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Trump's Biggest Nightmare

Fed cut Fed Funds rate today and 10 Year Treasury went down in value and yields went up. If Federal Reserve has to start raising rates to stop inflation from getting worse and God forbid, cut the massive budget deficits by raising taxes and cutting spending, Trump will be in his worst nightmare.

I wonder if Trump's second term will be like the Carter years (1977-1981) with rising inflation. Carter ended up appointing Paul Volcker to be the Fed Chairman and he was great but he jacked up rates so we had a 20% Prime Rate which led to a severe recession.

New expanded AA calcs

OK, this was a huge pain in the ass, so I am not sure if I will do it again before the final tournament seeds come out. Especially if no one cares.

But, I used an online expansion calculator to turn my probability of AAing by seed into the probability of each discrete number of AAs per team. I only did this for the 18 teams that have at least two expected AA's.

Now, in addition to seeing the expected AA's, you can see how the distribution shakes out for each number of AA's from 0 to 10, along with the most probable result.

All of this was done with the final pre-season Wrestlestat rankings (again assuming rank = seed).

The one big caveat is that true freshmen who have not wrestled in a college open are not included in the rankings yet, as near as I can tell.

I know some people on this board are going to want to fight me (5 AA's? Are you out of your ever lovin', mathematically challenged mind?), but really your issue is with Wrestlestat.

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How have we, as a society, allowed this?

H11.

If you look up what kid of low beam headlight bulb your vehicle requires, it’s most likely an H11. Since 2005 or so, I haven’t pinged down the exact year, almost every single manufacturer has their low beam bulbs as the H11.

The cheapest, longest lasting option is rated for, per the listing, 250 hours. The brightest option is rate for 150-200 hours. I don’t need to tell you that’s not a lot

In comparison, a 9003 headlight bulb is rated for about 1000 hours. Every single other bulb on my shelf has a higher hour rating than the H11.

So my question is this. And it’s not solely regarding headlight bulbs.

Why do we continue to be okay with paying more for less quality?

For reference these are Silvania bulbs.

Ya’ll getting some time off this holiday season?

I’m a couple hours away from being on vacation for rest of the year. Might check in a little Monday, but nothing big. Much needed break. It’s probably my favorite time of year for a staycation as they call it. It seems more acceptable to just stay in your pajamas and sleep in during the holidays than it does any other time of year. I’ve tried it. On a Tuesday in July, it just feels wrong and I feel guilty. Not this time of year so that is what I’m going to do.

How about you? You getting some time off? What are your plans?

Trump stuns Washington with push to repeal debt ceiling

President-elect Donald Trump has stunned lawmakers in Washington by calling for the suspension — or outright elimination — of the federal borrowing limit, introducing an explosive new demand into last-minute negotiations over averting a government shutdown this weekend.
In social media posts and interviews on Wednesday and Thursday, Trump called on congressional Republicans to lift the debt ceiling, a law that limits how much money the federal government can borrow.

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