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Question for you Business/Finance experts

menwithouthats

Scout Team
Apr 22, 2006
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Is the U. S. Stock Market going to become extremely volatile in the months leading up to and in the weeks immediately following the election? Or is the economy in good/stable enough condition that it shouldn't be majorly impacted by the period of political turmoil we're likely to experience?
 
IMO, equity markets are more unstable when one party controls the House, Senate, and White House. In general, equity markets like predictability and fiscal sanity. Equity markets also prefer predictable regulation and peace in the Middle East.

The Powell warning this past week re: the federal debt is telling.
 
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IMO, equity markets are more unstable when one party controls the House, Senate, and White House. In general, equity markets like predictability and fiscal sanity. Equity markets also prefer predictable regulation and peace in the Middle East.

The Powell warning this past week re: the federal debt is telling.
Many truths here, but when was the last time we had "fiscal sanity"? Bill Clinton-era?
 
It has almost nothing to do with the election. The only thing that the politicians could do to roil the markets would be statements regarding a radical departure from the current monetary and tax policy which has been accommodating towards economic growth.

Otherwise the economy is strong and a recession is unlikely should the fed reduce or hold rates steady. Would love to a trend towards slightly less spending and lower rates. I think if we see that the sky's the limit.
 
Many truths here, but when was the last time we had "fiscal sanity"? Bill Clinton-era?
That's a good point, but there are degrees of bad. Look at a graph of federal spending over the last 30 years and see where the line gets steeper. Also graph the percentage of federal spending to GDP.

The GOP loves military spending. Dems love domestic spending.

Bottom line is gridlock is the best option for spending.
 
It’s a small sample size but historically election years largely have no impact on equity markets.

Average return is approx 8%

Also worth noting that in a given presidential term, the fourth year is usually the second best behind the third year.

Strong economic indicators suggest it should be smoother than the last two years which were a rollercoaster.
 
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So, talking about company voluntary arrangements (CVAs), it's a bit of a tricky topic, but I'll try to break it down in a casual way.

CVAs are a way for company voluntary arrangements to come to an agreement with their creditors about paying off debts. It's like a structured repayment plan that allows the company to keep trading while dealing with its debts.

Now, whether or not a CVA is a good idea depends on the specific situation of the company. It can be a lifeline for companies struggling with debts, as it can help them avoid liquidation and keep trading.
However, it's not a decision to be taken lightly. A CVA can have long-term implications for the company's finances and reputation, so it's important to weigh the pros and cons carefully.
 
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LOL at HORT "Business/Finance experts." Have you read some of the stuff these guys have posted here? If you're coming here for financial advise, you in big trouble.
 
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