I think they have a good chance with Hays. She said she wanted to narrow her list down to a few schools, then take visits. Thus far, she's only visited Iowa and Gonzaga. She'll probably take more now that her HS season is over, but she's only seen two game environments and you can't really compete with Iowa on that front this year. Plus in the Wright Thompson piece it mentioned Jan was flying in from Alaska last summer. That's a big time commitment for Jan to make, but goes a long way with recruits.
Based on social media, Iowa, K-State, and Notre Dame seem to be Speiser's favorites. That seems to lean towards K-State though. I don't think it's the best sign that she didn't come to one of Iowa's games during the regular season.
For McGaughy, her dream school appears to be UConn
per this. That said, I don't believe UConn has offered her, even though she had them in her Top 12. If UConn offers, she probably goes there, but that's not at all certain at this point.