Of course there is a long way to go, and a lot and will happen. But, I went ahead and took a look at the remaining schedules of the B1G teams and applied a little formula to each team as I sorted them.
So I assumed that the top tier teams were going to win their home games against other top tier opponents, lose the road games, win all their home games against second tier opponents and lose half of the games on the road against second tier opponents.
The top tier teams I sorted were:
Iowa, Penn St., Michigan, Michigan St., OSU
The second tier teams I sorted were:
Wisconsin, Nebraska, Purdue, Maryland, Indiana.
Then, with the second tier teams, I assumed that they will lose all of their games against top tier opponents, win all of their home games against other second tier opponents and lose all of their road games against second tier opponents.
While we know this is not likely to happen, I made the remaining teams of Rutgers, Illinois, Northwestern and Minnesota as losing all the rest of their games.
So looking ahead of the schedules, keep in mind that of the 5 top tier teams there will be 7 games ahead, which means between the 5 teams there will definitely be atleast 7 losses. Of the top tier teams, the remaining schedule against other top tier teams is as follows:
Iowa: 1. PSU at home
OSU: 3. PSU, MSU, @Mich
MSU: 3. @OSU, Mich, PSU
Mich: 3. @PSU, @MSU, OSU
PSU: 4. @Iowa, @OSU, @MSU, Mich
So then I calculated the remaining losses for each team (not including the B1G championship game):
Iowa: 1.5
MSU: 2.0
OSU: 2.5
PSU: 3.0
Mich: 3.5
Wisc: 3.5
MD: 3.5
PU: 4.5
Neb: 6
IU: 7 which would not allow them to be bowl eligible
Because 1 of OSU's losses was non-conference, that puts them winning the East, and Iowa wins the West. Just going along with the formula, that puts the winner of the championship game to have either 1.5 or 2.5 losses, which would more than likely put them out of the CFP, unless Oregon, ND, Cincinnati, and the Big 12 champion all lose.
So what does all of this say? More than likely a whole lot of nothing as there is still 8 games to play. But maybe there is something to take from this which is Iowa has the easiest path to the B1G championship game than all other teams, and that means that there are really only 3 bowls in play for Iowa; CFP, Rose or NY6.
So I assumed that the top tier teams were going to win their home games against other top tier opponents, lose the road games, win all their home games against second tier opponents and lose half of the games on the road against second tier opponents.
The top tier teams I sorted were:
Iowa, Penn St., Michigan, Michigan St., OSU
The second tier teams I sorted were:
Wisconsin, Nebraska, Purdue, Maryland, Indiana.
Then, with the second tier teams, I assumed that they will lose all of their games against top tier opponents, win all of their home games against other second tier opponents and lose all of their road games against second tier opponents.
While we know this is not likely to happen, I made the remaining teams of Rutgers, Illinois, Northwestern and Minnesota as losing all the rest of their games.
So looking ahead of the schedules, keep in mind that of the 5 top tier teams there will be 7 games ahead, which means between the 5 teams there will definitely be atleast 7 losses. Of the top tier teams, the remaining schedule against other top tier teams is as follows:
Iowa: 1. PSU at home
OSU: 3. PSU, MSU, @Mich
MSU: 3. @OSU, Mich, PSU
Mich: 3. @PSU, @MSU, OSU
PSU: 4. @Iowa, @OSU, @MSU, Mich
So then I calculated the remaining losses for each team (not including the B1G championship game):
Iowa: 1.5
MSU: 2.0
OSU: 2.5
PSU: 3.0
Mich: 3.5
Wisc: 3.5
MD: 3.5
PU: 4.5
Neb: 6
IU: 7 which would not allow them to be bowl eligible
Because 1 of OSU's losses was non-conference, that puts them winning the East, and Iowa wins the West. Just going along with the formula, that puts the winner of the championship game to have either 1.5 or 2.5 losses, which would more than likely put them out of the CFP, unless Oregon, ND, Cincinnati, and the Big 12 champion all lose.
So what does all of this say? More than likely a whole lot of nothing as there is still 8 games to play. But maybe there is something to take from this which is Iowa has the easiest path to the B1G championship game than all other teams, and that means that there are really only 3 bowls in play for Iowa; CFP, Rose or NY6.
