Just three questions...
#1 - Does anyone honestly think Miami of Ohio has the slightest(over 1%) chance against the Hawks this year?
#2 - Its Iowa State so they will surely give us all they got. But does anyone give ISU anything more than a punchers chance against Iowa in Iowa City in 2016?
#3 - I know its fashionable to predict a catastrophic defeat at the hands of a very robust North Dakota State this year, but is that anymore realistic than those that predicted a similar outcome in 2015 against Illinois State?
Looking at those three games I see no way the Hawkeyes start out less than 3-0. Am I wrong?
#1 - The Miami (OH) game will be a laugher - assuming that the Hawks actually take them seriously.
#2 - It's fascinating to look at the context of Iowa's game '15 game against ISU. Instead of being ridiculously deep at TE like we usually are .... not only was Duzey out, but Kittle was out early in the season due to injury ... thus, our top 2 tight ends in that game were Krieger-Coble and Outsey. While we came to learn that Henry is an excellent and well-rounded TE ... we didn't know it THAT early in the season. Furthermore, in that game, BOTH LeShun Daniels and Drew Ott went down to injury. Thus, Iowa's D effectively was featuring 3 new starters on the DL, 2 (or 3) new starters at LB (depending on whether you consider Jewell a returning starter), and 1 new starter in the secondary.
Not surprisingly, given that the game was at Jack Trice, that ISU returned a starting QB, and that they were enjoying continuity on the coaching staff at that time last year .... they gave the Hawks their very best shot. In fact, if memory serves, early in the 4th quarter, Iowa was still down in the game. Fortunately, the Hawks pulled away and the rest is history.
Fast forward a year ... ISU has all new schemes, has a young QB who has a little over a half-seasons worth of starts under his belt, has suffered quite a bit of attrition personnel-wise, and will have 4 new starters on the OL.
While the Cyclones have good players at skill positions ... they're not nearly as deep at WR as they usually are, they're critically low on depth at RB past Warren, and they're critically low on depth at QB past Lanning. If Warren gets injured ... they're sunk. If Lanning gets injured ... they're sunk.
The Cyclones is slated to feature more of a 4-2-5 look on the D. They lost a lot of depth at LB. They should be solid in the secondary and on the DL ... so their D really could be tough. However, given their scheme and depth ... I'm not sure how well they'll withstand a pounding running game through 4 quarters.
The game will be at Kinnick, Iowa returns 8 starters on D, and a mobile CJ Beathard can potentially put a lot of pressure on what should be an above-average Cyclone defense. The Cyclones have their usual punchers chance this year ... no more than that.
#3 - The Hawks will know how good their adversary is entering the game. With the benefit of that foreknowledge, the concentration of the Hawks will not slip at all. NDSU will easily be a step up from either our initial 2 games ... however, given how the Hawks prepared last year ... I anticipate that they will be similarly ready in 2016.