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This might be a little tougher than Putin thought...

Hope this is more accurate than all those rumors about Putin dying soon.

"It seems the Russian economy is headed towards a collapse in 2025. And Putin knows this.While the Kremlin likes to pretend that their bloody war economy is doing better than ever, this is far from the truth.

In attempts to stop runaway inflation due to increased defense spending, the Russian Central Bank has increased the interest rate to record high 21% and will “very likely” raise it again in December. It is unclear whether they will be able to stop inflation this way, but this move is likely to bear devastating consequences for Russian businesses, already hurt by Western sanctions.

Many are already reporting a drastic increase in late payments from counterparties – a worrying sign for the economy. Financial experts are expecting a “wave” of bankrupcies to sweep the Russian market over the next several months, and many leading businesses have grim prognoses for 2025

Russia’s biggest steel manufacturer, Magnitogorsk Iron and Steel Works, have enough reserves only for another 6 months and have a “very negative” outlook for 2025.

Samolet group, a major real estate developer is also on the brink of collapse – their sales are down 37%, and one of the biggest shareholders is trying to sell his stake in the company. As a systemic company for the Russian economy, the default of Samolet would likely require a government bailout.

Russia’s Union of Shopping Centers has appealed to the government for support. They are requesting subsidized interest rates of 7-10 percent, debt restructuring, and payment deferrals of 5-10 years. Without these measures, 200 shopping centers risk bankruptcy.

Among other companies that foresee a default in their future are Krial Energo Stroy plant and strategic enterprise “Rosgeologia”, while national restaurant chain “Kuzina” has technically defaulted already

Even the defense industry is not safe from the effects of the interest rate hike. Sergey Chemezov, the head of the state-owned defense conglomerate Rostec warned, “If we keep operating like this, most of our businesses will go bankrupt. Even arms sales don’t generate enough profit [to service debt at rates above 20 percent].”

If these predictions come to be over the next two quarters, Russia’s economy is in for a major “shakeup” – economic growth will slow and inflation rates will keep growing. Very clear sign that the economy is doing well, right?"


UNPOSSIBLE

Our Resident MAGAs claim that US inflation is the worst anywhere in the world now...
 
What does Ukraine have to give him?

He's transactional. Putin can promise him a Trump Tower Moscow. Same for the Saudis.
What does Ukraine have that will interest him?
I am hopeful now that he is elected, he doesn't have to worry about reelection, and he is too narcissistic to care about the future of his down ticket MAGAs, his impulsive nature can be wooed with flattery and he will want to leave a lasting positive imprint in the history books. But, I am probably just kidding myself.
 
Hope it's not just wishful thinking, but I feel Ukraine can win even if the US reduces support.

What I think may happen is defense contractors in Merica, that benefit by US support to Ukraine, will have some influence on Shitstain.
 
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Hopefully. We shall see. Will Trump attempt to leverage the US against NATO and the Western democracies? Will he threaten to hold back arms sales? Will he threatened to pull back US forces or stop some joint training like he did with South Korea when he was in love with Fatty Un?

Europe can always leverage letting China have a look at the F-35 and Patriot missile systems too.
 
Europe can always leverage letting China have a look at the F-35 and Patriot missile systems too.

In March 2016, a 51-year-old Chinese national named Su Bin pled guilty to charges associated with what the American Justice Department described as a “years-long conspiracy” conducted in concert with high-ranking members of the Chinese military to steal American military secrets – most notably, the designs for advanced stealth fighters like the F-22 and F-35.



 
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Russia plans layoffs for 10 percent of its civilian workforce. Some of this is needed and cleaning up redundancies, but it’s also a sign of a struggling economy. The private sector isn’t going to absorb these jobs, so more angry, broke Russians will be milling about Moscow next Summer.
 
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"Not long ago, in the Land of Gasoline and Marzipan... they released the first course that was given to the Infantry to fight against the FPV ...We already have the first results....."



And spoiler alert-the Russian death toll for the day appears to be a new record.
 


"Without much fanfare, Taiwan may have become one of the Ukraine air force’s biggest boosters. According to former Pentagon official Tony Hu, Taiwan has donated its surplus HAWK surface-to-air missile batteries to the Ukrainian air force.
Hu’s comments to YouTube channel RJ War Room seem to confirm reporting from 2023 hinting at a U.S.-brokered air-defense deal between Taiwan and Ukraine. The Taiwanese MIM-23 Homing All-the-Way Killer missiles, plus their launchers and radars, would complement additional HAWKs donated to Ukraine by the United States and Spain.

In all, Ukraine could deploy as many as 15 of the Raytheon-made HAWK batteries, each with at least six three-missile launchers and associated radars. The Ukrainian air force went to war in February 2022 with around 50 SAM batteries—S-300s and other ex-Soviet models, mostly—and has since swapped out many of the surviving Soviet batteries for more modern Western systems, including American-made Patriots.

Assuming the overall Ukrainian air-defense force structure has remained roughly the same size after subtracting combat losses and adding donated equipment, the HAWKs could comprise nearly a third of the force. Taiwan isn’t a vocal supporter of Ukraine’s war effort, but it is a significant one.

The HAWK is more than 60 years old. But it’s simple, reliable, highly-mobile on its towed launchers, easy to upgrade and works just fine against slower drones, cruise missiles and manned aircraft. As a bonus, the 17-foot HAWK missile is compatible with another, more modern air-defense system that Ukraine uses: the U.S.-Norwegian National Advanced Surface-to-Air Missile System, or NASAMS.

As early as the summer of 2023, U.S. officials were reportedly negotiating with their counterparts in Taiwan to buy back from Taipei the dozen or so HAWK batteries—with around a hundred launchers in all—that Taiwanese forces began retiring back in 2015 and replacing with locally-designed systems and imported NASAMS.


At the time, a big consignment of HAWKs promised to help Kyiv resolve a looming crisis: the imminent depletion of missile stocks for ex-Soviet S-300 and Buk SAM batteries. Since then, Ukraine has diversified its air-defense network by integrating a wide array of foreign missiles, launchers and radars.
That diversification is key. The more different SAM systems Ukraine operates, the more different missile stockpiles and production lines it can tap to arm those systems with replacement missiles as they fire away at nearly daily Russian missile and drone raids. Dozens of countries operate or operated HAWK batteries. Ukraine should be able to source hundreds of missiles, with or without direct U.S. involvement.


The HAWK isn’t in the same class as Ukraine’s best SAM, the Patriot, which ranges as far as 100 miles with an onboard radar seeker. A HAWK missile ranges just 30 or so miles, homing in on energy from a ground-based radar reflecting from the airborne target.


The main downside to the HAWK system is that its radar is susceptible to jamming. It might help Ukraine if integrated the old missiles and launchers with the superior radar associated with the newer NASAMS."


 
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Elon is a threat to America. I don't get how folks don't get it.
GcNcmOoWwAAQliM
 
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