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The State of the Program

I am about to drive home and dont have the info in front of me nevertheless the numbers show the same thing if they are 7.01 or 7.99 from a games per 12 standpoint the only thing the tenths are doing is showing how much more likely 8 is than 6. Which I'm assuming you know based off the smiley.

Agreed. 8 wins is more likely than 6 .... or 7.
 
Hahaha. Math is hard for some. Maybe you could try painting? I have heard guys on Oil rigs make good money, no math in that one for you.

A 7.8 average means they have won more than 7, on average, in the years in question. If you want to call that an average of 7, go for it.
 
A 7.8 average means they have won more than 7, on average, in the years in question. If you want to call that an average of 7, go for it.
O dear lord... you're serious.


A average of 7.8 means they average 7 wins. You cannot win .8 of a game. You have 7 wins until you have 8. 7.99 means you average 7 wins and are much much more likely to win 8 than 6.

(This helped some people the last time this came up)

If a coach averages 7.6 wins per 12 games, after 12 games how many have they actually won?
 
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O dear lord... you're serious.


And average of 7.8 means they average 7 wins. You cannot win .8 of a game. You have 7 wins until you have 8. 7.99 means you average 7 wins and are much much more likely to win 8 than 6.

No. It is an average. That means that some of the time they win more than 7.8, and some of the time they win less than 7.8. It does not mean anything else. We can each choose to interpret the date the way we want to.

Math aside, and excluding bowl wins, Iowa has won at least 8 games 8 times in the last 17 years, for whatever that is worth.
 
No. It is an average. That means that some of the time they win more than 7.8, and some of the time they win less than 7.8. It does not mean anything else. We can each choose to interpret the date the way we want to.

Math aside, and excluding bowl wins, Iowa has won at least 8 games 8 times in the last 17 years, for whatever that is worth.
That's the nice thing about numbers they are pretty simple. I'm not going to go through basic statistics with you but even just a little bit of research might open your eyes. The 7 in the 7.8 or 7.01 or 7.99 is the most likely number to fall on. As that number gets away from 7.5 you can tell which of 6 or 8 is more likely. It's all good man.
 
That's the nice thing about numbers they are pretty simple. I'm not going to go through basic statistics with you but even just a little bit of research might open your eyes. The 7 in the 7.8 or 7.01 or 7.99 is the most likely number to fall on. As that number gets away from 7.5 you can tell which of 6 or 8 is more likely. It's all good man.

I thought that's what I said. If you think that a program that wins 7.8 games on average is just as likely to win 6 as it is 8, that's fine. And,if you think a program that wins 7.8 games on average is just as likely to win 7 as it is 8, that's fine as well. Apparently, I'm not that good with numbers.
 
The reality is that while we’ve achieved a consistent “above mediocre” national reputation, our rivals (and former whipping boys) in Madison have gone on to achieve a “borderline elite” reputation.

This is a hard, but honest truth many of you ignore.
The above is the undeniable truth and quibbling over 8-4 or 7-5 only reinforces it.
 
Hello everyone I used to be a frequent poster on this message board back in the day. I used to be on here everyday when I was in college back in the Adrian Clayborn/Ricki Stanzi years. Due to getting a new job and moving across the country I stopped visiting this message board as often as used to. Lately I have really gotten into visiting this board again. So I figured I would make a post about my thoughts on a lot of different topics and just sort of state my thoughts on things in this thread instead of bringing a lot of older threads to the top of the board again. So with all that being said here goes nothing.

I feel like a lot of people on these boards have such high expectations for the program. To me I have faced the facts of our football program a long time ago. We compete for a BIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP once or twice every 10 years. We are strong contenders for the West division most years and we have the occasional down year. We are a slightly above average program. We MIGHT and I repeat MIGHT have a punchers chance at National Championship once every 10-20 years ('85,'02 and '15). We aren't Bama or tOSU. But we also don't do anything unethical. I feel proud to call myself a Hawkeye. I have the '85 Hawkeye symbol tattooed on my shoulder blade and I live in SEC/OSU country. We do great things for the community and set an example to other program about respect/sportsmanship. The wave is a tradition unlike anything else in all of sports period. Kirk isn't going to punch a TD in with a minute left up 30 points he is going to knee it out on the 1 yard line if he has to. To me its nice to know that I'm not going to wake up to a scandal like tOSU or PSU have had in recent years. Nor are we doing anything against the rules as far as recruiting goes. We have an extremely high graduation rate for our student athletes. We develop our players into better human beings than almost any program in the country.

Would I like us to become an OSU/BAMA type program as far as competing for National titles on the regular? Of course I do. But that's just not in the cards for us.

There are certain things that I need to get off my chest as far as recent threads that I want to address as quick as I can.
-BF is the best OC we have had at Iowa in the KF era. He just needs to be better at calling plays on a consistent basis. For Example, the 1st quarter of the Wisconsin game was terrible. From that point on I thought he called a great game until the last drive we had with the lead to try and seal the game. People cant call him a trash coordinator when he isn't even 365 days removed from hanging half a hundred on an OSU team that might win the National title the following year. He is only in his second year calling plays under our system. He just needs to be a little more consistent.
-KF should be allowed to coach at iowa as long as he continues to consistently win 60% of his games or more. He is probably the best coach in the country at making his players great young men.
-We need to figure out how to beat Wisconsin. We have beat them 3 of the last 11 years. That game is what is consistently holding us back from taking the next step as a program.
-Iowa needs to be much more aggressive when the game is on the line against top competition. We didn't blitz Hornibrock once on the final drive we just sat in our zone and tried to get there with 4 rushers. Granted we have a great front 4 but if he would have brought a little heat it would have helped get hornibrook to make a mistake. Same goes for the offense. We never went for the killshot in the 4th quarter. We were up by 3 almost the whole 4th quarter and didn't take a deep shot to Fant in single coverage to put pressure on the defense to cover it perfectly. We just kept trying to manage the game.
-We get unlucky sometimes with players going pro early one year and the next year we are contenders for the West but we lack talent at a position a player went pro at the year before. Example '08 Shonn Greene goes pro a year early, the next year we win a BCS bowl. Imagine if we had Greene that year instead of Wegher. Also imagine the team we could have next year if Fant doesn't go pro. Or in 2 years when Epenesa leaves a year early as I would assume he will.
-Lastly what Iowa needs to take this program to the next level is RECRUITING. I could talk about recruiting opportunities all day but to make it simple they need to do 2 things better ASAP in order to get to wisconsins level. We need to keep the best recruits from the state of iowa in the state of iowa. Piershbacker Van ginkel duggan to name a few. Imagine what our team would have been like this year with Piershbacker in the trenches. That might have been the difference between a win against Wisconsin and a loss. The other thing iowa needs to do better in regards to recruiting is bring in better talent at WR and RB. RBs haven't been as big of an issue as WR has lately but I think that's because our Oline is usually very good and help open holes for RB to look better. If we had a top tier WR talent on this roster today we would have a shot at the BIG TEN.

Sorry for the long post but I figured I would address everything in one thread. I look forward to talking football with everyone once again. Go HAWKEYES!!

PS as much as I hate Nebraska (which is A LOT). Can we limit the number of Nebraska threads? We almost need a NEBRASKA THE SKY IS FALLING THREAD. and any and all Nebraska posts go there for the season because I don't think they have hit rock bottom yet.
You have just articulated my thoughts on the Iowa program for the last 10-12 years. The mentality of "We're Iowa, we're not sexy" has never been acceptable to me. We may not be the prettiest, but were pretty damn hot!
 
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-----I also look at Iowa as an 8-4 program, but I expect better.

Given that our schedule dictates a 3-0 or 4-0 start every year, I damn sure think we deserve better than 8-4 when the HC is being paid like coaches who are actually expected to aspire to a National Championship....or at the very least, state it as a goal at least one time in 20 years.
Doesn't most every P5 schedule get that benefit?
 
-----I also look at Iowa as an 8-4 program, but I expect better.

Given that our schedule dictates a 3-0 or 4-0 start every year, I damn sure think we deserve better than 8-4 when the HC is being paid like coaches who are actually expected to aspire to a National Championship....or at the very least, state it as a goal at least one time in 20 years.
Expectations apply only to your own life and actions. Hopes and dreams apply to other people actions.
You deserve what you earn. If you are not in the program as a player you have no claim to what you deserve in terms of that team.
Wanting something is not the same as deserve.
 
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O dear lord... you're serious.


A average of 7.8 means they average 7 wins. You cannot win .8 of a game. You have 7 wins until you have 8. 7.99 means you average 7 wins and are much much more likely to win 8 than 6.

(This helped some people the last time this came up)

If a coach averages 7.6 wins per 12 games, after 12 games how many have they actually won?

Just curious.........Let's change the argument to how many losses that KF has averaged over his career during a 12 game season.......What's your answer to how many losses he would have in twelve games? 4 or 5?
 
So if we want to ignore 2 years of results and bowl games let's exclude games lost as double digit favorites, games in the western time zones and games where it rains. Will that get you to the numbers to support your position? As far as iowa12 goes he doesn't watch or support Iowa football so I am not sure why he thinks his opinion is valid.
 
Gotta bump this for the non-drunken non-troll. Still waiting for the master statistician to tell us how many losses that KF averages each year.
 
Gotta bump this for the non-drunken non-troll. Still waiting for the master statistician to tell us how many losses that KF averages each year.
Thanks for thinking of me :) this portion I am doing from memory but if I remember correctly its something like when KF plays 11 regular season games(which happened occasionally early in his career) he loses 4.85 and when he plays 12 regular season games it is 5.1. Hope this helps. (To his credit he does average 7 wins during the 11 game schedules also.)
 
Thanks for thinking of me :) this portion I am doing from memory but if I remember correctly its something like when KF plays 11 regular season games(which happened occasionally early in his career) he loses 4.85 and when he plays 12 regular season games it is 5.1. Hope this helps. (To his credit he does average 7 wins during the 11 game schedules also.)

Wrong again, troll. He has 89 regular season losses over 19 years. That comes out to 4.68 losses per year, so, the real question is.......since you can't get that 5th loss until you hit he number 5. (even 4.99 would not be able to be rounded, remember? This is using your rules) The question remains......Why do you consistently call him a 5 loss coach? Do you only follow your rules when they fit your narrative? Isn't he a 4 loss per year coach using "troll math"?

Not sure why you want to talk about 11 game seasons, it only happened in '99 his very first year.
 
Wrong again, troll. He has 89 regular season losses over 19 years. That comes out to 4.68 losses per year, so, the real question is.......since you can't get that 5th loss until you hit he number 5. (even 4.99 would not be able to be rounded, remember? This is using your rules) The question remains......Why do you consistently call him a 5 loss coach? Do you only follow your rules when they fit your narrative? Isn't he a 4 loss per year coach using "troll math"?

Not sure why you want to talk about 11 game seasons, it only happened in '99 his very first year.
Dude atleast look at the data before just spouting $hit. 2004 and '05 were both 11 game regular seasons off memory alone.
 
Dude atleast look at the data before just spouting $hit. 2004 and '05 were both 11 game regular seasons off memory alone.

Ok. I'll give you that. My mistake. Doesn't change anything. Now answer the question as to why you insist on calling him a 5 loss coach when your own rules make it 4.
 
How is it 5 losses, that is the question. Your own rules of no rounding dictate that it is 4. We've heard you blather on for hours about how you can't round up. How do you justify this?
Jesus dude I'll go back through the numbers but I'm at lunch right now. If I remember correctly when Homer and I did this the last time in seasons where KF plays 12 regular season he averages 5.1 losses.
 
Jesus dude I'll go back through the numbers but I'm at lunch right now. If I remember correctly when Homer and I did this the last time in seasons where KF plays 12 regular season he averages 5.1 losses.

If you only count the seasons in which he played 12 regular season games, there are 15 of them and his record is 113-67 in those regular season games. That comes out to 4.46 losses per year. I'll be interested to see what data you come up with.
 
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