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I think it will be closer than that. I saw it was Iowa's first sellout of the year, and the Hawkeyes are playing for their NCAA Tournament lives. While there will be a decent number of Illini fans like usual, I think the 6:00 pm start time will keep some away ... in other words, I think the vast majority of the 15,400 will be Iowa fans, and I expect a really rowdy atmosphere. Combine that with Iowa playing well lately, and I would guess Illinois is no more than a 2-point favorite.+5.5