If everything holds serve with Iowa winning the West, even at 11-1, and the big 3 in the East only beat each other, and then the East team wins the B1G championship game, Iowa's bowl game is unsettling.
Normally Iowa would go to the Citrus, but, that is off the table because we were there in 2021. The Outback (now Reliaquest) will more than likely go to an ACC team because of a B1G team in the Orange. We can't go to the Music City because we were there last year. That would probably drop us all the way to the Vegas Bowl. Sad for an 11-2 B1G team. But it also screws up a lot of stuff outside of Iowa because there then a 5 win team will probably have to play in the Music City and Wisconsin, even though we beat them at their place and have a worse record, would go to the Citrus.
If we are wanting to go to a top tier bowl game, we have to hope that one of the big 3 loses to both of the other two either really badly or drops another game. While those 3 are clearly the class of the conference, I would think the B1G would be motivated to slot the teams more accurately. Because we lost the head to head with PSU, we dont want it to be them. Because OSU has a win over a decent Notre Dame team we would want OSU and PSU to both beat Michigan badly because in that scenario Michigan wouldn't have played anyone. The next would be both Michigan and PSU to beat OSU badly.
It basically looks like we win out and go to the CFP, lose in a nail biter in the B1G (like play Michigan closer than either OSU or PSU) and maybe have a chance at a NY6 or Vegas.
Normally Iowa would go to the Citrus, but, that is off the table because we were there in 2021. The Outback (now Reliaquest) will more than likely go to an ACC team because of a B1G team in the Orange. We can't go to the Music City because we were there last year. That would probably drop us all the way to the Vegas Bowl. Sad for an 11-2 B1G team. But it also screws up a lot of stuff outside of Iowa because there then a 5 win team will probably have to play in the Music City and Wisconsin, even though we beat them at their place and have a worse record, would go to the Citrus.
If we are wanting to go to a top tier bowl game, we have to hope that one of the big 3 loses to both of the other two either really badly or drops another game. While those 3 are clearly the class of the conference, I would think the B1G would be motivated to slot the teams more accurately. Because we lost the head to head with PSU, we dont want it to be them. Because OSU has a win over a decent Notre Dame team we would want OSU and PSU to both beat Michigan badly because in that scenario Michigan wouldn't have played anyone. The next would be both Michigan and PSU to beat OSU badly.
It basically looks like we win out and go to the CFP, lose in a nail biter in the B1G (like play Michigan closer than either OSU or PSU) and maybe have a chance at a NY6 or Vegas.