There are just so many issues, but here is the biggest one in my eyes:
I think that for whatever reason, the B1G has been dominated by post play. It probably has a lot to do with officiating, but in order to run the gauntlet of the B1G season you really need to have big guys. Guard dominant teams just don't seem to be able to make it through the B1G season. A great example of that is Michigan under Beilein. Many of Beilein's teams were guard dominant, and although in 12 years his teams lost in the national championship game twice, went to one elite 8 and 2 other sweet 16's, he only won the B1G regular season twice. And one year they won it but lost in the first round. Only the 13-14 season is when they won the regular season and went to the elite 8 (lost in the championship game of the BTT) is the outlier. Conversely, the years his teams went to the national championship game they finished 4th both years in the league. Although in one of those years they lost in the second round of the BTT, but the other they won it. And the year they won the BTT, they had a 1 point game in the second round that could have gone the other way. Also look at Illinois last year and this year. Poised to make a run, high seeds. No sweet 16. These 2 teams were built around Kofi, and although Kofi played well in both, they don't advance. They haven't been to a sweet 16 in about as long as we have.
The data supports some obvious trends:
1. You need a guard dominant team to be able to advance in the NCAA tournament. Specifically multiple guards that can shoot, dribble drive, hit free throws, and defend. However, this type of team does not finish in the top half of the B1G and will not even make the tournament.
2. Teams that make long runs in the BTT have a very difficult time in the first two rounds of the NCAA tournament, regardless of seed.
3. Since the BTT began, only 10 of the 24 tournament champions were also either outright or tied conference regular season champions. This supports the theory that you need a different team to win a regular season than you do to win the tournament.
4. Of the 24 BTT champions, the breakdown goes like this. 3 lost in first round (Iowa 2 of those), 6 lost in second round, 6 lost in Sweet 16, 2 lost in elite 8, 2 lost in final 4, 4 lost in the championship game, and 1 team won it all. This data is a mixed-bag, but, you can deduct some things. First, Iowa is the outlier here as they are the only ones to lose twice in the first round, indicating that they under-performed in the NCAA. But, 9 of the 24 winners did not make it out of the first weekend which is substantial enough of a number to suggest that they were gassed after the BTT. Then, for the 15 teams that made it out of the first weekend, a much larger percentage in 9 of them made it to the elite 8. This suggests that once they got that week of rest they were reset.
I think if the B1G wants to get the monkey off their back and advance teams further in the tourney, they need to do the following things:
1. Standardize the ball for god's sake.
2. Get on the same page with officiating. Study how the NCAA is officiated, round by round, and coach their officials to officiate accordingly.
3. Start and end the tournament earlier. The Sunday night championship is a killer for a team from west of Indy if they have to go east of indy for the NCAA. The fatigue from crossing time zones is a real thing and should not be overlooked.
4. Stop focusing on the number of teams that B1G needs to get in the tournament and focus instead on the quality of teams.
Overall the biggest issue period with college basketball is officiating and the lack of consistency is mind-blowing.
If Iowa specifically wants to advance further in the tournament:
1. Standardize the ball for god's sake.
2. Realize that the majority of these games are going to be played in the 60's due to tempo and officiating. Very few teams in the tournament are going to cooperate with Iowa dictating the tempo.
3. Realize that your team is more than likely going to shoot a lesser percentage in the tournament than in the regular season. This is due to several factors that support this while there are no factors supporting that Iowa will shoot better. Thus, plan accordingly from the beginning.
4. Start valuing possessions more. There is a very very high likelihood that Iowa will receive less possessions during a game than what they get in the regular season. Be smarter and don't give them away freely.
5. Play inside out rather than outside in.
6. Realize that there will be a much greater percentage of half-court possessions than transition baskets. Every team in the tournament has a goal of limiting their opponents transition baskets.
7. Value free throws.
8. Just be smarter. Identify mis-matches and go to them continually and repeatedly. Don't just let your offense flow without purpose for most of the game and try to gameplan at the end. All these teams are good and a gameplan is needed from the beginning.
Just my thoughts.