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Eierman Arrested

On what do you base that? Any review of research and data will clearly show that the threat of incarceration has very little effect on whether or not a criminal commits a crime. Don't misunderstand me, I am in no way arguing for little or no consequences for crime; rather, I'm driven by analysis of data, not emotional reactions. There absolutely should be appropriate punishment of criminals, and the best place as usual is "balance" -- not too hard, not too soft; not "lock them up and throw away the key" but also not a simple slap on the wrist.
You just defeated yourself. I will guarantee this, if a rapist or pedophile or murderer is locked up, they won't be harming innocent people. Actions have consequences has always been a deterent. Currently, the experiment is taking place in many US cities where lesser crimes are not being punished. The result is massive increase in crime - SF, LA, Minneapolis, NYC have all tried or are trying this. Disaster.
 
You just defeated yourself. I will guarantee this, if a rapist or pedophile or murderer is locked up, they won't be harming innocent people. Actions have consequences has always been a deterent. Currently, the experiment is taking place in many US cities where lesser crimes are not being punished. The result is massive increase in crime - SF, LA, Minneapolis, NYC have all tried or are trying this. Disaster.
Wow.
 
What they should do is cut the ball and chain off all sexual predators, that would be a great place to start...

Bring back the death penalty as well. Quit wasting my tax dollars for all those meals for some POS.

Also, @texas twister, they are saying these people don't care about the jail time.. that is why they still commit the act. Just because one goes to jail doesn't mean jack, there will be another to take their place. That's why we should castrate them..

I'll declare my intention to run for presidency later this month. Go Hawkeyes
 
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Interesting thread, way off topic, but very interesting. It's the off-season, so to hell with it, here's my two cents.

Careful thought over the centuries has established four justifications for punishment. If anyone can name another I'm all ears.
1. Deterrence--(a) specific (incentivize the offender to not commit another offense) and (b) general (incentivize the rest of society to be afraid of the possibility of punishment).
2. Incapacitation--prevent the offender from offending again while separated from society.
3. Rehabilitation--reform the offender to prevent or minimize the threat of reoffending.
4. Retribution--similar to revenge; subject the offender to punishment that seeks to __________. I find this one undefinable, illegitimate, and not Christian, if that's you're persuasion. The judgment is His; wouldn't recommend commandeering that.

I think 2 and 3 are the best bets, 1 is legitimate but not as effective as the news and movies and lore make it out to be, and 4 is a right that does not belong to mankind.
 
4. Retribution--similar to revenge; subject the offender to punishment that seeks to __________.
Filling in the blank -- make them directly and tangibly experience (to truly understand) the effect of their crime (i.e., an attempt to build empathy in a psychopath who has none).

"An eye for an eye" is old testament (Exodus 21:23-27). But by my reading of it, it is more about restitution than retribution. So if you take an eye, than you must make amends with something of equal or greater value. Perhaps over time the intent has been misinterpreted and perverted.

"23 But if any harm follows, then you shall give life for life, 24 eye for eye, tooth for tooth, hand for hand, foot for foot, 25 burn for burn, wound for wound, stripe for stripe.

26 “If a man strikes the eye of his male or female servant, and destroys it, he shall let him go free for the sake of his eye. 27 And if he knocks out the tooth of his male or female servant, he shall let him go free for the sake of his tooth."

Could #5 be something like expressing remorse, asking forgiveness, and making restitution?

Would this be the "Christian" way?
 
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On what do you base that? Any review of research and data will clearly show that the threat of incarceration has very little effect on whether or not a criminal commits a crime. Don't misunderstand me, I am in no way arguing for little or no consequences for crime; rather, I'm driven by analysis of data, not emotional reactions. There absolutely should be appropriate punishment of criminals, and the best place as usual is "balance" -- not too hard, not too soft; not "lock them up and throw away the key" but also not a simple slap on the wrist.
I think what we can conclude is that incarceration isn't as good of a deterrent as being caned or whipped or having a hand chopped off. It seems like physical and immediate punishment is an effective deterrent.
 
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Filling in the blank -- make them directly and tangibly experience (to truly understand) the effect of their crime (i.e., an attempt to build empathy in a psychopath who has none).

"An eye for an eye" is old testament (Exodus 21:23-27). But by my reading of it, it is more about restitution than retribution. So if you take an eye, than you much make amends with something of equal or greater value. Perhaps over time the intent has been misinterpreted and perverted.

"23 But if any harm follows, then you shall give life for life, 24 eye for eye, tooth for tooth, hand for hand, foot for foot, 25 burn for burn, wound for wound, stripe for stripe.

26 “If a man strikes the eye of his male or female servant, and destroys it, he shall let him go free for the sake of his eye. 27 And if he knocks out the tooth of his male or female servant, he shall let him go free for the sake of his tooth."

Could #5 be something like expressing remorse, asking forgiveness, and making restitution?

Would this be the "Christian" way?
Sounds more like a pretty exact description of Karma to me.
 
Pablow,
Uncertain what this data infers. High levels of aggressive crime (index crimes) varies throughout urban environments. Aggressive crime and violence is usually (theoretically) rooted in systemic, structural, concentrated poverty. Add guns into the mix (legal or illegal) and what could go wrong?

Social scientist point to 'many/numerous factors' involved in the analysis of crime(s). Including alcohol and drug use; social attachments and marriage; homogenous community/environment. However concentrated poverty seems always a mitigating factor.

Reinhold Neibuhr, 'The Nature and Destiny of Man'; required reading when I attended University of Iowa is an excellent primer; a classic philosophical frame-of-reference for viewing this issue.
Wasn't it social scientist that recommended the current system we have for dealing with crime? You know - do some research, come up with a theory, and then figure out why it isn't working.
 
Filling in the blank -- make them directly and tangibly experience (to truly understand) the effect of their crime (i.e., an attempt to build empathy in a psychopath who has none).

"An eye for an eye" is old testament (Exodus 21:23-27). But by my reading of it, it is more about restitution than retribution. So if you take an eye, than you much make amends with something of equal or greater value. Perhaps over time the intent has been misinterpreted and perverted.

"23 But if any harm follows, then you shall give life for life, 24 eye for eye, tooth for tooth, hand for hand, foot for foot, 25 burn for burn, wound for wound, stripe for stripe.

26 “If a man strikes the eye of his male or female servant, and destroys it, he shall let him go free for the sake of his eye. 27 And if he knocks out the tooth of his male or female servant, he shall let him go free for the sake of his tooth."

Could #5 be something like expressing remorse, asking forgiveness, and making restitution?

Would this be the "Christian" way?
it should be…..

Hey lighten up guys….. it was just a first offense owi….. no one was sexually assaulted or murdered

Wasn’t his best moment….. hopefully he’ll learn from it
 
I think what we can conclude is that incarceration isn't as good of a deterrent as being caned or whipped or having a hand chopped off. It seems like physical and immediate punishment is an effective deterrent.
"if only our government could inflict more violence on - and even permanently maim - our citizens more often...then everything would be better!"
 
ft_2022.10.31_violent-crime_02c.png
 
You just defeated yourself. I will guarantee this, if a rapist or pedophile or murderer is locked up, they won't be harming innocent people. Actions have consequences has always been a deterent. Currently, the experiment is taking place in many US cities where lesser crimes are not being punished. The result is massive increase in crime - SF, LA, Minneapolis, NYC have all tried or are trying this. Disaster.
He said he studied this in school, that's saying enough to establish where he's at. If he said after 20 years as a beat cop and detective I might pay attention to him.
 
Punching in nose is down; murder by Glock is up.

US records highest increase in nation’s homicide rate in modern history, CDC says​

By Jacqueline Howard, CNN
Updated 8:13 AM EDT, Wed October 6, 2021


CNN —
The United States has just recorded its highest increase in rates of homicide in modern history, according to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/27/politics/uniform-crime-report-2020/index.html
Provisional data from the CDC’s National Center for Health Statistics, released early Wednesday, suggest the homicide rate for the United States rose 30% between 2019 and 2020. It is the highest increase recorded in modern history – and confirms through public health data a rise in homicides that so far had been identified only through crime statistics.

The previous largest increase in the US homicide rate was a 20% rise recorded from 2000 to 2001 because of the September 11 terror attacks, according to NCHS.
 
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Punching in nose is down; murder by Glock is up.

US records highest increase in nation’s homicide rate in modern history, CDC says​

By Jacqueline Howard, CNN
Updated 8:13 AM EDT, Wed October 6, 2021


CNN —
The United States has just recorded its highest increase in rates of homicide in modern history, according to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/27/politics/uniform-crime-report-2020/index.html
Provisional data from the CDC’s National Center for Health Statistics, released early Wednesday, suggest the homicide rate for the United States rose 30% between 2019 and 2020. It is the highest increase recorded in modern history – and confirms through public health data a rise in homicides that so far had been identified only through crime statistics.

The previous largest increase in the US homicide rate was a 20% rise recorded from 2000 to 2001 because of the September 11 terror attacks, according to NCHS.
speaking of punching in the nose…..

a recent episode of washed up walkons guest was Dorian Price a jujitsu coach and longtime MMA fighter

He was talking about his years training and fighting in thailand and how fighting is their national sport and they bring their kids up fighting

Surprisingly he said other than maybe mob murders occasionally crime was almost non existent in most the country and as a society despite their love for the sport of fighting how non- confrontational they are…..said if you get in a confrontation you’ll have to start it

I can list more than a few friendships that started with a bloody nose…… sadly more lethal means of settling disputes is way too common anymore

You can see the effects on society of not enough people getting punched in the nose when they needed it …. ❤️‍🩹
 
speaking of punching in the nose…..

a recent episode of washed up walkons guest was Dorian Price a jujitsu coach and longtime MMA fighter

He was talking about his years training and fighting in thailand and how fighting is their national sport and they bring their kids up fighting

Surprisingly he said other than maybe mob murders occasionally crime was almost non existent in most the country and as a society despite their love for the sport of fighting how non- confrontational they are…..said if you get in a confrontation you’ll have to start it

I can list more than a few friendships that started with a bloody nose…… sadly more lethal means of settling disputes is way too common anymore

You can see the effects on society of not enough people getting punched in the nose when they needed it …. ❤️‍🩹
Yep. My buddy, Brad B moved into the neighborhood just before kindergarten. We met for the first time when I was riding a bike with training wheels around block one way and he was riding his trike the other. It was a standoff until he took off a loafer and chucked it at me. That was a new tactic for me… lol
 
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"if only our government could inflict more violence on - and even permanently maim - our citizens more often...then everything would be better!"
That is always the trick. How do you give incompetent power hungry people more power and the ability to use their power correctly? Putting the plan into action is the problem. I have to say that incarceration does not seem to be the most effective plan.

If you have mold growing in a certain environment and then clean it up, but don't change the environment, it will come back. The same with a criminal. If we put him back in the same environment with the same people when he gets out of prison, all the ingredients for a repeat offender are in place. It is sad but true. However, I am with you. Do we want our government handing out physical punishment? Not really.

I am all for allowing the victims to retaliate on the spot or after a trial, for such crimes as robbery or rape or those types of things. It could be a kind of you get what the victim feels is fair sort of punishment. That would probably be a bit of a deterrent to rape and theft, I would think.
 
speaking of punching in the nose…..

a recent episode of washed up walkons guest was Dorian Price a jujitsu coach and longtime MMA fighter

He was talking about his years training and fighting in thailand and how fighting is their national sport and they bring their kids up fighting

Surprisingly he said other than maybe mob murders occasionally crime was almost non existent in most the country and as a society despite their love for the sport of fighting how non- confrontational they are…..said if you get in a confrontation you’ll have to start it

I can list more than a few friendships that started with a bloody nose…… sadly more lethal means of settling disputes is way too common anymore

You can see the effects on society of not enough people getting punched in the nose when they needed it …. ❤️‍🩹
Agree 100%. I became a lot better person thanks to few people that "straightened" me out when I was young.
 
What the hell was going on in the 90's?????

Was in high school/college in the 90's but don't remember the crime being crazy.
I'm sure no one knows for sure but I have heard two theories on why violent crime hit a peak in the 90's then fell.
1. Abortion became legal in the 70's. Men in their 20's commit the vast majority of violent crimes and a high percentage of those come from children that grew up in bad circumstances ie drug use in the home, poverty, broken relationships. A lot of the babies that would have been born in those circumstances where not born but instead aborted. This could have lead to less people that have the potential to commit violent crimes.
2. The removal of lead in gasoline. It is believed that high lead exposure leads to violent behavior in people as lead was removed from gas the levels in peoples blood went down and the rate of violent crime went down.

I think it's probably a mix of these two things plus probably other factors.
 
Your chart doesn't say anything about murder. Several sites I looked at just now says crime is rising especially murder. I can post some if you like.
That chart was 2020 to 2021. There’s a lag in official stats, they actually only go up to 2021. So it’s possible it’s back up again.
 
Your chart doesn't say anything about murder. Several sites I looked at just now says crime is rising especially murder. I can post some if you like.
Again, only goes to 2020 so won’t show recent numbers b/c while prob close to accurate, they’re not official. But unofficially, 2020 was up, 2021 was up further, then 2022 went down.

So far this year, murders are 9.4% lower than at this point in 2022: https://counciloncj.org/mid-year-2023-crime-trends/


Screenshot%2B2021-07-04%2B13.57.54.png
 
The generation of free love supplanted by the generation of AIDS
+
Trickle down economics
=
Frustration

Frustration --> Bad Behavior

Been reading a bit, the crime rates were during the crack epidemic.

If you look at the murder rate from now and back in 1990, it's a huge difference. They aren't even close.
 
Been reading a bit, the crime rates were during the crack epidemic.

If you look at the murder rate from now and back in 1990, it's a huge difference. They aren't even close.
If you read Freakonomics, a strong argument is made that the decrease in violent crime was primarily driven by the effects of Roe V Wade and legalized abortion (1973-so a decrease in young men at age where many of the crimes happened)…and not so much policy/laws.
 
If you read Freakonomics, a strong argument is made that the decrease in violent crime was primarily driven by the effects of Roe V Wade and legalized abortion (1973-so a decrease in young men at age where many of the crimes happened)…and not so much policy/laws.
I don't have a very big library, but this is actually in my library. LOL
 
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The generation of free love supplanted by the generation of AIDS
+
Trickle down economics
=
Frustration

Frustration --> Bad Behavior
That’s spot on, imo. Check out the evolution of wage growth in comparison to costs of goods and services.

The days of citizens getting murdered by cops for selling loose cigarettes should be over.
 
You just defeated yourself. I will guarantee this, if a rapist or pedophile or murderer is locked up, they won't be harming innocent people. Actions have consequences has always been a deterent. Currently, the experiment is taking place in many US cities where lesser crimes are not being punished. The result is massive increase in crime - SF, LA, Minneapolis, NYC have all tried or are trying this. Disaster.
Apparently I didn't make it clear enough. I am only looking at the issue from an academic research perspective, and trying not to interject my personal feelings, although I did state that "I am in no way arguing for little or no consequences for crime." (did you notice that statement?).

If you assume that because I have a Master's degree, then I'm a leftist/liberal, then you would be very wrong, as happens often when people assume and just throw everyone into a box. I am a staunch independent -- very conservative in some issues, very liberal in others. Regarding crime and punishment, I definitely fall on the more conservative side (I really like Jason Aldean's newest song - totally stupid that it's controversial). As a judge I would have a reputation of being very hard on those convicted of crime. However, the best judges are those who realize that justice in found in a balance of firmness on one hand, and compassion on the other (if you're a Christian, you would agree with this, as modeled to us by teachings in the Bible). Extremes are almost always places that are of little benefit to the individual and society. We see this in a variety of issues such as elections, crime and punishment, environmental concerns, gun rights, abortion, etc.
 
You just defeated yourself. I will guarantee this, if a rapist or pedophile or murderer is locked up, they won't be harming innocent people. Actions have consequences has always been a deterent. Currently, the experiment is taking place in many US cities where lesser crimes are not being punished. The result is massive increase in crime - SF, LA, Minneapolis, NYC have all tried or are trying this. Disaster.
As I see it, any increase in crime is not so much a nefarious plan by liberals, but rather is symptomatic of the significant moral decline of U.S. society during the last 20+ years. The moral free-fall is happening very quickly and is having a lot of negative effects on the people and culture of the U.S. Such is my opinion. :rolleyes:
 
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