I’m delusional in thinking that ISU will have more playoff appearances? Explain your reasoning, then.
This site has an algorithm giving CFP probabilities. ISU is at 29% and Iowa is at 8%. I do think Iowa is a better team this year and this is their best shot to make the playoffs at least for a few years; mature team, favorable schedule. On the other hand this is just a casual young year for ISU. Why do you think their chances are so much better? Both teams are given a >99% chance of making the playoffs if they win out.