I will add to my unbridled optimism since so far so good. Beating Indiana again tomorrow here, then beating a bad Rutgers team there on Thursday would probably lock up a top-four finish for Iowa. Beating the best team in the conference now Michigan here in the final game would be a tall order. However, IF Iowa wins out, they can finish as co-champions at 14-4 with Ohio State. The Buckeyes have three easy wins left. Step one taken care of yesterday.Don't give up hope yet for Iowa to finish in the top four in the end. The final standings are going to be hugely impacted by postponed games by the other leaders that will never be made up against bottom feeders. See below. They will be short wins they should have had, compared to Iowa and Ohio State who will get all 18 games in.
MD - at IL
IN - at RU and vs IL
MI - at IL
I think Iowa can sweep Indiana, which is running on fumes, and take care of business at Rutgers. The final home game with Michigan will be critical. One game at a time, I know, but think positive.
I could see Ohio State losing one of its final two games. Penn State just beat Nebraska, though Ohio State is still a heavy favorite in that one. Michigan State just beat Michigan at home, though, and desperately needs big wins to make the NCAA Tournament. Plus Ohio State hasn't been unbeatable recently.I will add to my unbridled optimism since so far so good. Beating Indiana again tomorrow here, then beating a bad Rutgers team there on Thursday would probably lock up a top-four finish for Iowa. Beating the best team in the conference now Michigan here in the final game would be a tall order. However, IF Iowa wins out, they can finish as co-champions at 14-4 with Ohio State. The Buckeyes have three easy wins left. Step one taken care of yesterday.
My prediction is Michigan will win the conference for the first time at 14-3. Ohio State will finish second at 14-4. Maryland drops to third at 13-4. Then Iowa fourth at 13-5 and Indiana fifth at 11-5.
Crossing my fingers that no one transfers 🤞Monica announced that she will return next season…
Maryland also needs to lost at home to Indiana to have more losses than Iowa.I could see Ohio State losing one of its final two games. Penn State just beat Nebraska, though Ohio State is still a heavy favorite in that one. Michigan State just beat Michigan at home, though, and desperately needs big wins to make the NCAA Tournament. Plus Ohio State hasn't been unbeatable recently.
Obviously Iowa winning the conference outright is extremely unlikely, but that it only takes Iowa winning out and Ohio State losing once is still incredible.
In this crazy year I am pretty sure it would come down to percentage, not number of losses. So Maryland would be screwed if they finish 13-4 and Iowa 14-4. Never being able to make up their postponed game with Illinois would cost them a win and a league co-championship. Not likely but fun to dream.Maryland also needs to lost at home to Indiana to have more losses than Iowa.
Iowa should come out and take a 30-point lead against Indiana this time so that Indiana realizes they should be strategic and just take it easy on the Iowa game to conserve energy and make it or break it against Maryland instead
Crossing my fingers that no one transfers 🤞
As mphawk said, we can't actually tie with Maryland because they will only play 17 conference games. So all we need to do is win out to beat Maryland in the standings. We would also beat them in the standings if we lose once and they do too.Maryland also needs to lost at home to Indiana to have more losses than Iowa.
Iowa should come out and take a 30-point lead against Indiana this time so that Indiana realizes they should be strategic and just take it easy on the Iowa game to conserve energy and make it or break it against Maryland instead
I agree.After watching the first half of this Indiana game all I can say is we need another point guard worse than we need Monika coming back.
Good thing it was just an intentional foul.Caitlin Clark gets an intentional foul call for an incidental elbow. Really bad call.
60-55 Clark will shoot one for the and 1. Then Indiana will shoot.
After watching the 4th quarter I'm really glad Czinano will be back next year.After watching the first half of this Indiana game all I can say is we need another point guard worse than we need Monika coming back.
Right?????? x1000After watching the 4th quarter I'm really glad Czinano will be back next year.
I'd rather play Indiana than Maryland, and I think those are the only two teams that can end up as the 5 seed.God help us if we end up the 4-seed in the B1G tournament and Indiana is the 5-seed. Indiana would be out for blood against us.
Well that's fairI'd rather play Indiana than Maryland, and I think those are the only two teams that can end up as the 5 seed.
I wish Creme would do seed lists like Lunardi does on the men's side. He thinks the loser of Maryland-Indiana falls off the 4 line, but doesn't say who would replace them. Presumably that's not Iowa, because he thinks Iowa needs to beat Michigan, then make a run in the BTT. So who is it? And how many of the other 5s is Iowa behind?Women's Bracketology: Which teams join South Carolina on the top line?
Will the ACC, Big Ten or SEC put double-digit teams in the 2025 NCAA tourney? The projection begins with 1-seeds South Carolina, UConn, USC and UCLA.www.espn.com
Latest bracketology from ESPN has Iowa moving up to a 5-seed.
-Michigan a 2-seed
-Indiana holding steady as a 4-seed
-Maryland a 4-seed
-Ohio State a 7-seed (personally I'm surprised they aren't higher based on their wins over us and Maryland)
-Nebraska a 7-seed
-Northwestern in the first 4 out
"Thanks to Iowa's two wins over Indiana in three days, there's a logjam at the top of the Big Ten. With just a week left in the regular season, any one of five teams -- Michigan, Indiana, Maryland, Ohio State and Iowa -- could win the conference title. That quintet, plus Nebraska, give the Big Ten six NCAA tournament teams, and none is seeded lower than No. 7. The same games this week that will determine the Big Ten's regular-season winner and double byes in the conference tournament will also impact the makeup of the top 16 seeds. The loser of Friday's Indiana-Maryland game is likely out. Iowa, which hosts Michigan on Sunday, has a shot at hosting first- and second-round NCAA tournament games if the Hawkeyes can beat the Wolverines and make a run in the Big Ten tournament. Sure, the conference is a little top-heavy, but the top has proved to be really good." -- Charlie Creme
Other Iowa opponents:
-Iowa State a 2-seed
-Central Florida a 7-seed (this was an underrated pick up for us in the non-conference)
-Duke an 11-seed (they dealt with a lot of injuries in January and early February)
-IUPUI out, unless they win the Horizon League tournament (their loss to Northern Kentucky likely killed their chances of getting an at-large bid -- if they make the field they will likely be a 12-seed based on their high NET)
-UNI would also need to win the MVC tournament
Replay of the IU game is on BTN right now. Yes, IU flopped just as much as I thought they did.
WTF are you talking about? Caitlin Clark is the best there is.After watching the first half of this Indiana game all I can say is we need another point guard worse than we need Monika coming back.
She doesn't have a backup though. Thus, leading her to play heavy minutes every game and us being screwed if she gets in foul trouble or injured.WTF are you talking about? Caitlin Clark is the best there is.
If we beat Rutgers, we can finish in the 1, 2, or 4 seeds I believe (4 with a loss to Michigan, 1 or 2 with a win). There might be some convoluted way to make us a 3 seed, but it's not likely.Does anyone know what our potential B1G seeding looks like if we lose to Michigan and/or Rutgers?
If we lose to Rutgers AND Michigan, we drop to the #5 seed behind Indiana to answer your question. We might as well get used to having a rematch with Indiana next Friday. If we beat Rutgers and lose to Michigan, the most likely scenario, we still play Indiana as the #4 seed. It will be a war no matter what.Does anyone know what our potential B1G seeding looks like if we lose to Michigan and/or Rutgers?
Does anyone know what our potential B1G seeding looks like if we lose to Michigan and/or Rutgers?
What if Clark gets hurt? Or foul trouble or needs a rest. We need another ball handler.WTF are you talking about? Caitlin Clark is the best there is.
Gotcha. Gabbie is a PG and Kylie can move the ball a bit but yes, we could use another PG. Bringing someone really good might be difficult with Caitlin having 2 more years.What if Clark gets hurt? Or foul trouble or needs a rest. We need another ball handler.
Thank you! That's really helpful along with the tool!Play around with this tool and you can see all the scenarios.mred's Big 10 WBB Tournament Seeding Tiebreaker
Big 10 Conference Women's Basketball Tournament Seeding and Tiebreakersbball.notnothing.net
-The lowest we can fall is #5, which would mean going 0-2 this week.
-We could end up at #4 (or very unlikely #3) in various scenarios where we go 1-1 this week.
-If we win out, we will be #2, unless Ohio State loses a game, then we could be #1.
I would classify Burton and Hillary as PGs. We need another PG to handle the ball, but who can also play the 2/3 for scoring/defense.What we really need IMO is a starting wing that plays tough perimeter defense and can also handle the ball a bit. A player like Veronica Burton or Nicole Cardano-Hillary. That's what I'd look for in the transfer portal.
Gabbie and Kate do their best to fill that role, but neither is a particularly good ball-handler, and neither is nearly as disruptive on defense. Perhaps Affolter can fill that role in time, but she's going to need to develop quickly to have that impact next year.