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The U.S. Air Force Just Admitted The F-35 Stealth Fighter Has Failed

Morrison71

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Nov 10, 2006
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But universal health care is too expensive....
The U.S. Air Force’s top officer wants the service to develop an affordable, lightweight fighter to replace hundreds of Cold War-vintage F-16s and complement a small fleet of sophisticated—but costly and unreliable—stealth fighters.

The result would be a high-low mix of expensive “fifth-generation” F-22s and F-35s and inexpensive “fifth-generation-minus” jets, explained Air Force Chief of Staff Gen. Charles Brown Jr.

If that plan sounds familiar, it’s because the Air Force a generation ago launched development of an affordable, lightweight fighter to replace hundreds of Cold War-vintage F-16s and complement a small future fleet of sophisticated—but costly and unreliable—stealth fighters.

But over 20 years of R&D, that lightweight replacement fighter got heavier and more expensive as the Air Force and lead contractor Lockheed Martin LMTpacked it with more and more new technology.

Yes, we’re talking about the F-35. The 25-ton stealth warplane has become the very problem it was supposed to solve. And now America needs a new fighter to solve that F-35 problem, officials said.
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With a sticker price of around $100 million per plane, including the engine, the F-35 is expensive. While stealthy and brimming with high-tech sensors, it’s also maintenance-intensive, buggy and unreliable. “The F-35 is not a low-cost, lightweight fighter,” said Dan Ward, a former Air Force program manager and the author of popular business books including The Simplicity Cycle.

The F-35 is a Ferrari, Brown told reporters last Wednesday. “You don’t drive your Ferrari to work every day, you only drive it on Sundays. This is our ‘high end’ [fighter], we want to make sure we don’t use it all for the low-end fight.”

“I want to moderate how much we’re using those aircraft,” Brown said.

Hence the need for a new low-end fighter to pick up the slack in day-to-day operations. Today, the Air Force’s roughly 1,000 F-16s meet that need. But the flying branch hasn’t bought a new F-16 from Lockheed since 2001. The F-16s are old.

In his last interview before leaving his post in January, Will Roper, the Air Force’s top acquisition official, floated the idea of new F-16 orders. But Brown shot down the idea, saying he doesn’t want more of the classic planes.

The 17-ton, non-stealthy F-16 is too difficult to upgrade with the latest software, Brown explained. Instead of ordering fresh F-16s, he said, the Air Force should initiate a “clean-sheet design” for a new low-end fighter.
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Brown’s comments are a tacit admission that the F-35 has failed. As conceived in the 1990s, the program was supposed to produce thousands of fighters to displace almost all of the existing tactical warplanes in the inventories of the Air Force, Navy and Marine Corps.

The Air Force alone wanted nearly 1,800 F-35s to replace aging F-16s and A-10s and constitute the low end of a low-high fighter mix, with 180 twin-engine F-22s making up the high end.

But the Air Force and Lockheed baked failure into the F-35’s very concept. “They tried to make the F-35 do too much,” said Dan Grazier, an analyst with the Project on Government Oversight in Washington, D.C.

There’s a small-wing version for land-based operations, a big-wing version for the Navy’s catapult-equipped aircraft carriers and, for the small-deck assault ships the Marines ride in, a vertical-landing model with a downward-blasting lift engine.

The complexity added cost. Rising costs imposed delays. Delays gave developers more time to add yet more complexity to the design. Those additions added more cost. Those costs resulted in more delays. So on and so forth.
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Fifteen years after the F-35’s first flight, the Air Force has just 250 of the jets. Now the service is signaling possible cuts to the program. It’s not for no reason that Brown has begun characterizing the F-35 as a boutique, high-end fighter in the class of the F-22. The Air Force ended F-22 production after completing just 195 copies.

“The F-35 is approaching a crossroads,” Grazier said.

Pentagon leaders have hinted that, as part of the U.S. military’s shift in focus toward peer threats—that is, Russia and China—the Navy and Air Force might get bigger shares of the U.S. military’s roughly $700-billion annual budget. All at the Army’s expense.

“If we’re going to pull the trigger on a new fighter, now’s probably the time,” Grazier said. The Air Force could end F-35 production after just a few hundred examples and redirect tens of billions of dollars to a new fighter program.
 
What a waste.

We need to just stick with what we have and forget all the stealth stuff. Any war where it this level of tech would be necessary will be nuclear anyway.
 
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Guarantee you the new "affordable" fighter will end up being more expensive than the F-35.
 
“A clean sheet design” because the last one didn’t work at:

$100 million per plane.
$400 billion on the program to date.
 
6th Generation planes have been on the pipeline for a while. China and Russia pretty much skipped 5th gen altogether. 6th Gen will focus on unmanned drones, maybe have one mother plane and and bunch of drones to run the missions.

That's not to excuse the F-35 though. That program should have been stopped in 2005 at the latest when it was clear you couldn't make one plane do a million different things based on which service wanted the plane.
 
This is what happens when you start out to design a new hammer and your future customers require that it provide the functionality of every tool in the box,.. The finished product can do many things, but it's terribly expensive and it doesn't do any of those things very well...
 
Can't remember the title but Arthur C Clarke had a story about a space power the built a few outstanding space fighers that were overwhelmed by the other planet's hordes of cheap fighters.
 
That's not to excuse the F-35 though. That program should have been stopped in 2005 at the latest when it was clear you couldn't make one plane do a million different things based on which service wanted the plane.

We were supposed to have learned that with McNamara and the F-111.
 
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Cyber attacks that cripple economies, utilities, and lifestyle is the new war.

only shut countries will be conventional.

conventional war in United States is little more than the first 5 minutes of the news.

if my cell phone quits working for 5 minutes , I might surrender.
 
Bingo. The need to keep a human pilot alive & conscious is a real engineering constraint at this point.

Unmanned has awesome potential, as long as you can keep your comms up.
Sadly, we've been chasing oxygen supply bugs in both the F-22 and F-35, and I don't even think that was your point (assumed you meant the entire cockpit, and g-limits of humans).
 
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Seems we have to keep sending money to the feds to help out red states.

All the more reason to secede and show how it's done.

"Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, --That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness."

Get on with it, I say, and stop letting the backward parts of the U.S. hold you down.
 
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Unmanned has awesome potential, as long as you can keep your comms up.
Sadly, we've been chasing oxygen supply bugs in both the F-22 and F-35, and I don't even think that was your point (assumed you meant the entire cockpit, and g-limits of humans).

All of that, plus humans just take up a lot of physical space (and in a specific orientation), in exchange for their reduced processing power.
 
All the more reason to secede and show how it's done.

"Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, --That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness."

Get on with it, I say, and stop letting the backward parts of the U.S. hold you down.

Do you actually think that's a conceivable option? Or is it similar to your libertarian fantasy land stuff that also isn't reflective of reality?
 
That's funny.
I look at boondoggles like the F-35 project and marvel that people want to put the government in charge of healthcare...


Most people are happy with Medicare (80% on last survey I saw). So keep your government hands off it.
 
Do you actually think that's a conceivable option?

Why is it not?

Czech Republic and the Slovakian Republic decided to separate and worked out the means to do so.
Look at the last 100 years of the British Empire.
It wasn't until the Statute of Westminster, in 1931, that Canada, Australia, New Zealand, etc. were put on a path to independence.
Canada didn't even finalize its independence and own Constitution until 1982.

Compare the nations on the globe in 1982 to today, and you'll find a different map.
It just gets fixed in some people's heads that change doesn't occur.
 
Why is it not?

Czech Republic and the Slovakian Republic decided to separate and worked out the means to do so.
Look at the last 100 years of the British Empire.
It wasn't until the Statute of Westminster, in 1931, that Canada, Australia, New Zealand, etc. were put on a path to independence.
Canada didn't even finalize its independence and own Constitution until 1982.

Compare the nations on the globe in 1982 to today, and you'll find a different map.
It just gets fixed in some people's heads that change doesn't occur.

How is any of that relevant to a state seceding from the United States?

If I'm interpreting your reply correctly, you do think secession is conceivable. Do you think Belem has the ability to get on with it?
 
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How is any of that relevant to a state seceding from the United States?

Might be easier if you start with what about references to states seceding peacefully elsewhere in the world confuses you.

If I'm interpreting your reply correctly, you do think secession is conceivable.

Not merely 'conceivable'. It happens. There are examples to look at.

Do you think Belem has the ability to get on with it?

Does he have the ability to convince others that CA would be better off not sending money to 'red states' and instituting their own government run healthcare? Sure, he has a voice.

I'm not sure what is holding them back from implementing it now, but if it's the federal government they should unshackle themselves 'to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness.'

I would like to see more diffusion of power, and competition between the States, and less consolidation and efforts to implement 'universal' programs. For example, even if you felt the unemployment generated by the minimum wage was 'worth it', shouldn't you take into account that the cost of living in Hawaii and Mississippi aren't the same?
If CA does this right maybe it will stop being a place Americans flee for other States.
 
Give a few to Israel. They will work the kinks out and show us how to use them as a weapon...…that's always worked before.
 
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Might be easier if you start with what about references to states seceding peacefully elsewhere in the world confuses you.



Not merely 'conceivable'. It happens. There are examples to look at.



Does he have the ability to convince others that CA would be better off not sending money to 'red states' and instituting their own government run healthcare? Sure, he has a voice.

I'm not sure what is holding them back from implementing it now, but if it's the federal government they should unshackle themselves 'to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness.'

I would like to see more diffusion of power, and competition between the States, and less consolidation and efforts to implement 'universal' programs. For example, even if you felt the unemployment generated by the minimum wage was 'worth it', shouldn't you take into account that the cost of living in Hawaii and Mississippi aren't the same?
If CA does this right maybe it will stop being a place Americans flee for other States.

Thanks for answering my question. It is similar to your other libertarian, in theory, hypothetical, fantasy land stuff.

You would like to see that stuff. Get to it!
 
The F-35 project should be in textbooks as the definition of the sunk cost fallacy. We've already spent so much money on this that we can't afford for it to fail, so throw more at it.

1.7 trillion dollars so far. Could have bought a lot of stuff for that.
 
The F-35 project should be in textbooks as the definition of the sunk cost fallacy. We've already spent so much money on this that we can't afford for it to fail, so throw more at it.

1.7 trillion dollars so far. Could have bought a lot of stuff for that.
On the other hand, gives you a sense for how enormous these COVID relief packages are.
 
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