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Fran vs Tom Davis

I’ll disagree on the cupboard situation. Having incoming recruits alone instantly makes now better than an entire year without recruiting. Add in the portal now, versus how transfers worked in 1999 also makes it less of an issue.

Actual players on the roster, I’d also give the advantage to the the 2023 roster vs 1999 even assuming that Kris is going to the NBA. Dean Oliver may be the best name listed below, but 2023 is set up better as a whole and I don’t think it’s really that close.

1999:
Dean Oliver - Jr
Jacob Jaacks - Sr
Duez Henderson - So
Rod Thompson - So
Kyle Galloway (injury issues) - So
Ryan Luehrsmann - Sr

2023:
Tony Perkins
Ahron Ulis
Payton Sandfort
Patrick McCaffery
Dasonte Bowen
Josh Dix
Riley Mulvey
Josh Ogundele

Incoming:
Pryce Sandfort
Owen Freeman
Brock Harding
Ladji Dembele

Getting a couple of bigs out of the portal will be the key, IMO.
Well, you can’t really compare the exit of Davis to this year for Fran if you’re trying to compare the two. First, you have the dead year of recruiting once Dr. Tom was declared a lame duck. Second, that 1999 roster has no bearing on anything Fran ever did since there were two coaches in between.
 
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And no regular season championships and no Sweet Sixteen's to show for it.
Jon Gries Dr Roberts GIF by DREAM CORP LLC
Let’s also be real about where Iowa is as a program.

Fran McCaffery: 0 regular season championships, 0 Sweet 16
Todd Lickliter: 0 regular season championships, 0 Sweet 16
Steve Alford: 0 regular season championships, 0 Sweet 16
Tom Davis: 0 regular season championships, 3 Sweet 16
George Raveling: 0 regular season championships, 0 Sweet 16
Lute Olsen: 1 regular season championships, 2 Sweet 16
Dick Schultz: 0 regular season championships, 0 Sweet 16

That’s 50+ years of Iowa hoops history - 1 B1G regular season championship, 5 Sweet 16s.
 
Cook, Garza and Weiskamp all played on the same team as well. Marble and Horton were great Hawks but did nothing in the NBA. Luka has had by far the most decorated college career of any of those guys. Obviously BJ and Gamble had successful pro careers. Lohaus as well, though Lohaus developed 100% under Dr Toms system. Keegan is on his way to making the all rookie team and will probably have a better pro career than any of Dr Toms guys.
 
He's a liar.
If it were true there'd be all kinds of videos floating around. Everyone has a cell phone and surely it would be recorded and posted within minutes about them going off at a high school game
Bullshit. Talk to West fans that aren’t Fran butt lickers. (If you don’t believe me)
 
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As a person I would totally agree with all of this. I liked Tom as a person and have always been a Hawk fan. He did have his shortcomings as a coach though. His half-court offense didn't compare with Frans. His full court press was good when it worked, but after so many years of watching teams get easy layups, I was ready for a change. I never called for it, but I was ready for it. I feel the same about Fran, I'm getting tired of his behavior as well. But he is a better than average coach, just not on the defesive side of things.
Agree. I do recall a fairly good % of fans wanted a change. Those same fans were the same ones wishing TD was back, but only after Alfraud & the LinkMeister's tenure.
I can see the same fan/poster response if FMc is terminated prior to his contract's sunset, including a mass exodus via portal.... IMHO.
 
Agree. I do recall a fairly good % of fans wanted a change. Those same fans were the same ones wishing TD was back, but only after Alfraud & the LinkMeister's tenure.
I can see the same fan/poster response if FMc is terminated prior to his contract's sunset, including a mass exodus via portal.... IMHO.
Both Drake 5 years ago and K State this year were able to put together rosters with only 3 returning players on their entire rosters. And both did it very successfully. With the portal and recruiting the way it is today it can be done.
 
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Both Drake 5 years ago and K State this year were able to put together rosters with only 3 returning players on their entire rosters. And both did it very successfully. With the portal and recruiting the way it is today it can be done.
Okay, 2 success stories. What % is that of all the coaching changes at the college level?
Here are some recent coaching changes: there were 57 college/univ coaching changes in one year.
I don't like the odds just for the sake of change.
 
Okay, 2 success stories. What % is that of all the coaching changes at the college level?
Here are some recent coaching changes: there were 57 college/univ coaching changes in one year.
I don't like the odds just for the sake of change.
95% of kids are committed to the coaches not the schools. Is what it is. I don’t think Fran is going anywhere until he’s ready on his own terms. However, you’re right, we’d probably be starting from scratch if he’s let go or leaves. Obviously not ideal but in today’s portal world the opportunity is better to get better quickly vs the old days.
 
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Okay, 2 success stories. What % is that of all the coaching changes at the college level?
Here are some recent coaching changes: there were 57 college/univ coaching changes in one year.
I don't like the odds just for the sake of change.
I think there are a few possible paths and what’s important is picking one and setting expectations accordingly. It’s pretty clear that Iowa prioritizes stability and being competitive moreso than championships. Outside of wrestling, where Iowa was made a “blue blood” by Dan Gable, Iowa has been mostly “good” in the highest profile sports for my lifetime. No national championships in football or men’s hoops and not really many B1G championships, either - I think Hayden won/tied for 3 and Kirk won/tied for 2 plus 2 division championships. Iowa men’s hoops has 1 conference title in the last 50 years and 3 conference tourney championships. Iowa women generally fared better, with 10 conference championships under Stringer/Lee/Bluder & 5 conference tournament championships.

I think you can prioritize championships or prioritize stability, but you can’t really have both unless you get established as a true elite at some point. Even Alabama football has had periods where they were rather ordinary when they didn’t have an elite coach. I hear “settle for mediocrity” tossed around a lot, but what Iowa really does is prioritizes stability and being a solid program.

When you look back at the last 50 years, Iowa’s highest profile sports have very clearly focused on stability as long as there’s at least moderate success:
  • Football: 33 bowl games with a total of 3 head coaches
  • Men’s hoops: This year should be the 26th NCAA bid in that span with a total of 6 head coaches
  • Women’s hoops: Should be 30 NCAA appearances under 5 coaches
  • Wrestling: 24 national championships under 4 coaches
The average tenure in those sports is almost 17 years for football, just over 8 years for men’s hoops (Raveling & Lickliter really pull that down), 10 years for women’s hoops and 12.5 years for wrestling.

We can all have our thoughts and opinions on whether Iowa *should* take this strategy, but they very clearly do. Heck, Iowa doesn’t churn ADs, either - 3 ADs have covered the last 53 years, plus Christine Grant’s 27 years as Women’s AD. There are arguments that Iowa should be more aggressive, but clearly that’s an institutional philosophy that has lasted through, I think, 8 university presidents.
 
'Some are just hanging in there?' You believe? Beyond silly. Fran is operating in the portal, NIL era. Of course we're going to lose people.

I found Davis basketball unwatchable and actually did tune out for several years. Rotating players in and out every four or five minutes was insane. (I've always wondered what Armstrong and the rest of that Year One team thought of that strategy.) The full court press was easily shredded by good teams. A typical game v the good Big Ten teams went like this: The opponent goes up by 15-20, Iowa continues pressing, the opponent loses interest, and Iowa loses by eight. (I did like the way Davis teams rebounded, though.)

Don't know about the doctor's humility, personality. I'll defer to you. (Btw, I've always wondered about guys you use the 'Dr.' when it's a PhD in education.) Somehow he didn't notice the point-shaving at BC or the way Pearl was recruiting Deon Thomas, except, it has been reported, to tell Pearl that his job depended on getting Thomas. The doctor himself was widely considered a lazy recruiter. Could, should he have gotten LaFrentz? His father loved Roy Williams and Kansas, so maybe he was ungettable. But maybe the reasons he loved KU were its style of play and the fact that Williams was relentless in recruiting his son. Read Williams' memoir for that story.

I'll take Fran basketball in a heartbeat. Fast and entertaining. Re/ defense, don't teams score more when given more opportunities against a fast-paced team like Iowa. Would you rather have Wisconsin basketball? And following the Lickliter disaster, I'm sure that Fran figured, rightly, that the way to attract fans and talent was to emphasize offense over defense.
This is not how defensive efficiency is measured. It's not measured in points. It's measured in points per possession to account for pace. Iowa's defense is really bad. According to KenPom the defense is ranked 168th in the country. It's not because the offense is fast paced. It's because the defense can't stop anyone.
 
Fran’s achilles heel is guard recruiting.

Can’t feature guys like JBo / Connor and win in March. Defense is half the game.
It's become pretty clear that Iowa's struggles on defense have less to do with the talent than the coaching. This should not be the 168th ranked team in the country and yet here we are. They look completely clueless out there at times.
 
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It's become pretty clear that Iowa's struggles on defense have less to do with the talent than the coaching. This should not be the 168th ranked team in the country and yet here we are. They look completely clueless out there at times.

JBo/Connor last year may have been the slowest back court in NCAA basketball.

We couldnt even defend Eastern Illinois this year. Kinyon Hodges ran by everyone on our team all game. He had what 8 run out lay ins?
 
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JBo/Connor last year may have been the slowest back court in NCAA basketball.

We couldnt even defend Eastern Illinois this year. Kinyon Hodges ran by everyone on our team all game. He had what 8 run out lay ins?
Only an idiot would think that Iowas defensive effectiveness is equal to the teams potential.

A different approach could have this team 100 spots higher in efficiency with no problem at all.

The reality is Fran does not require defense of his players, his teams don't have a fundamental grasp of what they are supposed to be doing and they don't play with discipline.

Fran is the Mike Dantoni of college basketball.
 
We are now nearing the end of Year 13 of Fran McCaffery, meaning he has reached the Tom Davis retirement year. As many remember, the Iowa fan base was growing fatigued with the lack of winning under Davis, but a quick comparison shows that Davis has actually had more success than Fran over his 13 year stint.

Big Ten Record:
Davis: 125-105 (54%)
McCaffery: 126-118 (52%)

Overall Record:
Davis: 269-140 (66%)
McCaffery: 257-173 (60%)

NCAA Appearances:
Davis: 9
McCaffery: 8 (Counting 2020 and 2023) (Also counting First Four appearance in 2014)

Tournament Wins:
Davis: 13
McCaffery: 5 (Counting 1 for 2020) (2023 TBD)

You can argue that Davis started in a much better spot, and his most successful season was his first season with players he didn't recruit. If you remove the first 2 years of each coaching stint, the numbers are a little closer. But it does seem like Fran doesn't really have much job pressure right now, even though the team has largely failed to deliver, especially in March.

Looking ahead, we are clearly in a rebuilding mode, as Murray is likely gone to the draft and Connor and Rebraca are graduating. I don't expect this team to be a tournament team next year.

So how long of a leash does Fran have? This year would be the 5th straight year of making the tournament (counting 2020), which is impressive and hasn't been done since 1979-1983. But that streak has so far only translated into 2 tournament wins.
Best decision I made this year was to not watch much Iowa BB. Probably haven't watched over an hour total all year.
 
Best decision I made this year was to not watch much Iowa BB. Probably haven't watched over an hour total all year.
Well, you have missed some very exciting games. The comeback against MSU was amazing. You have also missed some crap shows like today. On balance, I am happy I watched the Hawkeyes this season. More than any prior Fran teams, this one was schizophrenic.
 
JBo/Connor last year may have been the slowest back court in NCAA basketball.

We couldnt even defend Eastern Illinois this year. Kinyon Hodges ran by everyone on our team all game. He had what 8 run out lay ins?
and we have one player who moves at that game speed play just a couple minutes.
Who is the BB strength coach? As far as physical maturity, our players look like jr. high kids compared to other teams.
 
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As a person I would totally agree with all of this. I liked Tom as a person and have always been a Hawk fan. He did have his shortcomings as a coach though. His half-court offense didn't compare with Frans. His full court press was good when it worked, but after so many years of watching teams get easy layups, I was ready for a change. I never called for it, but I was ready for it. I feel the same about Fran, I'm getting tired of his behavior as well. But he is a better than average coach, just not on the defesive side of things.

One thing that has been forgotten that certainly damaged Iowa's basketball future was that by firiing Tom Davis, we lost a great in-state player in Nick Collison who was expected to be a Hawkeye. In addition, Bowlsby's decision to hire Ferentz rather than Bob Stoops was a huge mistake.
 
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Let’s also be real about where Iowa is as a program.

Fran McCaffery: 0 regular season championships, 0 Sweet 16
Todd Lickliter: 0 regular season championships, 0 Sweet 16
Steve Alford: 0 regular season championships, 0 Sweet 16
Tom Davis: 0 regular season championships, 3 Sweet 16
George Raveling: 0 regular season championships, 0 Sweet 16
Lute Olsen: 1 regular season championships, 2 Sweet 16
Dick Schultz: 0 regular season championships, 0 Sweet 16

That’s 50+ years of Iowa hoops history - 1 B1G regular season championship, 5 Sweet 16s.
Hard truth right there.

As a fan that only reinforces my desire to roll the dice and try to find someone who can get Iowa to a place like Wisconsin or MSU. No reason we can’t be at their level. None.

*Find a new AD first though.
 
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Wisconsin or MSU?,.. no thank you.
“Success” level…BTC’s and S16’s.

You don’t want that?

There’s no reason it can’t happen, and it doesn’t necessarily have to include their style of play or type of players.

Would you be ok with the FAU coach or maybe even the Drake coach?
 
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“Success” level…BTC’s and S16’s.

You don’t want that?

There’s no reason it can’t happen, and it doesn’t necessarily have to include their style of play or type of players.

Would you be ok with the FAU coach or maybe even the Drake coach?
Yeah, I don't get this either.

Don't want the success Wisconsin had because of style of play? Or MSU? I call BS.

People are way too hung up on style of play. They'd rather lose and play uptempo, than win? Human beings are odd creatures.
 
One thing that has been forgotten that certainly damaged Iowa's basketball future was that by firiing Tom Davis, we lost a great in-state player in Nick Collison who was expected to be a Hawkeye. In addition, Bowlsby's decision to hire Ferentz rather than Bob Stoops was a huge mistake.
If memory serves, both Collison and Hinrich were going to Clownville if Tim Floyd had stayed. When Floyd went to the Bulls. Collison and Hinrich went to KU. Dr. Davis whiffed on those two and Lafrentz.
 
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Fran isn't going anywhere for quite awhile yet.

Do I dislike Fran? Hardly. He brought the Hawks back from the brink and gets them in the tournament more often than not, which is the minimum I expect.

Do I wish he would do better in the NCAA tournament? Yes!
Do I wish his teams would play defense? Yes!
Do I think he will elevate the program any higher? No.
Do I think he should be fired? No!
Will I be upset if he leaves or is let go? To be honest....no.
I’m right there with you
 
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This is not how defensive efficiency is measured. It's not measured in points. It's measured in points per possession to account for pace. Iowa's defense is really bad. According to KenPom the defense is ranked 168th in the country. It's not because the offense is fast paced. It's because the defense can't stop anyone.
Correct. That's why I laugh when I see people say that Lickliter's Iowa teams were good defensively because they "held" opponents to 50-60 PPG. They were not. That was purely a result of style of play.
 
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The Big Ten is the second best conference in the country this year according to the NET. The Big Ten has also been the best conf in basketball two of the last four years. So your final point doesn’t really have much to stand on.
Way over rated this year tbh - Purdue was a paper tiger
 
Correct. That's why I laugh when I see people say that Lickliter's Iowa teams were good defensively because they "held" opponents to 50-60 PPG. They were not. That was purely a result of style of play.
Omg that was miserable, I know that is why people are afraid to boot Fran
 
Omg that was miserable, I know that is why people are afraid to boot Fran
That's straw man reasoning.

It's hard to catch lightning in a bottle more than once ...whether good or bad lightning.

I'm not currently advocating for Fran's departure just yet, give him a few more years.

However, if I hear someone say "do you want to risk getting another Lickliter?" when debating whether a change should be considered....

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If memory serves, both Collison and Hinrich were going to Clownville if Tim Floyd had stayed. When Floyd went to the Bulls. Collison and Hinrich went to KU. Dr. Davis whiffed on those two and Lafrentz.
Hinrich had committed early to ISU, but reopened his recruiting when Floyd left, and ended up at KU.

I don't believe Collison was ever committed to either in-state school. A lot of Hawkeye fans thought Iowa had a good chance. But the year Collison was making his pick was Tom Davis' lame-duck year, so the Iowa situation was up in the air. Hence, he ended up at KU as well.

Had Iowa had a coach in place, there is a chance we could have gotten both players. But certainly no guarantees on either. It remains a great "what-if" question in Hawkeye lore.
 
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Hinrich had committed early to ISU, but reopened his recruiting when Floyd left, and ended up at KU.

I don't believe Collison was ever committed to either in-state school. A lot of Hawkeye fans thought Iowa had a good chance. But the year Collison was making his pick was Tom Davis' lame-duck year, so the Iowa situation was up in the air. Hence, he ended up at KU as well.

Had Iowa had a coach in place, there is a chance we could have gotten both players. But certainly no guarantees on either. It remains a great "what-if" question in Hawkeye lore.
That's pretty much the way I remember it, except I don't think Iowa was ever much in the picture with Hinrich, as KU had always been his second choice. FWIW, that didn't turn out all that badly for ISU because when Hinrich decommitted, Eustachy had to find a PG and ended up with Tinsley.
 
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