While Macron has a small lead going into the runoff, the worry is that enough lefties could sit out this election for Le Pen to pull the upset.
Macron clobbered Le Pen in the last election. So what's different?
Le Pen has softened her message and grabbed a couple of positions that average French, including some on the left, prefer to Macron's mainstream business positions.
Macron turned out to be more to the right than expected by those lefties who supported him last time.
Another worry is that many who will vote Le Pen aren't being accurately counted in the polls - as happened here in 2016.
So this is sort of similar to the 2020 US election. Here, after seeing just how awful Trump was, lefties who had rejected Hillary surged to support Biden. Whereas in France, lefties who made sure Macron beat Le Pen before, are now disillusioned with Macron.
Macron clobbered Le Pen in the last election. So what's different?
Le Pen has softened her message and grabbed a couple of positions that average French, including some on the left, prefer to Macron's mainstream business positions.
Macron turned out to be more to the right than expected by those lefties who supported him last time.
Another worry is that many who will vote Le Pen aren't being accurately counted in the polls - as happened here in 2016.
So this is sort of similar to the 2020 US election. Here, after seeing just how awful Trump was, lefties who had rejected Hillary surged to support Biden. Whereas in France, lefties who made sure Macron beat Le Pen before, are now disillusioned with Macron.