According to the CBO report, the CBO is estimating that a $15 federal minimum wage would cost 1.4 million jobs by 2025 and increase the deficit by $54 billion over ten years, however the CBO report also estimates that increasing the minimum wage would lift 900,000 people out of poverty and raise income for 17 million people — about one in ten workers:
If the Raise the Wage Act of 2021 was enacted in March 2021, the cumulative budget deficit over the 2021–2031 period would increase by $54 billion.
www.cbo.gov
February 8, 2021
Raising the minimum wage to $15-an-hour would significantly reduce poverty and increase earnings for millions of low wage workers, while adding to the federal deficit and cutting overall employment, according to a new study from the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office.
The
report is sure to animate the already heated debate whether to include raising the federal minimum wage in a budget resolution to help the sputtering economic recovery and aid vaccine distribution amid the pressures of the pandemic.
On one hand, the CBO estimated that raising the minimum wage to $15 an hour would cost 1.4 million jobs by 2025 and increase the deficit by $54 billion over ten years.
But it also estimated the policy change would lift 900,000 people out of poverty and raise income for 17 million people — about one in ten workers. Another 10 million who have wages just above that amount could potentially see increases as well, the CBO noted.
The net pay going to the country’s workers would grow substantially, by $333 billion, as the increase in pay for workers would more than double the amount subtracted by the workers who lose their job, according to the estimate.
The minimum wage proposal has split the more liberal wing of the Democratic Party from moderates such as Sen. Joe Manchin III (D-W.Va.), who has said that he does not support the proposal.
The existing federal minimum wage, at $7.25 an hour, has not been changed since 2009 and remains below historic levels when adjusted for inflation, despite gains in worker productivity.
Supporters of increasing the minimum wage highlighted the CBO’s findings about poverty reduction.
“Today’s report makes clear what we’ve known all along: raising the minimum wage—which hasn’t increased since 2009—to $15 an hour isn’t just the right thing to do, it’s good policy ,” Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA), chair of the Senate’s Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions committee, said in a statement.