What are the chances of the NIT?

[DavenportHawk8]

What are our chances? I think we have to go a "mini win" streak here. We have basically 3 games that are "winnable" for most teams. So if they can get 3 wins and maybe that will build some sort of confidence.

Our last 5 games are TOUGH. Might as well hope we can go on a mini run here.

If we finish 17-15 do we make it??

 

[Ihawkhoops]

I was hopeful for some 'circling of the wagons' moment last night, but instead we got scalped again. The elephant in the room is Jok. I would like to see Fran sit Jok for a couple games to get his back healed and see how the team responds without him. I think we would see better ball movement and less dependence on one guy vs. the team contributing. We could also score 40 points in the game on the flip side.

 

[EpenesaEpenesa]

The next 3 they have a chance to get some momentum back. This team has been flat since Purdue and that's putting it lightly. Outside of Baer and Wagner at times, just zero energy or enthusiasm on the floor. What gives you hope is you know it's in them to play good basketball, Fran just needs to find a way to get it out of them again.

 

[IowaHawkeyeFBnBB4Life]

With a losing record...none

 

[LuteHawk]

Maryland, Wisconsin, Purdue, and Northwestern
are locks for the NCAA Big Dance. With Indiana,
Michigan St. and Michigan on the bubble.

Minnesota, Illinois, and Ohio St are probably the
best bets from the Big Ten for NIT.

Bottom Line: Iowa has 10 Conference games
remaining. We need to win at least 5 or 6 of
those to even be considered for NIT.

 

[DavenportHawk8]

Just wondered. I think this team has hit their "wall" and I do not think we will see anything better than what we saw at Illinois. I think we will win maybe 2-3 more games but that will be it. I think all the teams we face down the stretch all have better guard play than what we have.

This freshman group is learning and I am hopeful they will get better in the off-season. I am just very shocked/disappointed with how our older guys (2-3 years) in the program have progressed. There is nothing there to build any hope for.

 

[Hawkfan_08]

Maryland, Wisconsin, Purdue, and Northwestern
are locks for the NCAA Big Dance. With Indiana,
Michigan St. and Michigan on the bubble.

Minnesota, Illinois, and Ohio St are probably the
best bets from the Big Ten for NIT.

Bottom Line: Iowa has 10 Conference games
remaining. We need to win at least 5 or 6 of
those to even be considered for NIT.

I was thinking about that too. I believe we need 18 wins to get to the NIT so I think we need 7. I think the quality of some of our wins would help us get there but to be a lock I think that's the number.

 

[anon_i8nzeu2gbf0ba]

BTW: Indiana lost by 30 @ Michigan last night. Just sayin'.

 

[And1Hawk]

No chance. The NIT is not for the Power 5/6 programs anymore. Only the first 8 out the tourney typically get in and we are miles from being in the group of the first 8 out of the NCAA tourney.

That's why it's important to play as many of the guys who we think will be key contributors next year along with Jok who's earned it.

 

[AHS2001]

I have been wondering this as well, also I saw there was a new postseason tournament that started last year out of Vegas called the Vegas 16. Just food for thought...

 

[anon_bb9wlf9kj42py]

Iowa at 17-15 would likely have an RPI in the 90s, which probably puts them on the outside looking in at the NIT now, since there are so many mid-majors that make it there.

 

[Clifford C. Clavin]

No chance. The NIT is not for the Power 5/6 programs anymore. Only the first 8 out the tourney typically get in and we are miles from being in the group of the first 8 out of the NCAA tourney.

This. The NIT changed several years ago (probably fairly). Any regular season champion from the 31 conferences who doesn't get in the NCAA tournament now gets an NIT automatic bid. So all of the "one bid leagues" where a surprise winner emerges potentially steals an NIT bid as well. That number of automatic bids then can vary from year to year, depending on conference tournament surprises. But to wager a guess, I would think Iowa would need at least 18 wins to even be in the conversation, and that very well may not be enough.

They also now use a selection criteria more similar to the NCAA. The old NIT seemed to be more about getting butts in seats and viewers on TV, so pretty much anyone in major conferences with winning records would be selected. That is not the case any longer.

 

[RocknRollface]

Just wondered. I think this team has hit their "wall" and I do not think we will see anything better than what we saw at Illinois. I think we will win maybe 2-3 more games but that will be it. I think all the teams we face down the stretch all have better guard play than what we have.

This freshman group is learning and I am hopeful they will get better in the off-season. I am just very shocked/disappointed with how our older guys (2-3 years) in the program have progressed. There is nothing there to build any hope for.

I think some of the guys can pick it back up, maybe.

Either way Fran needs to start playing for next year and see what happenes.

Theres no reason to have an offense that relvolves around Jok, because A, hes not here next year and B, its not working anyway.

I think theres allot more we can get out of Moss, Kreiner, Daily, Wagner, and maybe Williams if they feel like they have the green light and the pressures off. And Cook if he can figure out how to hold onto the ball.

 

[bravehawks1]

So we are currently 11-10 with 11 games left (10 conference plus B1G tourney). Given the teams left to play, the current trend would be at best 4-6 before the tourney (Neb at home, Rutgers on the road, Illinois at home and PSU at home). Since we do play better at home than on the road, Indiana and OSU at home are also possibilities for wins. So even if we go 5-5 we would have to win the first game to say above .500 for a shot at the NIT. Too hard to project where we would be in the conference standings but 9th or 10th seems about right so would need probably 8 team to NCAA for them to go that deep in league for NIT. Outside of Purdue and maybe ISU, we don't have any wins that will catch their attention either. And as mentioned, they have a selection process so it is not like a few years ago where they likes some teams because they could give them a home game and get a big crowd. Of course, not sure Iowa could be counted on for a good crowd either since it would be during spring break

 

[SDHawkDoc]

Not good.

 

[DavenportHawk8]

Out of our final 10 games I see our home games the best chances for Wins. Obviously at Rutgers is a winnable game, but I could see Iowa going out there and getting blasted because its a road game.

I still think this team pulls off an upset this year (@ Wisky, @Minny, @MSU or IU) I think they win 1 of those 4. It just seems like one of those seasons where we drop some bad games but also win some tough games.

I am hopeful Fran get them going and win a few in a row here to if anything build a little confidence.

 

[Suterman]

Our chances at making the NIT are very slim. We need to get at least to 19 wins so we need 8 wins in the last 11 games. Does anybody see even a very slim chance of this happening?

 

[ShawneeHawk 1]

Our chances at making the NIT are very slim. We need to get at least to 19 wins so we need 8 wins in the last 11 games. Does anybody see even a very slim chance of this happening?

Slim to none. Hope I'm wrong.