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Iowa part of 6 Lowest Over/Unders in CFB History: 24.5 (Neb this yr), 27.5 (RU this yr), 30.5 (N'w, MN this yr), 31.5 (MN last yr), 32 (KY last yr)

This made me think of a new nic for Coop:

Force majeure?

When he hits the field, all bets are off!
 
Iowa Defense and special teams are overdue for putting up some points.... That's the ONLY way this game hits the over.
 
Story from today from Yahoo Sports:

College football betting, odds: The Iowa vs. Rutgers over/under should set a record

Iowa totals have been absurdly low in 2023, and this is the lowest one yet


Nick Bromberg
College football and motorsports writer
Wed, Nov 8, 2023, 2:05 PM CST


Iowa is making betting history again.

Just weeks after the No. 22 Hawkeyes’ game against Minnesota set a record for the lowest point total for a college football game in the last 20 years at 30.5, the over/under for Iowa’s game against Rutgers on Saturday currently sits at 28.5.

The low total comes as Iowa beat Northwestern in Week 10 by a whopping score of 10-7. It was the third consecutive Hawkeyes game that had 21 points or fewer.

Iowa beat Wisconsin 15-6 on Oct. 14 — the total closed at 33.5 — before a 12-10 loss to Minnesota that included a controversial invalid fair catch call in the final minutes. The total for the Northwestern game opened at a historically low 29.5 but was bet up to 32. Under bettors didn’t have to break a sweat.

The total for the Rutgers game opened at 28.5 and hasn’t budged. That’s a reason why we’re fairly confident it will set a betting record (dating back to 2003) when the game kicks off on Saturday.

Despite the offensive futility, Iowa moved into the College Football Playoff rankings on Tuesday night after the Northwestern win. Iowa is scoring just 18.4 points per game; only 12 teams in college football score fewer points per game. But the Hawkeyes are also allowing just 13.7 points per game.

Rutgers, meanwhile, scores 27 points per game and doesn’t give up many points either. The Scarlet Knights are allowing 18 points per game. Michigan and Ohio State are the only two teams to score more than 24 points in a single game against Rutgers. It’ll be extremely surprising if Iowa joins that group.

 
i kinda worry about our banged up OL

can we run it?

will our immobile QB have time to pass, and if so, will he be accurate?
I don't know man, Elsbury sounds like a genius. Like maybe he should have been in at Guard before now or at Center with Jones at guard.
 
am i the only one who doesn't see this (iowa being involved in 5 of the lowest o/u games in cfb history) as a indictment of iowa fb? there are numerour one-sided games out there every freaking week in which one team gets decimated offensively but the o/u looks respectable. so the stat is actually far more a testament to iowa's defense and grit than anything else. it's really stupid that these articles omit this.
 
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The low total comes as Iowa beat Northwestern in Week 10 by a whopping score of 10-7. It was the third consecutive Hawkeyes game that had 21 points or fewer. Iowa beat Wisconsin 15-6 on Oct. 14 — the total closed at 33.5 — before a 12-10 loss to Minnesota that included a controversial invalid fair catch call in the final minutes.
Math is hard.
 
am i the only one who doesn't see this (iowa being involved in 5 of the lowest o/u games in cfb history) as a indictment of iowa fb? there are numerour one-sided games out there every freaking week in which one team gets decimated offensively but the o/u looks respectable. so the stat is actually far more a testament to iowa's defense and grit than anything else. it's really stupid that these articles omit this.

i think it just shows that (1) our D holds opponents to very low scores & (2) our Offense doesn't score any points
 
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Story from ESPN this afternoon:

Rutgers-Iowa betting over/under sitting at historic low of 28.0


i

David Purdum, ESPN Staff Writer
Nov 9, 2023, 12:17 PM ET


Oddsmakers are going to new lows trying to get a gauge on defensive-minded Iowa.

The over/under total on the Hawkeyes' home game Saturday against Rutgers dipped to a historic low this week at sportsbooks.

As of late Thursday morning, the total sat at a consensus 28, the lowest of any college football game since at least 2000, according to ESPN Stats & Information research. Barring late line movement, Rutgers-Iowa will be the first game with an over/under total of less than 30 in ESPN's odds database.

"I looked through my database and couldn't find a number in the 20s," Craig Mucklow, a longtime Las Vegas oddsmaker with Caesars Sportsbook, said on a company podcast. "I did find 1,500 games over the last five years with higher first-half totals [than 28]."

The Rutgers-Iowa total opened as high as 30 but has been dropping, but bettors have flocked to take the under despite the historically low number. Sportsbooks BetRivers, DraftKings and PointsBet (Fanatics) were reporting upward of 80% of the money that had been wagered on the total this week was on the under.

Six games since 2000 have had a total less than 34, and Iowa has been involved in five of them, including the Hawkeyes' past two games -- a 12-10 loss to Minnesota and a 10-7 victory over Northwestern.

Iowa has the 122nd-ranked scoring offense, averaging 18.7 points per game, including 11.7 in its past three, and the fourth-ranked defense, surrendering only 13.4 points per game. Seven of Iowa's nine games have gone under the total this season.

"Iowa is the same every week: not really good offense, really good defense," said Joey Feazel, who oversees college football odds for Caesars. "That's a great calculation for unders."


 
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