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Summer Relief On the Way? Supervolcano Possibility In Italy

Nov 28, 2010
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Supervolcano 'on verge of eruption'

Could spark mass extinction and nuclear winter


The crust of the Campi Flegrei volcano, near Naples in southern Italy, is becoming weaker and more prone to rupturing, "making an eruption more likely", research recently published in the journal Communications Earth & Environment said.

It could erupt soon, a new study states, and it would be the first time since 1538.

If the volcano erupts, it could launch molten rock and volcanic gases high into the stratosphere.

It could lead to 100ft tsunamis, leading sulfur, and toxic ash to spread causing fears it could destroy crops and wildlife, plunging the Earth into a global winter.

...a recent rise in the number of earthquakes in the area has concerned scientists, with more than 600 recorded in April alone.

Supervolcanoes refer to volcanoes that can produce eruptions of the highest magnitude, reaching an 8 on the Volcano Explosivity Index. During eruptions, they can expel more than 240 cubic miles (1,000 cubic kilometers) of material.

Its biggest eruption ranked as a category 7 - which can be disastrous, according to Live Science.

 
Nearly as famous as Yellowstone, Campi Flegrei caldera, near Naples, Italy, experienced violent explosive eruptions 39,000 years ago and also 15,000 years ago, although neither was anywhere near the size of the largest explosive eruptions from the Yellowstone system. On the other hand, Campi Flegrei, like Yellowstone, experiences frequent earthquake swarms and even outdoes Yellowstone when it comes to ground deformation, with several meters of uplift occurring over the last century. Campi Flegrei's most recent eruption formed the Monte Nuovo cinder cone in 1538.

 
It’s pretty wild that the last time it went off was 39000 years ago, and the window for these things varies by more time than recorded history.
 
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...and yet, we have articles saying it could happen again "soon"
It could. It could also happen long after we’re replaced by machines. I doubt it will be in Italy either way. Taupo and Yellowstone seem more likely.
 
Depends on whether we get actual nuclear winter, and how long it lasts.

Would a couple of years of failed crops and livestock die-off reduce the polluter population enough for CO2 levels to start falling?
Welp I’m glad I’ve been investing in canned meats.
 
caldera%20deformation%20plot_0.jpg


The town of Mammoth (in Long Valley) has a 'scenic route' you can take out of town to get back to the highway.
It's a pretty drive, however the 'scenic route' is really a volcano evacuation route - but calling it that would hurt home prices.
 
Depends on whether we get actual nuclear winter, and how long it lasts.

Would a couple of years of failed crops and livestock die-off reduce the polluter population enough for CO2 levels to start falling?
How many growing seasons did the eruption in the early 1800's interrupt? Maybe ask Lute.
 

Supervolcano 'on verge of eruption'

Could spark mass extinction and nuclear winter


The crust of the Campi Flegrei volcano, near Naples in southern Italy, is becoming weaker and more prone to rupturing, "making an eruption more likely", research recently published in the journal Communications Earth & Environment said.

It could erupt soon, a new study states, and it would be the first time since 1538.

If the volcano erupts, it could launch molten rock and volcanic gases high into the stratosphere.

It could lead to 100ft tsunamis, leading sulfur, and toxic ash to spread causing fears it could destroy crops and wildlife, plunging the Earth into a global winter.

...a recent rise in the number of earthquakes in the area has concerned scientists, with more than 600 recorded in April alone.

Supervolcanoes refer to volcanoes that can produce eruptions of the highest magnitude, reaching an 8 on the Volcano Explosivity Index. During eruptions, they can expel more than 240 cubic miles (1,000 cubic kilometers) of material.

Its biggest eruption ranked as a category 7 - which can be disastrous, according to Live Science.

I don’t believe it. 😉
 
...and yet, we have articles saying it could happen again "soon"
Great. The old "it might not happen soon, so let's ignore it" argument.

It (nor Yellowstone, nor any of the others) is unlikely to happen tomorrow. But what preparations have we made?

I bet somewhere there's a "plan" that we paid a $million to develop in 2007, dropped in a file cabinet, and promptly forgot about. I wonder what it says? And how relevant it is today? And whether we could find it if it actually happens?
 
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