Iowa 18-13 (10-10) Rest of the way predictions
- Thread starter QChawks
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That hurt....but the win at Michigan partially makes up for it. We gotta do better job at Carver and steal couple on the road.
Maryland game killed our NCAA tournament hopes but nice win today. Iowa appears to be the only team capable of winning on the road in B1G play.
Not losing to Michigan kept the smallest glimmer of hope alive. Again, that small glimmer is really helped by the fact that the bubble is terrible this year. So many mediocre teams.
Seems like every year, people say this, that the bubble is weak. I guess the truth is that there is just alot of mediocrity on the bubble, as a rule.
Problem is, Iowa has zero quad 1 wins and we're getting close to February. There are some opportunities left, but those will be some tough games. They'll need to steal a few of those, clearly, to even get into the discussion.
The NCAA tournament and college basketball in general has become so boring. Terrible teams Few if any great players. If you can’t make the field if 68 your coach should lose his job.
Agree on college basketball. I still enjoy the tournament, but outside of Iowa games, I watch very little regular season hoops anymore. I used to be a college basketball junkie.
100%. My tiny glimmer of hope is based on beating some quad 1 wins. Minnesota is getting closer...
Agree Saturdays in Iowa In the winter all I did was watch CBB. I can’t think of one non Iowa game I’ve watched in years.
So 250 coaches should lose their jobs every year?
The goal seems to be to do as little as possible, collectively, while simultaneously trying to collect the biggest checks.
It was a joke. But the fact that there are that many D1 teams is stupid. It’s just sad if you don’t get in.
Most likely. That chokejob and the first Michigan game should've been Ws. This team should be 14-6 right now. Freeman, Dix, Perkins, Sandfort, and Krikke is absolutey a tourney caliber lineup. Yes, they would fail in the tourney as all Fran teams do, but they needed those wins to get there.
They are beatable. We are going to have to bring "A" game and rebound like the game depends on it
Their big 7 footer has been out the last couple of games with an ankle sprain. I haven't seen any reports on whether or not he is expected back.
Malik Reneau is another post player who is very good, Owen is going to have his hands full regardless of the matchup--if Ware is back, I'd assume that Krikke will be guarding Malik as Indiana plays 2 bigs a lot. That is a huge mismatch in favor of Indiana.
If any one has paid attention to Big Ten basketball, you probably have heard how historically bad Indiana has been from 3. They are bottom 10 in the country on 3 point attempts--they simply do not want to shoot 3s unless they are forced. I'd expect Iowa to play a lot of zone like we have in the last 2 games and force Indiana to beat us outside. Funnily enough, Ware and Reneau are their best 3 point shooters as well, they just don't take as many.
Defensively, as you would guess with having 2 good posts, they are much better at rim protecting than they are at defending in the midrange and 3s. I'd expect a lot of drop coverage on pick n roll, so hopefully Tony's midrange pull-up is still hot as that shot is going to be there a lot. Indiana also has a tendency to foul a lot, but also picks up a lot of fouls due to their size. This heavily favors Iowa as we shoot 77% at the line as a team (top 30 in the country) and Indiana shoots 66%.
The insertion of Freeman and Dix into starting lineup and stellar play from Perkins certainly has changed things vs the start of the season. Krikke is a nice offensive weapon but last 3 games he's 4/9 10pts, 3/11 9pts, and 2/8 7pts. I know Dimbele looks gangly and rough, but he does have upside to improve with PT and he has a B1G 10 Body. Dimbele helps solve Iowa's problem guarding in the paint and rebounding and taking some of the pressure off Freeman in post defense. Krikke is a minus defender and minus rebounder---I'm sure he'll have some more games where he's hot, but I don't think it is bad idea to sub him for defense when he's off.
I suppose Iowa could suddenly get hot and reel off a bunch of wins---lets hope so. I'm also hoping Harding finds his shot---dude can really pass the ball and is surprisingly ok at defense, but woof on his shot form.
BirdistheWord
HB Legend
I wish Fran would play Dimbele more and Krikke less, unless Krikke is red hot. Also, PMac was okay in the last game but feel like 21 minutes is too many.
Harding has been amazing as a distributor and creator, decent defense but as you noted his shooting is rough. Not an easy fix. Fran also needs to lean into.Bowen as one of only guys that can get to the bucket on his own.
BirdistheWord
HB Legend
*pushes up glasses* Well Technically
Practically speaking, there's still a path, albeit a very narrow one.
Must wins: OSU, PSU x2, Minn
Go 3-3: @ MD, @ MSU, @ NW, Wis, Ill x2
That's kind of the double-edged sword of having a final half of the season where 6 of your last 7 games are against Q1 opponents.
Now is that realistic for this Iowa team? Likely not. But as a bracketology nerd, there's still a very clear path, even if that seems super narrow.
BirdistheWord
HB Legend
Saucy and Payton are playing well, need others to step up down the stretch
I'll go with 16 wins out of what's left on the schedule. OSU, Minnesota, and PSU 2x. A few of the others may be winnable, but I'm playing it conservatively.
Man, things were looking pretty good after that Minnesota game. Amazing how a few points can change the entire trajectory of a season.
that was my original prediction
although I have less confidence in a home win against Bucky, but I do think @ Maryland is doable
I'm right with you on the win-loss total. The game by game predictions are more doubtful because of the close odds between a W and L in many of the games. Favored in the next 3, but by a relatively narrow margin. They also haven't pulled a significant upset this season. Maybe that doesn't happen, but I wouldn't rule it out.
I'd be mildly surprised if they go 5-5, moderately so if 6-4, quite surprised if 7-3, shocked if 8-2.
I have no words for going 9-1 or 10-0.
I see, at best, 5 more wins. PSU twice, Minne, MD and home game with Ill. Could lose any to all of those games but also could beat UW at Carver, MSU is not great, NW is beatable and Illinois almost lost to NE at home last nite. I think the NIT is looking like our ceiling but I'd take an at large. When season started I picked 16 wins. 3 more might be it.
I see it as 15-16, 7-13 as well. Maybe we steal another one (@MSU maybe???).
Thank goodness for the new NIT rules that take the top two NETs for those B1G teams that don't make the dance. It sounds like we're in a good position for that somehow.
Thank goodness for the new NIT rules that take the top two NETs for those B1G teams that don't make the dance. It sounds like we're in a good position for that somehow.
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