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This might be a little tougher than Putin thought...

This is what I was worried about....Ukraine has to shift forces to counter the threat. Less forces for the main effort.

F Belarus.

The threat is most likely hollow as Belarus would include themselves in the ass whoopin but Ukraine has to honor the threat...can't totally disregard.

Hopefully it's 2nd rate units...units that have to be pulled off the line to reconstitute anyway and doesn't drastically reduce Ukraines offensive capabilities..(Ukraine might be overselling the shift as well....I've read a ton of military history and they used to call this "demonstrating"....oversell a shift in forces to make the enemy believe you have more forces along a line of attack than you actually do)

Ukraine having to shift forces...it's a huge border...almost makes Belarus an active participant on Russia's side. They're directly affecting the battlefield.

In addition...if the UN was even a halfway effective organization.....peace keeping troops along the Belarus border would be in order. Won't happen obviously but a UN peacekeeping force along that border would be justified in preventing escalation of the conflict...something 98% of the world wants.

But the UN is an ineffective organization at a time we need it to be effective.

(Belarus just blustering is almost more effective than being actively engaged....this is a threat Ukraine has to honor and can be kept up indefinitely. If Belarus actually attacked...Ukraine could kick their ass back across the border and basically eliminate the threat.)

This is a major development in the war and if Ukraines Offensives stall you can point to this.

It's all about buying time for Russia until the "Wests" resolve starts to falter...and it will falter eventually if economic predictions are correct. We don't do long term commitments very well in the West when political shifts come into play.
 
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October 26, 2022

WASHINGTON — Today, the Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) took action to counter the Government of the Russian Federation’s (GoR) persistent malign influence campaigns and systemic corruption in Moldova by imposing sanctions on nine individuals and 12 entities. The individuals and entities sanctioned today include oligarchs widely recognized for capturing and corrupting Moldova’s political and economic institutions and those acting as instruments of Russia’s global influence campaign, which seeks to manipulate the United States and its allies and partners, including Moldova and Ukraine. The designations include former Moldovan government official Vladimir Plahotniuc, who engaged in state capture by exerting control over and manipulating key sectors of Moldova’s government, including the law enforcement, electoral, and judicial sectors.
“The sanctions imposed today expose not only Russia’s covert strategy in Moldova, but also demonstrate how corruption undermines the rule of law,” said Under Secretary of the Treasury for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence Brian E. Nelson. “Russian influence operations attempt to exploit weaknesses in target countries in order to destabilize them from within. The United States continues to support Moldovan efforts to combat corruption and counter Russian influence.”
 

Woodunit?​

The Kremlin mocks the ‘freezing Europe’ while Russia spends billions of rubles on firewood to heat up schools and hospitals. A Novaya-Europe research​


 
Sure she did-guilt by association. This is more on the story of the journalist and Goddaughter of Putin and daughter of St Petersberg Mayor and Russian Senator, who fled for her life to Lithuania.

 
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"A Russian military convoy reported in the region of #Donetsk , several tanks can be seen transported."

 
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The truly crazy thing is we haven't even given Ukraine our really "good" stuff!

Russia is epically effed if it tries to take on NATO.
No doubt. No stealth planes, or any planes of choppers for that matter. No long range missiles or cruise missiles. No tanks. No Patriot system. No naval assets or support. While Ukraine might be starting to get some varsity equipment, most of what it has been given is jv stuff we just had in storage. We would close the skies over Ukraine for Russia and it would just be an absolute turkey shoot.
 
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