Hawks 13.5 point underdog to Badgers
- Thread starter RIGHTWINGHAWK
- Start date
I also see on ESPN's show "The Championship Drive" that Wisconsin has a 79% chance of beating Iowa.
Give Wisconsin credit. They've beaten.......Northwestern?
Damn I wish this game wasn't in Madison.
Damn I wish this game wasn't in Madison.
Actually l think we've done better in Madison over the last 10 years.
Hawks have won 4 of the last 6 in Madison, Wisconsin has won 5 of last 6 in Iowa City. In last 15 games Wisconsin has 1 double digit win. Games are almost always close, spread just seems out of whack to me.
If Hawkeyes stop the run, they have a great chance of pulling the upset. If Taylor runs all over us, Stanley better put up 40+ again.
I like the Badgers to win. However, if I were a betting person, I would take the Hawks based on the current line. It will likely move after the injury report tomorrow.
When’s the last time we’ve lost in Madison? I know Barry didn’t have much success against us in Son town.
Who wants to guess the last time Wisconsin beat Iowa by double digits in Madison in a season in which Iowa ended up winning at least 7 games?
I got my bet in at 13.5. I can't imagine Wisky winning by 14. Course I thought the line would be 6. Might explain why I'm down $ this year.
Thought we went 6-7 in 2006. Also, that game was in IC. Maybe 2007 is what you're thinking?
I'm wondering if this is a trick question.
Back on topic, that line is surprising. Actually makes me quite nervous. Even without last week's result, given that Wisconsin isn't tested really all year, the history of the teams, and the style of play involved, that's a huge line. Add in the marquee win that the public will have fresh in mind? It looks like easy money to bet Iowa.
Which gets to why I'm nervous. Usually, if it looks like an obvious bet, that means Vegas is begging the public to bet a certain way, because they know something about what's coming.
Which gets to why I'm nervous. Usually, if it looks like an obvious bet, that means Vegas is begging the public to bet a certain way, because they know something about what's coming.
At 12.5 there us a 66% chance Iowa covers. The odds makers want bets to be 50-50. If they are right, the line should move to 8-8.5
Nothing tricky about the question at all.
You're right about 2006 - Wisky won by 3 points in IC against an Iowa team that finished 6-7.
2007 was a 4-point loss in Madison; that year was the infamous 6-6 season.
Isn't it a trick question when the answer is "Never?"
At least that's what I think the answer is.
Ok, maybe it's a trick question
Even including ALL games, I believe 2013 in Iowa City is the only time it's happened.
Bottom line - in the history of football, it is pretty darn rare for Wisconsin to beat Iowa badly when Iowa has at least a fairly solid season (but the opposite has happened quite a bit).
I point to the Iowa vs. OSU game from last Saturday as an example of why I never bet on College Sports. You just never know what's going to happen, which is why college athletics are the best.
Trust me, the line will not move that much. If it moves another point or so, that would even the wagers.
As said by some others, when a line looks to good, be careful.
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