This is how predictable Iowa's offense is

[TheGuy9]

Even Chris Williams on kxno this morning commented that he can guess the type of play Iowa is going to run based on how they line up 80% of the time.

To be honest, anyone who watches a team on a regular basis can guess what "Type" of play they are going to run, no matter who the team is "80%" of the time. Opposing defenses can tell the TYPE of play is being run at least 80% of the time. Heck even TV sports producers hit at least an 80% mark.
If the game was so unpredictable, you would have announcers acting surprised and cameras following plays that didn't happen a whole lot more than you do on the Telley. For spread teams it's probably even higher. The key is knowing where the ball is going, not what TYPE of play is going to be run.

 

[Legs94]

What a joke. As much crap as the offensive line takes, it is hard to block when the other team knows exactly what’s coming.

 

[Steamboat529529]

It is a good question and I think there are several answers.

1. Phil gets all the athletes. Look at a player like Coop. I am sure that there are other coaches that would have tried to use him on offense as they would have valued his skills there more than defense.
2. This team is the Iowa Hawkeyes and just like every other college team out there the roster will be made predominantly from in-state talent. It isn't that a coach here couldn't bring in out-of-state talent, it is that if there is in-state talent it is a priority and kind of a requirement to get them. If you don't its a great way to alienate your fan base as there is a perception here. This is the same for every team, including Alabama and Georgia and USC. I just want to 247 to do a comparison and I chose Georgia and the class of 2020, a class that should be producing for us. We had Gavin Williams and Josh Volk, both FCS talents at best. They had Jahmyr Gibbs and Brian Branch, both NFL players, and both in the same spot in the rankings. Know that we were not getting Jahmyr Gibbs, but, it is also equally important to get Gavin Williams. That explains the in-state talent problem.
3. Lack of money. Now with NIL and transfer portal, you can buy players but if your checkbook is smaller than the other guys, and it is, you are not going to get the desired talent. Even before it was legal this was being done all over the place at all the big time schools. Just because it is now legal doesn't mean it is new.
4. Iowa is not a destination state.
5. The weather.
6. Lack of support. From the campus and Iowa City police, the DCS, the fan base (constantly bitching) and even their own players (James Daniels woke movement), the deck is stacked against them. Other schools, like Nebbie and all the SEC schools have the whole state behind them by covering up crimes, looking the other way on infractions, paying players off that could have a case, etc. I am not saying it is right, I am saying that is the way it is. KF, and Fran, do things the right way and with class but morality will always come a distant second to winning and losing when it comes to sports.
7. This is the only one they can control. The TE centered offense. In theory it makes sense to replicate what the Patriots did with Gronk and Hernandez. With all of the other disadvantages that Iowa has you have to know that you cannot do the same things that other teams do and beat them. You have to do something different. This was the plan. But in execution, they have not been able to surround the TE's with enough talent. And therein lies the problem. Why would an accomplished WR want to come to Iowa knowing they will never be the focus of the offense. So they don't.

Prior to the last three years we had game changing guys on the offensive line, Wirfs, Jackson, Linderbaum, Scherff, Boettger. I’m missing a bunch of guys. Tight end speaks for itself. It was kind of a bad omen when we had the best college center of the decade in 2021 and the line was below average.

 

[JLDHAWK]

Our offense is predictable as hell but this is at least a little bit misleading.

There is gonna be no situation or formation where a team’s run/pass frequency is 50%, and what you do gain by being farther away from even, i.e. more predictable generally, is being less predictable on the occasions when you do stray from those tendencies.

It does seem like our playcalling is set up to take advantage of that, where we purposefully build up to a surprise play action or something meant to take a shot downfield.

Mind you we’re not that good at it and there are downsides to being predictable, as we experience all the damn time, but I don’t think this stat itself is the end all be all here.

It is when you're the worst offense in college football

 

[obfuscating]

Oh no, i heard fans booing at the OSU game after a sack...we have to stop this hate for the coaches and players.

 

[Franisdaman]

Just a reminder that the opposing defense knows what's coming

 

[joelbc1]

This is news….how? You think not most every other team has tendencies that opponents know about? Why do you think players and coaches watch tons of film during the week?
Urban Meyer on one his his B10 shows in the past month or so, talks about how no TEAM is better than Iowa when it comes to knowing what plays the opposition is going to run at them based solely on formation and personnel! Jeeebys, this is what every football team dies…or strives to do!
Again….what is the “news” here?….. just more god damned noise. Noise intended to inflame….and misinform.
This is football….. it ain’t rocket science!

 

[obfuscating]

Funny

 

[Bulldogs1974]

This is news….how? You think not most every other team has tendencies that opponents know about? Why do you think players and coaches watch tons of film during the week?
Urban Meyer on one his his B10 shows in the past month or so, talks about how no TEAM is better than Iowa when it comes to knowing what plays the opposition is going to run at them based solely on formation and personnel! Jeeebys, this is what every football team dies…or strives to do!
Again….what is the “news” here?….. just more god damned noise. Noise intended to inflame….and misinform.
This is football….. it ain’t rocket science!

nowhere near this level. Couple that with no exotics, terrible screen game, terrible draw game, no qb threat to run, and most importantly 0 ability to beat a defense deep; you have the blueprint for the worst offense in america.
There are no rub route concepts, no te backsides, no wheel routes.
Even with all that being said, Iowa's predictability is beyond bad.

 

[Bulldogs1974]

it's the #1 reason the oline looks so bad. Perfect execution on every play to score is the reason our defense is so good and offense so bad.

 

[ottumwan in tx]

if you go back and look at that bad call, against mich. was deacon's hand going forward?? does not matter. they were on their own 12 yard line. no way they were going to drive that thing 80+ yds to score anywho.

 

[ButtersHawk]

nowhere near this level. Couple that with no exotics, terrible screen game, terrible draw game, no qb threat to run, and most importantly 0 ability to beat a defense deep; you have the blueprint for the worst offense in america.
There are no rub route concepts, no te backsides, no wheel routes.
Even with all that being said, Iowa's predictability is beyond bad.

Rub routes are such a simple concept. I don't recall us ever on the 10 yard line or closer having our QB roll out and throw to a slot WR on a quick out while the outside WR runs a fat slant meant to create traffic. Every NFL team does it and you see a ton of colleges run it. Clemson won a god damn championship on that play.

 

[joelbc1]

nowhere near this level. Couple that with no exotics, terrible screen game, terrible draw game, no qb threat to run, and most importantly 0 ability to beat a defense deep; you have the blueprint for the worst offense in america.
There are no rub route concepts, no te backsides, no wheel routes.
Even with all that being said, Iowa's predictability is beyond bad.

Those routes are there..it’s more of a personal issue. The play selection is limited by personnel not the playbook. Iowa does nothing other teams don’t do prep wise. I have an old coach friend of mine who once told me…you give me better players than the other guy and I will win 90% of the time. There are no secrets in football.

 

[littlez]

Those routes are there..it’s more of a personal issue. The play selection is limited by personnel not the playbook. Iowa does nothing other teams don’t do prep wise. I have an old coach friend of mine who once told me…you give me better players than the other guy and U will win 90% of the time. There are no secrets in football.

Then I guess every team should just run the same offense and defense if it's all about just having better players. At that point why would you need coaches to scheme things or try to confuse the other team if the only thing that matters is better players?

 

[joelbc1]

Then I guess every team should just run the same offense and defense if it's all about just having better players. At that point why would you need coaches to scheme things or try to confuse the other team if the only thing that matters is better players?

Your scheme has to match your personnel. Anything else is folly. I think the past couple of years, Iowa’s offensive personnel has greatly limited its offensive scheme.
Woody Hates once wrote a FB book entitled “you win with people”…it’s as true today as it was in 1970.

 

[obfuscating]

if you go back and look at that bad call, against mich. was deacon's hand going forward?? does not matter. they were on their own 12 yard line. no way they were going to drive that thing 80+ yds to score anywho.

Actually, we would have punted and stood a good chance of stopping a score, instead the replay buffoons mucked it up and gave UM the ball at what, the 12? UM's average scoring drive was 11yds.

 

[ottumwan in tx]

Actually, we would have punted and stood a good chance of stopping a score, instead the replay buffoons mucked it up and gave UM the ball at what, the 12? UM's average scoring drive was 11yds.

ok, but still they were not in any way form or fashion going to drive that thing for 3 or 6. on offense. I am not arguing how great the punting and D has been, it's been great.

 

[Zooropa_NCR]

Everyone who watched the championship game knew Iowa best chance to score was thru their defense.

We had a couple of dropped INT that may have returned for a score or gotten us into FG range

But we really needed the pick 6

 

[joelbc1]

I Can’t help but think that no #3 made about 75 yds of difference on that long punt return UMichigan had in the first quarter. The “gunner” position is the key position on the punt team as far as returns are concerned.

 

[VodkaSam]

Funny

I’ve seen that numerous times, but it still makes me LOL every time I see it, and I have to keep watching, and laughing, several times.

 

[Franisdaman]

 

[joelbc1]

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Is this just more “salt on the wound”? Who gives phuque? Slow news day…. Or does the writer get a day off for Leap year?

 

[Bow.to.the.Narrative]

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They just needed to execute better.

 

[jonesy5960]

I’ve seen that numerous times, but it still makes me LOL every time I see it, and I have to keep watching, and laughing, several times.

Me too!