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Great win, but let's absolutely blow it out of proportion...

Dec 1, 2022
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Step 1: Iowa Wins Out to Finish 7-2​

If Iowa wins all its remaining games, they finish 7-2:
  • Nov. 2: Wins against Wisconsin
  • Nov. 8: Wins against UCLA
  • Nov. 23: Wins against Maryland
  • Nov. 29: Wins against Nebraska
This puts Iowa at 7-2 in the conference.

Step 2: Strategic Stumbles​

We need some (ok a ton of) HELP)..

Indiana (8-0) - Needs to Lose Two Games​

When Indiana turns back into the pumpkin:
  • Nov. 9: vs. Michigan (Indiana loses)
  • Nov. 23: vs. Ohio State (Indiana loses)
Indiana finishes 7-2 in the conference.

Oregon (8-0) - Needs to Lose Two Games​

why even bother...:
  • Nov. 2: vs. Michigan (Oregon loses)
  • Nov. 30: vs. Washington (Oregon loses)
Oregon finishes 7-2.

Penn State (6-0) - Needs to Lose Two Games​

Plausible?:
  • Oct. 26: vs. Wisconsin (Tight game into 2nd half)
  • Nov. 2: vs. Ohio State (Penn State loses)
Penn State finishes 7-2.

Ohio State (6-1) - Needs to Lose One More Game​

What's gotta' happen:
  • Nov. 30: vs. Michigan (Ohio State loses)
Ohio State finishes 7-2.

Wisconsin (5-2) - Needs to Lose Two More Games​

Our strategic stumbles:
  • Nov. 2: vs. Iowa (Wisconsin loses)
  • Nov. 16: vs. Oregon (Wisconsin loses)
Wisconsin finishes 6-3, out of contention.

Final Standings with This Scenario​

After these outcomes, the Big Ten standings would look like this:

TeamConference RecordOverall Record
Indiana7-210-2
Oregon7-210-2
Penn State7-210-2
Ohio State7-210-2
Iowa7-29-3

And after all that it would be a five way tie for the Big Ten lead, and I have NO idea how that would work out with the multi-team tiebreakers to see who gets the privilege of playing for a Big Ten championship. But I'm guessing it wouldn't result with the Hawks in Indy....but in this scenario...I'm going to assume we play Indiana to win a Big Ten title and go to the CFP.

What say you, plausible? Or probable?
 

Step 1: Iowa Wins Out to Finish 7-2​

If Iowa wins all its remaining games, they finish 7-2:
  • Nov. 2: Wins against Wisconsin
  • Nov. 8: Wins against UCLA
  • Nov. 23: Wins against Maryland
  • Nov. 29: Wins against Nebraska
This puts Iowa at 7-2 in the conference.

Step 2: Strategic Stumbles​

We need some (ok a ton of) HELP)..

Indiana (8-0) - Needs to Lose Two Games​

When Indiana turns back into the pumpkin:
  • Nov. 9: vs. Michigan (Indiana loses)
  • Nov. 23: vs. Ohio State (Indiana loses)
Indiana finishes 7-2 in the conference.

Oregon (8-0) - Needs to Lose Two Games​

why even bother...:
  • Nov. 2: vs. Michigan (Oregon loses)
  • Nov. 30: vs. Washington (Oregon loses)
Oregon finishes 7-2.

Penn State (6-0) - Needs to Lose Two Games​

Plausible?:
  • Oct. 26: vs. Wisconsin (Tight game into 2nd half)
  • Nov. 2: vs. Ohio State (Penn State loses)
Penn State finishes 7-2.

Ohio State (6-1) - Needs to Lose One More Game​

What's gotta' happen:
  • Nov. 30: vs. Michigan (Ohio State loses)
Ohio State finishes 7-2.

Wisconsin (5-2) - Needs to Lose Two More Games​

Our strategic stumbles:
  • Nov. 2: vs. Iowa (Wisconsin loses)
  • Nov. 16: vs. Oregon (Wisconsin loses)
Wisconsin finishes 6-3, out of contention.

Final Standings with This Scenario​

After these outcomes, the Big Ten standings would look like this:

TeamConference RecordOverall Record
Indiana7-210-2
Oregon7-210-2
Penn State7-210-2
Ohio State7-210-2
Iowa7-29-3

And after all that it would be a five way tie for the Big Ten lead, and I have NO idea how that would work out with the multi-team tiebreakers to see who gets the privilege of playing for a Big Ten championship. But I'm guessing it wouldn't result with the Hawks in Indy....but in this scenario...I'm going to assume we play Indiana to win a Big Ten title and go to the CFP.

What say you, plausible? Or probable?
  1. The tied teams will be compared based on head-to-head matchups during the regular season.
    In your scenario Oregon doesn't lose to any of these other 4, so they would be #1. Ohio State beats Indiana, Penn State and Iowa, and lost to Oregon so they would be #2.
  2. The tied teams will be compared based on record against all common conference opponents.
  3. The tied teams will be compared based on record against common opponents with the best conference record and proceeding through the common conference opponents based on their order of finish within the conference standings.
  4. The tied teams will be compared based on the best cumulative conference winning percentage of all conference opponents.
  5. The representative will be chosen based on the highest ranking by SportSource Analytics (team Rating Score metric) following the regular season.
  6. The representative will be chosen by random draw among the tied teams conducted by the Commissioner or designee.
 
  1. The tied teams will be compared based on head-to-head matchups during the regular season.
    In your scenario Oregon doesn't lose to any of these other 4, so they would be #1. Ohio State beats Indiana, Penn State and Iowa, and lost to Oregon so they would be #2.
  2. The tied teams will be compared based on record against all common conference opponents.
  3. The tied teams will be compared based on record against common opponents with the best conference record and proceeding through the common conference opponents based on their order of finish within the conference standings.
  4. The tied teams will be compared based on the best cumulative conference winning percentage of all conference opponents.
  5. The representative will be chosen based on the highest ranking by SportSource Analytics (team Rating Score metric) following the regular season.
  6. The representative will be chosen by random draw among the tied teams conducted by the Commissioner or designee.
So, Alabama then?
 
  1. The tied teams will be compared based on head-to-head matchups during the regular season.
    In your scenario Oregon doesn't lose to any of these other 4, so they would be #1. Ohio State beats Indiana, Penn State and Iowa, and lost to Oregon so they would be #2.
  2. The tied teams will be compared based on record against all common conference opponents.
  3. The tied teams will be compared based on record against common opponents with the best conference record and proceeding through the common conference opponents based on their order of finish within the conference standings.
  4. The tied teams will be compared based on the best cumulative conference winning percentage of all conference opponents.
  5. The representative will be chosen based on the highest ranking by SportSource Analytics (team Rating Score metric) following the regular season.
  6. The representative will be chosen by random draw among the tied teams conducted by the Commissioner or designee.
So you’re saying there is no chance??
 
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