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the Iowa talent problem

@Roy L Fuchs has no problem spelling it out.

It’s really simple. There’s a reason Iowa’s last serious shot at a Final Four came in the 1980s. You can’t build a top ten caliber team with a bunch of Starbucks drinkers. You need athletes, especially in today’s guard-dominate game. There isn’t a lot of mystery to it, is there, Outrage Roy?

The holier-than-thou-art Iowa fans can get butthurt all they want about it. It doesn’t make it any less true. And frankly, it seems like enough Iowa fans are okay with mediocrity to above-average results. They’re going to continue to get their wish.
2 NBA players last year. Two on the roster currently. A number of other players that are incredibly athletic on the roster.

I think what yoh are trying to say is white players aren't athletic. Which makes you a racist
 
I'll admit, the Iowa women's team needs additional athleticism. That being said, what does all this criticism say about the B10...when these Iowa teams won the B10 tournament?

Iowa's men's team just didn't shoot the ball well...and it killed them. Fran was out-coached and didn't make the necessary adjustments on offense to win that game. I have no doubt Iowa could have gotten on a roll if they got past Richmond...but they have to be shooting 38 to 40% from three at a minimum to do it. It's what they did in the B10 run. Had Fran just told the team to be patient and work the ball down low to Keegan on every possession the last 15 minutes...we win that game. Keegan would have gotten fouls/buckets or made the right plays to get others good shots.

You freaking ride your all-American...and you live with the consequences if he doesn't get it done. He had earned the right to put the team on his back and fail. I don't think he would have though.
Good post.
 
2 NBA players last year. Two on the roster currently. A number of other players that are incredibly athletic on the roster.

I think what yoh are trying to say is white players aren't athletic. Which makes you a racist
No one ever accused Tim Dwight of not being athletic.

Again, I’m having a little fun with Outrage Roy. And yes, Iowa needs more athleticism on the team. You can interpret that how you want.
 
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Yep. If you don’t step in line to ride Fran’s dick, or worship at the feet of JBo, Connor, and the other “good ol’ Iowa boys,” you’re not a fan.

Maybe there’s some truth to that. It’s clear Outrage Roy, I, and others believing that it’s possible for Iowa basketball to return to even a shadow of what they were under Lute Olson and the early Dr. Tom years are in the minority. I mean, God forbid we ever get an aggressive AD who would want to try to…oh, I don’t know…hire a competent recruiter, because…ya know, Lick. 🙄
 
No one ever accused Tim Dwight of not being athletic.

Again, I’m having a little fun with Outrage Roy. And yes, Iowa needs more athleticism on the team. You can interpret that how you want.
Which players aren't athletic on the roster? This should be entertaining
 
Well we are elite at one thing....winning BTT and losing 1st game or 2nd game in NCAA.


Didn't all three of Iowa's BTT teams lose in 1st game? I know the ~2000 Alford team lost to a very good Kentucky team, but I guess that was the 2nd game? The Alford Horner/Brunner team lost 1st game to NW Louisiana St which was not a sweet16 team and Fran's team lost to Richmond which of course is not a sweet16 team.




4. Of the 24 BTT champions, the breakdown goes like this. 3 lost in first round (Iowa 2 of those), 6 lost in second round, 6 lost in Sweet 16, 2 lost in elite 8, 2 lost in final 4, 4 lost in the championship game, and 1 team won it all. This data is a mixed-bag, but, you can deduct some things. First, Iowa is the outlier here as they are the only ones to lose twice in the first round, indicating that they under-performed in the NCAA. But, 9 of the 24 winners did not make it out of the first weekend which is substantial enough of a number to suggest that they were gassed after the BTT. Then, for the 15 teams that made it out of the first weekend, a much larger percentage in 9 of them made it to the elite 8. This suggests that once they got that week of rest they were reset.
 
Fran gets my gratitude for resurrecting Iowa Basketball but he has taken the team as far as he can.

Bluder is stuck in a rut; keeps coming close to a great year and always falls short.

Bottom line its time to replace both coaches.

They keep coming up small when it really counts.
Holy crap would that be a headliner if Iowa replaced those 2.
 
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Oh, I know, that is the point. I think Nova is a great tournament team. But I don't think that team rides through the B1G as easily. Of course I have no way of knowing that, but I just don't think so.
Lol their 2018 National was one of the best championship teams ever. 3 first round picks and the National player of their year was the first player drafted in the 2nd round. Had one of the more difficult matcups in the tournament and they absolutely dominated everyone they played.

they are good this year but not nearly as talented. Michigan could beat them, but to say Jay Wright coach teams couldn’t compete in the Big Ten is a stretch.
 
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Not sure we have any elite defenders. Perkins is okay against slightly bigger guys. Quick guys give him trouble. Joe is quick but gets posted up very easily. Rebounding is going to have to improve a lot.
 
Gabby Marshal has been a liability all year. She cannot get a shot off on her own. All she can do is stand out there and take a wide open 3 shot. Her defense is terrible. If you watch the last 3 minutes they went right by her on 3 occasions. Her quickness is lacking and she can't rebound. She is not good enough to be a starter on a Big10 team. Martin and Warnock are just not quick enough either. Bluder needs to get a better supporting cast. If Clark did not attract so much attention they would never get a shot off on their own.
I was at the game and had no idea what Marshall was doing on defense. She was right up into the Creighton player but was playing on her weak hand side, giving the player a free drive to the right. Know where in basketball is that taught. You shade players on their strong hand to make them go to their weak side. Poor defense in critical situations and rebounding was why the women lost. It was almost a carbon copy of the men’s game on Thursday.
 
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IMO, it's a pretty consistent theme as to why Iowa can't ever seem to get over the hump on the national stage. It's not that our best players aren't as good as other team's best players.. heck, our best players are often better. It's that there is often such a cliff drop between our best players and average/role players. Luka, Keegan, and Caitlyn have all had to carry their teams more than they should have to. Look what happened when Keegan and Caitlyn have an 'average' game, not even a horrible game. There is nobody else to pick up their slack.
I mean, I could tell you what the problem is, but I think deep down we all know it and just don't want to say it in a public setting because it might offend some people who don't want to admit it's an issue...........
Look to the cookie!
 
ISU coach has a pretty good shot at getting to sweet16 with a team full of retreads.

Gabe Kalscheur from Minnesota. Brockington was Penn State guy. Some dude from slovakia
 
Mens and womens teams are pretty close to mirror images of each other.
no defense. Everything looks amazing when you shoot the ball well.
This is 100% accurate. Teams know refs will allow physical play and that’s a great way to get high scoring teams out of rythm. Both teams have a very difficult time handling physical play and it takes them mentally out of thier game from my viewpoint. Instead of adjusting they many times complain and start worrying abouy a lack of calls instead. I think we’ve all seen this tournament and many times before that defense wins games. You have great defense you can still win when offensively challenged. Defense is a attitude. You either want to or not.
 
Which players aren't athletic on the roster? This should be entertaining

I’ll try!

none of these guys play defense or rebound well: Rebraca, Jbo, PMac. Note all three were starters. PMac has the most consistent offensive game and he can demonstrate some athletic tendencies at times on offense.

Joe T can’t remain in control so even though he’s athletic, quick, and tough, I’m not seeing it translate into actually making him anything but an average to sub par guard.

Josh on the other hand seems coordinated but he’s too fat to play enough minutes. He could be a fine backup 5 for 10 mins a game against other opposing centers. I’m not knocking Josh but he’s got to get in better physical shape or he can’t help Iowa much… (a bit of bulk not a bad thing and even if he’s in shape he’s the type that still has baby fat)

connor’s game isn’t particularly athletic as much as it is smart and hard nosed. Most of the time he’s fine on D but doesn’t help much on offense outside of his NBA Jam “on fire” streak this year. He’s not a better than average B1G player but he’s fine as a backup and he’s a good floor leader.

Perkins is somewhat of an enigma to me. He’s got capability but has too many games where he disappears. Then again he plays tough D and shouldn’t need to be anything but the 3rd to 4th option on offense. We’ve got room for him.

Kris and Keegan are the very definition of athletic. They’re so smooth and in control. Keegan was a once in a generation player and I hope we see Kris take a leap next year. Sandfort looks to me to be also in a similar mold of smooth and in control, plus he is fearless shooting. He blew me away as a true freshman!

I may have forgotten somebody, but I don’t think Ash or Mulvey are that athletic. Neither going to help Iowa much. Haven’t seen enough of Ulis but he’s a fine backup point guard - seems to handle the ball well, makes FTs, but otherwise I’m not sure he needs more than 5 mins a game or so.

long post is long but I’d say our most athletic players are;
Ke Murray
Kr Murray
Perkins
Sandfort

athletic enough but has a problem controlling it in one way or another:
JoeT - on roller skates
Josh - overweight

not complete players:
PMac - fine on offense but def/reb yuck
Jbo - similar
Connor - fine for backup floor leader
Rebraca - tries hard but not starting material

not enough info yet:
Ulis

Fire away
 
I’ll try!

none of these guys play defense or rebound well: Rebraca, Jbo, PMac. Note all three were starters. PMac has the most consistent offensive game and he can demonstrate some athletic tendencies at times on offense.

Joe T can’t remain in control so even though he’s athletic, quick, and tough, I’m not seeing it translate into actually making him anything but an average to sub par guard.

Josh on the other hand seems coordinated but he’s too fat to play enough minutes. He could be a fine backup 5 for 10 mins a game against other opposing centers. I’m not knocking Josh but he’s got to get in better physical shape or he can’t help Iowa much… (a bit of bulk not a bad thing and even if he’s in shape he’s the type that still has baby fat)

connor’s game isn’t particularly athletic as much as it is smart and hard nosed. Most of the time he’s fine on D but doesn’t help much on offense outside of his NBA Jam “on fire” streak this year. He’s not a better than average B1G player but he’s fine as a backup and he’s a good floor leader.

Perkins is somewhat of an enigma to me. He’s got capability but has too many games where he disappears. Then again he plays tough D and shouldn’t need to be anything but the 3rd to 4th option on offense. We’ve got room for him.

Kris and Keegan are the very definition of athletic. They’re so smooth and in control. Keegan was a once in a generation player and I hope we see Kris take a leap next year. Sandfort looks to me to be also in a similar mold of smooth and in control, plus he is fearless shooting. He blew me away as a true freshman!

I may have forgotten somebody, but I don’t think Ash or Mulvey are that athletic. Neither going to help Iowa much. Haven’t seen enough of Ulis but he’s a fine backup point guard - seems to handle the ball well, makes FTs, but otherwise I’m not sure he needs more than 5 mins a game or so.

long post is long but I’d say our most athletic players are;
Ke Murray
Kr Murray
Perkins
Sandfort

athletic enough but has a problem controlling it in one way or another:
JoeT - on roller skates
Josh - overweight

not complete players:
PMac - fine on offense but def/reb yuck
Jbo - similar
Connor - fine for backup floor leader
Rebraca - tries hard but not starting material

not enough info yet:
Ulis

Fire away

Nothing to fire away at other than you believing none of those guys are athletic. They would all dunk on anyone on this board
 
I’ll try!

none of these guys play defense or rebound well: Rebraca, Jbo, PMac. Note all three were starters. PMac has the most consistent offensive game and he can demonstrate some athletic tendencies at times on offense.

Joe T can’t remain in control so even though he’s athletic, quick, and tough, I’m not seeing it translate into actually making him anything but an average to sub par guard.

Josh on the other hand seems coordinated but he’s too fat to play enough minutes. He could be a fine backup 5 for 10 mins a game against other opposing centers. I’m not knocking Josh but he’s got to get in better physical shape or he can’t help Iowa much… (a bit of bulk not a bad thing and even if he’s in shape he’s the type that still has baby fat)

connor’s game isn’t particularly athletic as much as it is smart and hard nosed. Most of the time he’s fine on D but doesn’t help much on offense outside of his NBA Jam “on fire” streak this year. He’s not a better than average B1G player but he’s fine as a backup and he’s a good floor leader.

Perkins is somewhat of an enigma to me. He’s got capability but has too many games where he disappears. Then again he plays tough D and shouldn’t need to be anything but the 3rd to 4th option on offense. We’ve got room for him.

Kris and Keegan are the very definition of athletic. They’re so smooth and in control. Keegan was a once in a generation player and I hope we see Kris take a leap next year. Sandfort looks to me to be also in a similar mold of smooth and in control, plus he is fearless shooting. He blew me away as a true freshman!

I may have forgotten somebody, but I don’t think Ash or Mulvey are that athletic. Neither going to help Iowa much. Haven’t seen enough of Ulis but he’s a fine backup point guard - seems to handle the ball well, makes FTs, but otherwise I’m not sure he needs more than 5 mins a game or so.

long post is long but I’d say our most athletic players are;
Ke Murray
Kr Murray
Perkins
Sandfort

athletic enough but has a problem controlling it in one way or another:
JoeT - on roller skates
Josh - overweight

not complete players:
PMac - fine on offense but def/reb yuck
Jbo - similar
Connor - fine for backup floor leader
Rebraca - tries hard but not starting material

not enough info yet:
Ulis

Fire away
I agree with your thoughts/comments
 
Nothing to fire away at other than you believing none of those guys are athletic. They would all dunk on anyone on this board

can’t believe I’m responding to this.

they’ve got to be able to “dunk on” other P5 teams and the occasional A-10 type.

Also, what you just tried to say is completely true for EVERY COLLEGE TEAM.
 
We are too Caucasian and our non Caucasian players play out of control.

Recruiting and exploiting the transfer portal at Iowa for multiple sports has been a total and complete joke. Add airtight job security and these will be your repetitive results. Simple stuff.
 
There are just so many issues, but here is the biggest one in my eyes:

I think that for whatever reason, the B1G has been dominated by post play. It probably has a lot to do with officiating, but in order to run the gauntlet of the B1G season you really need to have big guys. Guard dominant teams just don't seem to be able to make it through the B1G season. A great example of that is Michigan under Beilein. Many of Beilein's teams were guard dominant, and although in 12 years his teams lost in the national championship game twice, went to one elite 8 and 2 other sweet 16's, he only won the B1G regular season twice. And one year they won it but lost in the first round. Only the 13-14 season is when they won the regular season and went to the elite 8 (lost in the championship game of the BTT) is the outlier. Conversely, the years his teams went to the national championship game they finished 4th both years in the league. Although in one of those years they lost in the second round of the BTT, but the other they won it. And the year they won the BTT, they had a 1 point game in the second round that could have gone the other way. Also look at Illinois last year and this year. Poised to make a run, high seeds. No sweet 16. These 2 teams were built around Kofi, and although Kofi played well in both, they don't advance. They haven't been to a sweet 16 in about as long as we have.

The data supports some obvious trends:

1. You need a guard dominant team to be able to advance in the NCAA tournament. Specifically multiple guards that can shoot, dribble drive, hit free throws, and defend. However, this type of team does not finish in the top half of the B1G and will not even make the tournament.
2. Teams that make long runs in the BTT have a very difficult time in the first two rounds of the NCAA tournament, regardless of seed.
3. Since the BTT began, only 10 of the 24 tournament champions were also either outright or tied conference regular season champions. This supports the theory that you need a different team to win a regular season than you do to win the tournament.
4. Of the 24 BTT champions, the breakdown goes like this. 3 lost in first round (Iowa 2 of those), 6 lost in second round, 6 lost in Sweet 16, 2 lost in elite 8, 2 lost in final 4, 4 lost in the championship game, and 1 team won it all. This data is a mixed-bag, but, you can deduct some things. First, Iowa is the outlier here as they are the only ones to lose twice in the first round, indicating that they under-performed in the NCAA. But, 9 of the 24 winners did not make it out of the first weekend which is substantial enough of a number to suggest that they were gassed after the BTT. Then, for the 15 teams that made it out of the first weekend, a much larger percentage in 9 of them made it to the elite 8. This suggests that once they got that week of rest they were reset.

I think if the B1G wants to get the monkey off their back and advance teams further in the tourney, they need to do the following things:

1. Standardize the ball for god's sake.
2. Get on the same page with officiating. Study how the NCAA is officiated, round by round, and coach their officials to officiate accordingly.
3. Start and end the tournament earlier. The Sunday night championship is a killer for a team from west of Indy if they have to go east of indy for the NCAA. The fatigue from crossing time zones is a real thing and should not be overlooked.
4. Stop focusing on the number of teams that B1G needs to get in the tournament and focus instead on the quality of teams.

Overall the biggest issue period with college basketball is officiating and the lack of consistency is mind-blowing.

If Iowa specifically wants to advance further in the tournament:

1. Standardize the ball for god's sake.
2. Realize that the majority of these games are going to be played in the 60's due to tempo and officiating. Very few teams in the tournament are going to cooperate with Iowa dictating the tempo.
3. Realize that your team is more than likely going to shoot a lesser percentage in the tournament than in the regular season. This is due to several factors that support this while there are no factors supporting that Iowa will shoot better. Thus, plan accordingly from the beginning.
4. Start valuing possessions more. There is a very very high likelihood that Iowa will receive less possessions during a game than what they get in the regular season. Be smarter and don't give them away freely.
5. Play inside out rather than outside in.
6. Realize that there will be a much greater percentage of half-court possessions than transition baskets. Every team in the tournament has a goal of limiting their opponents transition baskets.
7. Value free throws.
8. Just be smarter. Identify mis-matches and go to them continually and repeatedly. Don't just let your offense flow without purpose for most of the game and try to gameplan at the end. All these teams are good and a gameplan is needed from the beginning.

Just my thoughts.
Conferences don't have their own reffs. They're all independent contractors who work multiple conferences.

The same guys that reff in the big ten games are doing ncaa tournament games.

Also Iowa did just fine without a true big in the conference so its not a necessity.

They beat Michigan, Purdue and should have beat Illinois.
 
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Conferences don't have their own reffs. They're all independent contractors who work multiple conferences.

The same guys that reff in the big ten games are doing ncaa tournament games.

i didn’t know this… are you saying the refs we see during conference play also work other regular season games for other conferences? I don’t think that’s true is it? I mean watch any B1G game and it’s guys we always see in our games too.

I must not be understanding what you mean or I’m just an ignorant guy (probably)
 
There is no common theme or narrative that neatly summarizes why Iowa didn't do better the last two tournaments.

People are way to desperate to come up with "the reason".

It doesn't exist.

Theres little to nothing in common between the two games.

The only common thread is that Bohannon couldn't defend the opponents pg in either game.
 
They can ref other conferences but they pretty much stick to the B1G. They know they can suck and still have a job in this conference.
 
They can ref other conferences but they pretty much stick to the B1G. They know they can suck and still have a job in this conference.
I've see most of the common big ten guys ( Carstenson, Green, Scirato) in the tournament.

If the same guys are doing both there is no point in talking about how the tournament is different.
 
i didn’t know this… are you saying the refs we see during conference play also work other regular season games for other conferences? I don’t think that’s true is it? I mean watch any B1G game and it’s guys we always see in our games too.

I must not be understanding what you mean or I’m just an ignorant guy (probably)
Yes, they do multiple conferences.

We usually get the same guys but those same guys are also doing other conferences.

Its a ridiculous system where they essentially do whatever they want with no repercussions.

It's hard to believe its allowed with how much money can be made through gambling.
 
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There are just so many issues, but here is the biggest one in my eyes:

I think that for whatever reason, the B1G has been dominated by post play. It probably has a lot to do with officiating, but in order to run the gauntlet of the B1G season you really need to have big guys. Guard dominant teams just don't seem to be able to make it through the B1G season. A great example of that is Michigan under Beilein. Many of Beilein's teams were guard dominant, and although in 12 years his teams lost in the national championship game twice, went to one elite 8 and 2 other sweet 16's, he only won the B1G regular season twice. And one year they won it but lost in the first round. Only the 13-14 season is when they won the regular season and went to the elite 8 (lost in the championship game of the BTT) is the outlier. Conversely, the years his teams went to the national championship game they finished 4th both years in the league. Although in one of those years they lost in the second round of the BTT, but the other they won it. And the year they won the BTT, they had a 1 point game in the second round that could have gone the other way. Also look at Illinois last year and this year. Poised to make a run, high seeds. No sweet 16. These 2 teams were built around Kofi, and although Kofi played well in both, they don't advance. They haven't been to a sweet 16 in about as long as we have.

The data supports some obvious trends:

1. You need a guard dominant team to be able to advance in the NCAA tournament. Specifically multiple guards that can shoot, dribble drive, hit free throws, and defend. However, this type of team does not finish in the top half of the B1G and will not even make the tournament.
2. Teams that make long runs in the BTT have a very difficult time in the first two rounds of the NCAA tournament, regardless of seed.
3. Since the BTT began, only 10 of the 24 tournament champions were also either outright or tied conference regular season champions. This supports the theory that you need a different team to win a regular season than you do to win the tournament.
4. Of the 24 BTT champions, the breakdown goes like this. 3 lost in first round (Iowa 2 of those), 6 lost in second round, 6 lost in Sweet 16, 2 lost in elite 8, 2 lost in final 4, 4 lost in the championship game, and 1 team won it all. This data is a mixed-bag, but, you can deduct some things. First, Iowa is the outlier here as they are the only ones to lose twice in the first round, indicating that they under-performed in the NCAA. But, 9 of the 24 winners did not make it out of the first weekend which is substantial enough of a number to suggest that they were gassed after the BTT. Then, for the 15 teams that made it out of the first weekend, a much larger percentage in 9 of them made it to the elite 8. This suggests that once they got that week of rest they were reset.

I think if the B1G wants to get the monkey off their back and advance teams further in the tourney, they need to do the following things:

1. Standardize the ball for god's sake.
2. Get on the same page with officiating. Study how the NCAA is officiated, round by round, and coach their officials to officiate accordingly.
3. Start and end the tournament earlier. The Sunday night championship is a killer for a team from west of Indy if they have to go east of indy for the NCAA. The fatigue from crossing time zones is a real thing and should not be overlooked.
4. Stop focusing on the number of teams that B1G needs to get in the tournament and focus instead on the quality of teams.

Overall the biggest issue period with college basketball is officiating and the lack of consistency is mind-blowing.

If Iowa specifically wants to advance further in the tournament:

1. Standardize the ball for god's sake.
2. Realize that the majority of these games are going to be played in the 60's due to tempo and officiating. Very few teams in the tournament are going to cooperate with Iowa dictating the tempo.
3. Realize that your team is more than likely going to shoot a lesser percentage in the tournament than in the regular season. This is due to several factors that support this while there are no factors supporting that Iowa will shoot better. Thus, plan accordingly from the beginning.
4. Start valuing possessions more. There is a very very high likelihood that Iowa will receive less possessions during a game than what they get in the regular season. Be smarter and don't give them away freely.
5. Play inside out rather than outside in.
6. Realize that there will be a much greater percentage of half-court possessions than transition baskets. Every team in the tournament has a goal of limiting their opponents transition baskets.
7. Value free throws.
8. Just be smarter. Identify mis-matches and go to them continually and repeatedly. Don't just let your offense flow without purpose for most of the game and try to gameplan at the end. All these teams are good and a gameplan is needed from the beginning.

Just my thoughts.
Excellent post. I agree with it all.
 
DJ reffing the PUR / TX game as I type. I learned something today!
Middle men firms highered by the conferences are responsible for assigning reffs to games.

The ncaa supposedly has some kind of oversight of the whole thing but thats a joke like everything they do.

Its why college basketball officiating is so terrible and inconsistent.

Theres no one actually in charge.
 
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