If they do, I won’t post on the basketball board for a year. But, I’m not worried. Get used to my friendly, uplifting banter unfettered!
STOP it with the bubble talk! This team is NOT making the NCAA tournament!
- Thread starter curtisj157
- Start date
Exactly what was said last year at this time. “This team won’t even be on the bubble”. I said true, they’ll be easily in. And was right.
Fine.
If Iowa doesn't make the NCAA tournament, you are only allowed to make pessimistic posts that agree with other Iowa fans' pessimistic posts until after next football season is over with.
Deal?
The bubble is very weak this year. Pretty sure Michigan state is still in the tourney lol.
Our guard play has us very much in the mix. The emergence of Dix changes the outlook of this team. Perkins/Dix backcourt going to be solid the rest of the way.
Oh look who’s out of the basement again after a loss.
The worst part is they really cant afford any more bad losses. The remaining schedule is loaded with chances of that happening. Maryland, Michigan, Penn State, Indiana and Minnesota are all 90 and below in the net. Quad1 chanches are limited with Illinois twice, Wisconsin and Michigan State. I currently feel like we could be right on the bubble w/o any quad1 wins but need to run the table on the Quad2 and below games which there will be 7 of those and win at least 1 game in BIG10 tourney. Buckle up!!
When has the bubble not been weak?
Sure, there's still hope for them making the tourney. Just like there is for multiple other teams.
I had a ceiling of 6 wins and a floor of 4 a few weeks back. I think I might have been on the low side given the last several games. If Dix starts the rest of the way, I think they could get to 8 conference wins. I don't think it gets them in, but they're a lot closer than I thought.
I don’t think they’ll make the tourney nor be on the bubble cone selection weekend.
But I think it’s possible.
Looking at the last 13 games on the schedule (pre-BTT), there is not a single game on there that they can't win if they show up and play well.
But on the flip side, if they don't show up or can't hit the broad side of a barn, 0-13 is not completely off the table either.
There's 8 games on the schedule that wouldn't be viewed as "crippling" losses to the resume for a bubble team; @ IU, vs Ohio St, @ Maryland, vs Wisky, @ MSU, @ Illinois, @ NW and vs Illinois.
The other 5 are ones they absolutely can not lose if they want to have any shot at the Big Dance, combined with a couple wins vs likely/locked NCAA teams; those 5 are vs MD, @ Michigan, @ PSU, vs Minnesota and vs PSU.
Here's hoping they can pull 3+ rabbits out their hat - as well as win the games they'll actually be favored in - and go 8-5 or better to finish out the regular season.
But on the flip side, if they don't show up or can't hit the broad side of a barn, 0-13 is not completely off the table either.
There's 8 games on the schedule that wouldn't be viewed as "crippling" losses to the resume for a bubble team; @ IU, vs Ohio St, @ Maryland, vs Wisky, @ MSU, @ Illinois, @ NW and vs Illinois.
The other 5 are ones they absolutely can not lose if they want to have any shot at the Big Dance, combined with a couple wins vs likely/locked NCAA teams; those 5 are vs MD, @ Michigan, @ PSU, vs Minnesota and vs PSU.
Here's hoping they can pull 3+ rabbits out their hat - as well as win the games they'll actually be favored in - and go 8-5 or better to finish out the regular season.
Remaining schedule using today's NET rankings
Quad 1:
vs Wisconsin (2/17)
@ Michigan State (2/20)
@ Illinois (2/24)
vs Illinois (3/10)
Quad 2:
@ Michigan (1/27)
@ Indiana (1/30)
vs Ohio State (2/2)
@ Penn State (2/8) *could be a Q3
@ Maryland (2/14)
@ jNW (3/2) *could be a Q1
Quad 3:
vs Maryland (1/24)
vs Minnesota (2/11)
vs Penn State (2/27)
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Minnesota at home would also be a Quad3 game
While I don't think it ends up this way, I feel compelled to point out that Michigan is higher in the NET currently than both IU and Maryland. So including @ UM as a "can't lose" seems weird, especially if you are allowing @ IU and @ MD to be viewed as fine.
I was just going by overall records. I didn't do a deep dig into NET and all those other metrics.
My bad.
