This is pretty fair. At 125, Lilledahl is an X-factor because he's just finding his groove. We never saw anything like the offensive outburst he had against Cruz. If he keeps wrestling like that, his odds go up, although Ramos looks like a solid favorite right now. At 141, I don't expect Bartlett to beat either Mendez or Alirez based on what I've seen so far, so I'll say 3rd. At 149, Van Ness - Lovett in the B1Gs will be telling whether the dual match was a fluke or not going in to nationals. Lovett was fantastic in that one, though, and looked every bit the part of a champion. At 157, I don't know about Shapiro in a tournament setting. He seems to struggle with health and whatever else in big tournaments. We'll see. Kasak isn't a clear favorite either way, though. At 174, I think Haines will beat Keegan in the rematch. That match was as close as two guys can be, coming down to the best scramble of the season in SV1 where both guys had multiple chances to finish it until KOT finally did. That could clearly go either way, and the PSU guys usually figure out how to win those rematches. At 184, Keck is good enough to be champ in a normal year, but I agree, I don't see Starocci losing. The All-Star match was razor thin, though, so it's not written in stone yet. I think I'd set the over-under at 3 as well with Mesenbrink and 2 out of 3 of SVN, Haines, and Starocci (with Starocci and Haines the most likely).