I think IU gets 25-30 pts because you have to defend that spread for 60 minutes and that is a lot to ask of a team.
If Iowa gets a big lead, it is probably even more likely Indiana hits those numbers. 1 due to more possessions, and 2 due to KF, conservative nature.
Agreed. I'm getting tired of all the hand-wringing. Our defense is good, and theirs is epically bad. I have no concerns about this game, as this Iowa team has yet to show me a reason to doubt them.
Did you watch the MSU game? I believe it was 28-26 at the end of the 3rd quarter. I did not, but would like to hear what they thought about Indiana based on that game, not the Rutgers game. I do think there is room for some concern.
When is the last time Iowa Football played well in Bloomington? That is more the reason for concern IMO than anything the 2015 versions of the Hoosiers or Hawkeyes have shown.
When is the last time Iowa Football played well in Bloomington? That is more the reason for concern IMO than anything the 2015 versions of the Hoosiers or Hawkeyes have shown.
I think IU gets 25-30 pts because you have to defend that spread for 60 minutes and that is a lot to ask of a team.
If Iowa gets a big lead, it is probably even more likely Indiana hits those numbers. 1 due to more possessions, and 2 due to KF, conservative nature.
I did not watch one second of this game...
If you look at the stats, it shows MSU ran the ball 44 times for 142 yards, and Cook had 10 carries. Now, if you look at that solely, one could infer that chances are Indiana stacked the box and shut the running game down pretty well considering, and went after Cook all game.
But then you look at the fact Cook threw for 400 yards, and MSU controlled the ball for 39 minutes...one can reasonably assume that yes Indiana scored a lot in those 21 minutes...but was absolutely gassed defensively the second half, considering they allowed 24 straight in the 4th quarter.
I'd say those 44 carries were more important than the 142 yards. MSU ran 96 plays that game total.
To me, Indiana sold out hoping to hang close - and failed because of a lack of depth and talent on the defensive end to make that strategy work.
The problem with Iowa is CJ is immobile right now. Cook was able to take off and escape enough to put up 400 on them.
So, the kneejerk reaction is Indiana sucks on pass defense. But if CJ can't play-action or bootleg, then it's mostly shotgun - which takes the running aspect out of the gameplan on those plays. They can pin their ears back and blitz CJ knowing he ain't going anywhere.
That makes those shotgun plays easier to defend, even though they suck at pass defense.
Which leads me to believe Iowa's best strategy is to run the ball, and continue to run the ball all game long. Eventually, the body punches thrown will tire Indiana out (much like NW game) where the second half, their tanks will be empty and then the running game dominates and puts them away.
Ideally, a 50-20 run/pass ratio, Iowa wins handily because Indiana isn't going to have the ball enough to score big time points.
I just watched it, take a look at that Indiana/MSU game on watchespn. If it wasn't for Cook's near-record night, I don't know if they win that. Game was still in question deep into 4 quarter.
A good portion (71 yards) of MSU's rushing yards came on the garbage drives in the last 3 minutes. Indiana was down 10ish, turned it over on downs, let MSU run it in, fumbled the kickoff and let them run it in again. Otherwise Indiana would have kept them to something like 37 attempts for 70 yards. MSUs o-line banged up bad, had 3rd string linemen in there. MSUs d-backfield also banged up, 5 players out of the 2 deeps. Lots of pressure from Indiana's front 7, Cook avoided some of that with his legs, but also with quick passes. There are some big dudes on that line for Indiana.
The coverage for either team didn't look that bad, just a lot of very accurate throws. Refs were bad, lots of PI non-calls that shoulda been called on Indiana. Sudfeld was very accurate and o-line pass protection was great. Hopefully we can get our run game going early and we can control the game. Not sure which Indiana will show up, Rutgers or MSU.
When is the last time Iowa Football played well in Bloomington? That is more the reason for concern IMO than anything the 2015 versions of the Hoosiers or Hawkeyes have shown.