Jan 15 ESPN Bracketology: IOWA one of Last 4 in after loss at USC
- Thread starter Franisdaman
- Start date
We are not ahead of Wisconsin. They have better wins.Jan 7, 2025 Update:
Joe Lunardi/ESPN projects the B1G getting 11 teams into the NCAA Tournament.
The 11 Teams & their projected Seed:
3 Oregon
3 Illinois
5 UCLA
5 Purdue
5 Michigan State
6 Wisconsin
6 Michigan
8 Maryland
8 Nebraska
9 Ohio State
11 Penn State (1 of Last 4 in)
Others, on the Bubble:
Indiana...3rd Team OUT
The Full Bracket:
Men's Bracketology: How the SEC schedule could hurt its record bid chase
The SEC has a shot at the Big East's 11-bid record. But in conference play, someone has to lose.www.espn.com
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Original Post:
I know it's early, but in another thread we are talking about whether Iowa will really finish 16th or 17th in the B1G. In another thread, there's complaints that things are slow in this forum. And if you don't like this topic, just skip this thread for now.
Right now, Joe Junardi/ESPN essentially has Iowa 13th in the B1G.
Joe/ESPN projects the B1G getting 10 teams into the NCAA Tournament.
The 10 Teams & their Seed:
4 Purdue
5 Indiana
6 UCLA
7 Illinois
7 Michigan State
8 Ohio State
8 Michigan
10 Rutgers (gets 1 of last 4 byes)
11 Maryland (one of last 4 in)
11 Oregon (one of last 4 in)
Others, on the Bubble:
Nebraska.......1st Team OUT
USC................5th Team OUT
IOWA..............7th Team OUT
Wisconsin.....8th Team OUT
The Full Bracket
Men's Bracketology: How the SEC schedule could hurt its record bid chase
The SEC has a shot at the Big East's 11-bid record. But in conference play, someone has to lose.www.espn.com
Hey now. You can't say that here! Truth equals negativity and this is a positive forum only. Kool Aid drinkers only.
Utah State as a 6 seems correct. They will be a tough out for a lot of teams. They may end up as a 4 or 5.
full text of tweet:
Iowa holds serve at home, and in a big way, routing Indiana by 25.
Hawkeyes have a funky resume, as they are winless in Quad 1, but balance that out with an unblemished 5-0 mark in Q2. The Committee has shown a penchant for very high winning percentages in Q2 for teams who may lack in Q1, so this should not be overlooked.
The resume metrics should be strong enough come tomorrow to have Iowa on the right side of the cutline.
The trip out to LA next week is a huge opportunity to notch a first Q1 (at UCLA), stay unbeaten in Q2 (at a suddenly resurgent USC) and get some road wins on the board (currently 0-2). Winning at least one, if not both, checks quite a few crucial boxes on Fran McCaffrey & Cos. resume.
Iowa holds serve at home, and in a big way, routing Indiana by 25.
Hawkeyes have a funky resume, as they are winless in Quad 1, but balance that out with an unblemished 5-0 mark in Q2. The Committee has shown a penchant for very high winning percentages in Q2 for teams who may lack in Q1, so this should not be overlooked.
The resume metrics should be strong enough come tomorrow to have Iowa on the right side of the cutline.
The trip out to LA next week is a huge opportunity to notch a first Q1 (at UCLA), stay unbeaten in Q2 (at a suddenly resurgent USC) and get some road wins on the board (currently 0-2). Winning at least one, if not both, checks quite a few crucial boxes on Fran McCaffrey & Cos. resume.
Winning 3 of the next 4 would put Iowa in a good spot. Let's beat SC and go on from there. Road is tough against anyone, even Minny, which seems to clearly be the worst B1G team.
8 teams in the B1G currently have 2 or fewer conference losses.
Hopefully we can stay in the top 8; better yet, move up.
Standings
1. Michigan (13-3, 5-0)
1. Michigan State (14-2, 5-0)
3. Purdue (13-4, 5-1)
4. Illinois (12-4, 4-2)
4. Indiana (13-4, 4-2)
4. Oregon (15-2, 4-2)
7. Wisconsin (13-3, 3-2)
7. Iowa (12-4, 3-2)
15 games left. I think we need to go 9-6 down the stretch to be a lock. 8-7 and we'll be on the bubble, but probably outside looking in.
This chart doesn't match reality of the NET. Iowa is Quadrant 2 (opposing team home), and Quad 1 (opposing team away). IMHO I think this guy's tiers suck.
Without knowing who they play, yes.
Looking at the remaining schedule, I’m guessing 8-7 is probably a lock too. 7-8 would probably make them a bubble team.
Of course, it all depends on how those wins and losses are distributed.🙂
| Tue, Jan 14 | @ USC | 9:30 PM | FS1 | Tickets as low as $11 |
| Fri, Jan 17 | @ 22 UCLA | 8:00 PM | FS1 | Tickets as low as $14 |
| Tue, Jan 21 | vs Minnesota | 8:00 PM | BTN | Tickets as low as $6 |
| Fri, Jan 24 | vs Penn State | 8:00 PM | FS1 | Tickets as low as $8 |
| Mon, Jan 27 | @ Ohio State | 7:00 PM | FS1 | Tickets as low as $12 |
| Tue, Feb 4 | vs 20 Purdue | 6:00 PM | Peacock | Tickets as low as $18 |
| Sat, Feb 8 | vs Wisconsin | 12:00 PM | NBC | Tickets as low as $36 |
| Wed, Feb 12 | @ Rutgers | 5:30 PM | BTN | Tickets as low as $46 |
| Sun, Feb 16 | @ Maryland | 4:00 PM | FS1 | Tickets as low as $21 |
| Wed, Feb 19 | vs 15 Oregon | 7:30 PM | BTN | Tickets as low as $10 |
| Sat, Feb 22 | vs Washington | 3:00 PM | FS1 | Tickets as low as $28 |
| Tue, Feb 25 | @ 13 Illinois | 8:00 PM | FS1 | Tickets as low as $28 |
| Fri, Feb 28 | @ Northwestern | 8:00 PM | FS1 | Tickets as low as $32 |
| Thu, Mar 6 | vs 16 Michigan State | 7:00 PM | FS1 | Tickets as low as $22 |
| Sun, Mar 9 | @ Nebraska | 11:30 AM | FOX | Tickets as low as $17 |
Every home game is certainly winnable. Reality is we need to put the hay in the barn over the next month because the last 4 games are tough.
We have 5 games left against team currently above us in the standings, 4 of those are at home. Need to take at least two of the upper tier home games (5-2H) and to beat some of the bad teams on the road(4-4A). Puts us at 12-8.
Will it happen, probably not, but if they can keep playing like the last 55 minutes, it is very doable.
It’s Frans benching, and throwing away the key when they get 2 fouls.
Why play defense when you are not penalized for bad D,
But only penalized for good D?
coaching blunder by Fran
BirdistheWord
HB Legend
Jan 14, 2025 Update:
Joe Lunardi/ESPN projects the B1G getting 11 teams into the NCAA Tournament.
The 11 Teams & their projected Seed:
3 Oregon
4 Purdue
4 Michigan State
4 Michigan
5 Illinois
6 Wisconsin
7 UCLA
8 Maryland
10 Nebraska (1 of last 4 byes)
10 Ohio State (1 of last 4 byes)
11 IOWA (1 of Last 4 in)
Others, on the Bubble:
Indiana...3rd Team OUT
The Full Bracket:
Joe Lunardi/ESPN projects the B1G getting 11 teams into the NCAA Tournament.
The 11 Teams & their projected Seed:
3 Oregon
4 Purdue
4 Michigan State
4 Michigan
5 Illinois
6 Wisconsin
7 UCLA
8 Maryland
10 Nebraska (1 of last 4 byes)
10 Ohio State (1 of last 4 byes)
11 IOWA (1 of Last 4 in)
Others, on the Bubble:
Indiana...3rd Team OUT
The Full Bracket:
Men's Bracketology: How the SEC schedule could hurt its record bid chase
The SEC has a shot at the Big East's 11-bid record. But in conference play, someone has to lose.
www.espn.com
ISU and Iowa potentially both in Milwaukee. Fun. 1986 both teams played in Minneapolis. Great time.Jan 14, 2025 Update:
Joe Lunardi/ESPN projects the B1G getting 11 teams into the NCAA Tournament.
The 11 Teams & their projected Seed:
3 Oregon
4 Purdue
4 Michigan State
4 Michigan
5 Illinois
6 Wisconsin
7 UCLA
8 Maryland
10 Nebraska (1 of last 4 byes)
10 Ohio State (1 of last 4 byes)
11 IOWA (1 of Last 4 in)
Others, on the Bubble:
Indiana...3rd Team OUT
The Full Bracket:
Men's Bracketology: How the SEC schedule could hurt its record bid chase
The SEC has a shot at the Big East's 11-bid record. But in conference play, someone has to lose.www.espn.com
Up next: 11-6, 2-4 UCLA on Friday.
11 B1G teams currently have 3 or fewer conference losses:
Current B1G Standings:
1. Michigan (13-3, 5-0)
1. Michigan State (14-2, 5-0)
3. Purdue (13-4, 5-1)
4. Illinois (13-4, 5-2)
5. Oregon (15-2, 4-2)
5. Wisconsin (14-3, 4-2)
7. Indiana (13-5, 4-3)
8. Maryland (13-4, 3-3)
8. USC (11-6, 3-3)
8. Iowa (12-5, 3-3)
11. Nebraska (12-4, 2-3)
11 B1G teams currently have 3 or fewer conference losses:
Current B1G Standings:
1. Michigan (13-3, 5-0)
1. Michigan State (14-2, 5-0)
3. Purdue (13-4, 5-1)
4. Illinois (13-4, 5-2)
5. Oregon (15-2, 4-2)
5. Wisconsin (14-3, 4-2)
7. Indiana (13-5, 4-3)
8. Maryland (13-4, 3-3)
8. USC (11-6, 3-3)
8. Iowa (12-5, 3-3)
11. Nebraska (12-4, 2-3)
NET fell to 49. It was 44-45 prior to USC. Once again Iowa misses a chance to give themselves breathing room. The elephant in the room is 0-5 in Q1 games. They are also 0-3 on the road.
