Slope is 139 which is tough but Sawgrass, another TPC course, is 155. Jordan Spieth said in these conditions it's one of the easiest courses they play.
Slope shmope. My opinion only (not saying I’m right) is slope isn’t a good indicator of difficulty. Rating is.
As an exercise, let’s compare.
We can all agree that the set up at Sawgrass is significantly more difficult than Deere Run. Assuming that:
- The average winning score over the last 4 years (post COVID) at Sawgrass is -16 (272).
- The average winning score over the last 4 years (post Covid) at the JDC is -22 (262).
Sawgrass, over the last 4 years, is 2.5 strokes more difficult for the PGA Tour professionals. You could argue that theory because Sawgrass has 2 more par 5’s which for pros make it easier but for this exercise let’s ignore that.
But let’s dig deeper, shall we?
- Sawgrass is set up, in theory, significantly more difficult, especially on the weekend.
- The average world ranking (we can argue relevance of the WGR later) of the field at Sawgrass is significantly higher than the JDC. After all, the Players is the “5th major” and the top 50 in the WGR almost Always compete among other players that are all in the top 175.
- The JDC, year over year, is lucky is they get 10 of the top 50 to compete. Furthermore, at the JDC there are more players ranked >100 in the field than there are <100.
- The conclusion one could come to is when it comes to the strength of field, course set up, and course conditions (Bermuda grass v bent grass) is the vast majority of the TPC courses are pitch and putts for these guys (TPC Highlands at -22, Scottsdale -21, San Antonio -20).
- We can do the same exercise for Scottsdale or Boston if you’d like but we will get similar or even worse (for your argument) results.
- This experiment actually surprised me once I actually did the math. I’m not, but you could argue Deere Run is just as difficult (or just as easy) as Sawgrass considering the strength of field and course conditions.