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Trump leads Biden 47%-41% with 8% undecided in new Harvard CAPS-Harris post debate poll

Polls are meaningless especially this far out. They showed a tight race before the debate. They show a tight race after. Maybe a couple weeks out from the election you can start paying attention to polls. But right now it's a waste of energy.

Polls are not meaningless four months before an election where both candidates are already well-known.
 
The only polls that matter are the swing states, which have expanded to include NV.

The common wisdom is the incumbent needs to poll near 50% +/- 2% and undecided voters tend to vote for the challenger. In this case, Trump isn't an incumbent in this cycle, but he's a known entity.

In this poll, 12% are undecided. It's possible that half of those vote 3rd party, leaving 6% to split between Trump and Biden.

Looks like the swing states are now VA, PA, MI, WI, MN, NE and maybe GA, NC, AZ. I think the key is PA. How many people in PA will be proud to vote for Biden this time around?
 
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The only polls that matter are the swing states, which have expanded to include NV.

The common wisdom is the incumbent needs to poll near 50% +/- 2% and undecided voters tend to vote for the challenger. In this case, Trump isn't an incumbent in this cycle, but he's a know entity.

In this poll, 12% are undecided. It's possible that half of those vote 3rd party, leaving 6% to split between Trump and Biden.

Looks like the swing states are now VA, PA, MI, WI, MN, NE and maybe GA, NC, AZ. I think the key is PA. How many people in PA will be proud to vote for Biden this time around?
MALARKEY!
 
  • Haha
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