76-160
Away: 136-240

Wins
#94 Penn State (by 17 points)
#90 Maryland
#103 Minnesota (by 12 points)
#143 Longwood (by 33 points)
#83 Northwestern (by 21 points)
#148 Nebraska (by 23 points)
AT #148 Nebraska (by 10 points)

Losses
NONE

Quad 4 (7-0):
Home: 161-358
Away: 241-358

Wins
#328 Western Michigan (by 48 points)
#319 Alabama State (by 26 points)
#296 NC Central (by 17 points)
#289 Portland State (by 34 points)
#264 SE Louisiana (by 31 points)
#227 Western Illinois (by 21 points)
#196 UMKC (by 32 points)

Losses
NONE

How HUGE were these losses?
Losses
#32 Michigan
AT #81 Rutgers
AT #94 Penn State

 

[EpenesaEpenesa]

How HUGE were these losses?
Losses
#32 Michigan
AT #81 Rutgers
AT #94 Penn State

Painful. They're the difference between Iowa being .5 game outta first place right now

 

[ssckelley]

Big match up tonight as both Iowa & Michigan are looking to add another Quad 1 victory to their resumes.

And why is Michigan, at just 16-12, still clearly on the bubble?

And why is #17 NET Iowa only projected as a 7 or 8 seed?

For starters, all you have to do is look at their KenPom Nonconference Strength of Schedules:

#330: Iowa
#23: Michigan


IOWA (#17 NET Ranking)
1-6: Quad 1
6-2: Quad 2
7-0: Quad 3
7-0: Quad 4
..........................................
21-8 Overall Record
==================


Michigan (#32 NET Ranking)
4-9: Quad 1
4-2: Quad 2
5-1: Quad 3
3-0: Quad 4
..........................................
16-12 Overall Record
==================

Good point, Michigan should not schedule such a tough non conference and they’d probably be projected a 8 or 9 seed instead of being on the bubble.

 

[Franisdaman]

How HUGE were these losses?
Losses
#32 Michigan
AT #81 Rutgers
AT #94 Penn State

what could have been, huh?

the good news, I guess, is we got our second quad 1 win tonight

 

[Franisdaman]

Painful. They're the difference between Iowa being .5 game outta first place right now

and maybe a 4 or 5 seed?

 

[Franisdaman]

Good point, Michigan should not schedule such a tough non conference and they’d probably be projected a 8 or 9 seed instead of being on the bubble.

they have some weird/bad losses, too:

2 pt home loss to Seton Hall
14 pt loss at UCF
10 pt home loss to Minny
21 pt loss to UNC
8 pt loss at Rutgers

 

[Franisdaman]

Can we do better than a 7 seed?

 

[ssckelley]

Can we do better than a 7 seed?

View embedded media

They’ve earned it

 

[Franisdaman]

They’ve earned it

i don't expect to win at Illinois, but who knows....

and would we have to go better than 1-1 in the BTT to go from a 7 to a 6?

 

[ssckelley]

i don't expect to win at Illinois, but who knows....

and would we have to go better than 1-1 in the BTT to go from a 7 to a 6?

Good question, losing at Illinois will not hurt them unless it’s a blowout. If they lose to Illinois then I think they need to go at least 1-1 to get the 6. But a win at Illinois would make them a lock to get a 6 or better seed and the BTT is gravy.

 

[Franisdaman]

As of MARCH 4, 6:00 am CT:


Michigan gets one of the LAST 4 BYES.

Rutgers is part of the LAST 4 IN (in a Play in Game). @MrsScrew

Indiana is one of the FIRST 4 OUT.

Joe Lunardi has #6 Iowa vs #11 Xavier / Memphis with the winner getting #3 Villanova or #14 Princeton.


He has these 8 B1G teams in the NCAA Tournament:

Seed/Team:
2 Wisconsin
3 Purdue
4 Illinois
6 IOWA
6 Ohio State
7 Michigan State
11 Michigan (gets 1 of the LAST 4 BYES)
12 Rutgers (part of the LAST 4 IN; in a Play in Game)



Bracket Matrix, which currently combines the results of 112 brackets, has IOWA as a 7 Seed.

Link: http://www.bracketmatrix.com/


Iowa's March 4 nonconference schedule rank (per KenPom): #328 out of 358 teams.

IOWA (#15 NET Ranking on March 4)
2-6: Quad 1
6-2: Quad 2
7-0: Quad 3
7-0: Quad 4
............................................
22-8 Overall Record
===================


Current Quad 1 Records (thru March 3 Games):
6-5: Rutgers
4-10: Michigan
2-6: Indiana
2-6: IOWA



The Full ESPN Bracket:

Zach Edey returning to Purdue shakes up Bracketology in a big way

Kansas remains the clear preseason No. 1, but the Boilermakers have slipped in behind the Jayhawks as a probable repeat 1-seed with revenge on their minds.

www.espn.com

 

[Franisdaman]

We have one more Quad 1 opportunity coming up at Illinois.

IOWA (#15 NET Ranking on March 4)
2-6: Quad 1
6-2: Quad 2
7-0: Quad 3
7-0: Quad 4
............................................
22-8 Overall Record
====================


The remaining road games:
March 6 at Illinois (Quad 1: Away vs 1-75)


Here are the Current NET Rankings, Through March 3, 2022 Games:


Rank..Previous..Record...Road..Neutral..Home..Quad1...Quad 2...Quad 3...Quad 4

13	13	Purdue	Big Ten	24-6	5-5	4-0	15-1	7-6	5-0	6-0	6-0
14	14	Illinois	Big Ten	21-8	7-4	2-1	12-3	5-6	7-2	5-0	4-0
15	17	Iowa	Big Ten	22-8	6-5	1-0	15-3	2-6	6-2	7-0	7-0
20	20	Wisconsin	Big Ten	24-5	9-2	3-0	12-3	9-3	7-2	4-0	4-0
21	22	Ohio St.	Big Ten	19-9	5-6	1-1	13-2	5-6	5-2	6-1	3-0
34	32	Michigan	Big Ten	16-13	4-7	2-1	10-5	4-10	4-2	5-1	3-0
40	35	Michigan St.	Big Ten	19-11	5-6	3-2	11-3	4-9	7-1	5-1	3-0
45	45	Indiana	Big Ten	18-11	3-7	1-0	14-4	2-6	4-5	5-0	7-0
75	75	Rutgers	Big Ten	17-12	4-9	0-0	13-3	6-5	3-4	3-2	5-1
82	83	Northwestern	Big Ten	12-15	3-8	1-1	8-6	1-10	3-3	2-2	6-0
86	87	Maryland	Big Ten	15-15	3-6	2-1	10-8	3-8	4-4	4-3	4-0
95	94	Penn St.	Big Ten	12-15	1-9	1-1	10-5	1-9	4-4	3-2	4-0
106	107	Minnesota	Big Ten	13-15	3-8	2-0	8-7	2-10	1-4	5-1	5-0
147	148	Nebraska	Big Ten	9-21	2-8	0-1	7-12	1-11	1-6	1-3	6-1

 

[Franisdaman]

Shelby Mast is the Bracketologist for USA Today. His projections are based on how he thinks the committee will make their selections, not how he would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.

On his website he brags that he is one of the most accurate Bracketologists with 15+ years experience and a 98% accuracy rate since 2005.

His bracket was last updated early this morning, March 4, 2022, at 1:05 AM CT.

He has Indiana as part of the FIRST 4 OUT.

Shelby now has #7 IOWA (22-8) vs #10 Davidson (25-4) with the winner playing the winner of #2 Kentucky (24-6) vs #15 Long Beach State (17-11).


The 8 B1G teams that he has in:

Seed/Team:
2 Purdue
3 Wisconsin
4 Illinois
6 Ohio State
7 IOWA
8 Michigan State
12 Michigan (Last 4 In/Play in Game)
12 Rutgers (Last 4 In/Play in Game)



Last 4 IN - SMU, Rutgers, North Carolina, Michigan

First 4 OUT - Memphis, VCU, Indiana, Florida

Next 4 OUT - St Bonaventure, Virginia Tech, Belmont, Dayton




His Full Bracket & Analysis:

Shelby's Bracket WAG

bracketwag.com

 

[83Hawk]

Iowa should have definitely played their way off any chance at the 8/9 line with last nights win.

 

[Franisdaman]

Iowa should have definitely played their way off any chance at the 8/9 line with last nights win.

we could lose at Illinois and go from the 4 seed in the BTT to the 6, assuming Rutgers & tOSU win.

If that happened...

Projected Final B1G Standings:

16-4 Wisconsin (vs Nebby)
15-5 Illinois (vs Iowa)
14-6 Purdue (vs Indiana)
13-7 Ohio State (vs Michigan)
.............................................................

12-8 Rutgers (vs Penn State)
12-8 Iowa (at Illinois)