More for the finance types among us: at something around $4 million/year in revenue (I’m being generous) you would have to believe the discount rate on this stock is less than .1% for a terminal value calculation to ever make sense. An absolutely ridiculous rate and even that assumes stability in revenue (again I’m being generous - this thing is falling off a cliff). There is no asset I’m aware of that is safe enough to imply that type of rate in this interest rate environment, not even treasuries.
I’m using terminal value because normally you would assume some massive growth rate with an aggressive discount (like 20%+) for a tech stock. But to get that to work you have to assume exponential growth, with growth rates well north of 100% annually over a sustained number of years. Fat chance of that. During peak social media season (major election year, super divided country) revenue is shrinking.
Maybe, just maybe, when ma and pa lose a ton on this stock it will finally take the shine off Trump’s gold plated image with the lemmings.