Jerry Palm
- Thread starter Buffalo43
- Start date
Bracketmatrix is great. But to be honest with a new rating system (NET) I think a lot of predictions will be off. I think they get most of the teams right, the seeds might be off.
It all depends on what this committee values. Quad 1 wins? Quad 3-4 losses? Last 10? Non-Conf SOS? There are a lot of factors that they look at, and overall do they reward the mid majors or stick to Power 5 teams. It’s a crapshoot and I don’t know what the committee will do. Hopefully they don’t look at non-conf SOS. That’s Iowa’s only red flag as of right now.
Right now it does. Funny what a couple BTT wins can do. Couple weeks ago many on here were screaming for a 3-4 seed over a 6-7.
And I was definitely not one of those.
Unwarranted exuberance and hyperbolic negativity are both well represented in this forum.
It is hard to tell what the committee will do. They are not consistent. Reasons they give for leaving a team out (or putting some teams in) one year are non-factors the next.
They had a chace to make their way up to a 4 but obviously that is out of play now. I think with 2 wins in the BTT they could claw back to a 6 and if they win it a 5 is probably the tops.
Agree. It’s perfectly fitting as well. If we square things back up this weekend, we can earn back some lost seed positioning....which would mean we are playing well going into the tournament. So I guess less likely to be upset, right? If we continue playing defense optional...well then 9-11 seed looks right, and if/when we lose in the tournament we won’t be a laughing stock of an upset.
Let’s call it a win-win?
Win the BTT and I don't think 4 is out of question. It would likely include wins that came over Mich, Purdue, and MSU.
They would need to win their first round game to set up that scenario, which I would not bet on.
Palm is terrible. We may have been a 7, MAYBE if they didn't Hawkeye the Nebraska game. I still can't get over how careless they were with the Jobo turnover on the inbounds which then resulted in like a 5 point play with a 3 and a 2 pointer under a minute to go. Yes it was on the inbounder too, careless by both players. Sums up the last month.
You know what I don't understand in regards to Fran's strategy on baseline inbounds in general; it seems like it would be easiest to get the ball in right after the oppsoing team makes their basket and has a chance to really setup their press, so why not get the ball in quick, get it up court and then call a TO once you get past half court?
He consistantly calls the TO on the baseline and I just don't get it. If you run out of time on the 5 second clock, sure, but not right out of the make when there is plenty of time left.
Yeah the play right before Nebraska tied it when Connor got it fumbling and bumbling down court I knew wouldn't end well, he did draw the foul but 1-2 from the FT line, if he can't even hit FTs consistently which he hasn't been, his % is inflated by non-con, then liability across the board.
I have seen that Seton Hall matchup from some top 10 matrix guys though, even though the seeds were more like 8/9. Anything but Syracuse PLEASE no matter what the seed ends up being.
I would rather be the 10 seed than in the 8-9 game.
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anon_i8nzeu2gbf0ba
Guest
Correct. It's just like the CFP or any other committee. They do whatever they want and then spin it. UCLA and Syracuse getting in a few years ago was a classic example. If it had said Northwestern and Iowa on those resumes, no way would those teams would have made it. But the committee explained how it really all made sense.
What is the big difference besides having to play the 1 Seed in the next round?
7-10, 8-9 Are pretty much tossup games in the NCAA tournament..
So if we're in the 7-10 game does that mean we'd have a chance to play the women in the second round?
Well you already answered the question in missing the 1 seed in the next round.
Well yeah the 1 seed is obviously more difficult to beat for one.
Also, once every few years, a 15 takes down a 2. Never happens to a 1 except for last year.
Careless pretty much sums up Moss. He didn’t get back in Defense for Roby’s dunk and then throws a careless inbound pass completely unaware of time of game and Nebraska player right there..
Per BracketMatrix, Palm is historically the 82nd best bracket projector. So he basically sucks.
Just for fun, here are the number of times each seed has made the Sweet 16 since the tournament expanded in 1985. The better the seed, the better chance of success, in most cases. Stay away from that 8/9 line, folks.
1 116
2 85
3 70
4 64
5 46
6 42
7 27
8 13
9 7
10 23
11 22
12 20
13 6
14 2
15 1
16 0
1 116
2 85
3 70
4 64
5 46
6 42
7 27
8 13
9 7
10 23
11 22
12 20
13 6
14 2
15 1
16 0
