I predict Kirk and Brian are gone at the end of this season.
Even if Iowa finishes the regular season 11-1, a real possibility, Kirk Ferentz has to realize the retirement door is wide open and there may be no better time to walk through it. The B1G changes dramatically next year. No more weak B1G West with its familiar doormats, no more early season patsies to pad the record. Competition in the league will be much stiffer with the addition of USC, UCLA, Washington and Oregon. Iowa is going to need a complete team effort in order to compete -- one that scores points and doesn't just prevent the other guy from scoring or having good field position -- something Iowa does not have now.
I believe Kirk is smart enough to realize the field will be significantly more challenging next season. It may be to his advantage to retire now and go out on top. But it would not surprise me if he tries to leverage that with Beth Goetz.
Iowa's offense is a national laughingstock, a distraction from an otherwise elite product on the field in defense and special teams. The "schemes" are out of date and predictable to opponents. Under Brian Ferentz, Iowa has not been able to attract the kind of skill players -- either out of high school or through the transfer portal -- to create even an average offense. Beyond linemen, Iowa seems unable to develop locally-grown 3-star talent on offense as it does with other positions.
Goetz will have no choice but to fire Brian or to at least demote him and tell Kirk to hire a new Offensive Coordinator. It's at that point that Brian's Dad will try to stand up for him and threaten to quit if Goetz doesn't back down. But that may be all a ruse to extract more severance money, both for Kirk and for Brian. To avoid a messy departure, Goetz will have no choice but to come up with it.
Prove me wrong.
Even if Iowa finishes the regular season 11-1, a real possibility, Kirk Ferentz has to realize the retirement door is wide open and there may be no better time to walk through it. The B1G changes dramatically next year. No more weak B1G West with its familiar doormats, no more early season patsies to pad the record. Competition in the league will be much stiffer with the addition of USC, UCLA, Washington and Oregon. Iowa is going to need a complete team effort in order to compete -- one that scores points and doesn't just prevent the other guy from scoring or having good field position -- something Iowa does not have now.
I believe Kirk is smart enough to realize the field will be significantly more challenging next season. It may be to his advantage to retire now and go out on top. But it would not surprise me if he tries to leverage that with Beth Goetz.
Iowa's offense is a national laughingstock, a distraction from an otherwise elite product on the field in defense and special teams. The "schemes" are out of date and predictable to opponents. Under Brian Ferentz, Iowa has not been able to attract the kind of skill players -- either out of high school or through the transfer portal -- to create even an average offense. Beyond linemen, Iowa seems unable to develop locally-grown 3-star talent on offense as it does with other positions.
Goetz will have no choice but to fire Brian or to at least demote him and tell Kirk to hire a new Offensive Coordinator. It's at that point that Brian's Dad will try to stand up for him and threaten to quit if Goetz doesn't back down. But that may be all a ruse to extract more severance money, both for Kirk and for Brian. To avoid a messy departure, Goetz will have no choice but to come up with it.
Prove me wrong.
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