For many years/QB cycles, it has been noted that several QB's have regressed over their careers.
The belief was that Ken O'Keefe was the common denominator at the time. It can be argued that:
Above average ->Average -> Slightly below average, over 3 years span as starter (2 for some)
Drew Tate: A-, B, C
Ricky Stanzi: B+, B+, B- ('08, partial starter)
James Vandenberg: B-, C-
Jake Rudock: C+, C+
CJ Beathard B+, A-,C+ ('14 partial)
Nate Stanley: B+, B+, C+
Spencer Petras: C+, D+, F (jury not out yet, but thus far).
The official common denominator, folks, is Kirk Ferentz. The over exuberance KF teaches to not make any mistakes turns QB's into zombies by the time they're seniors.
The Petras situation is sufficiently frustrating and disappointing without these false or distorted narratives. We've got a finite number so let's examine reality vs. the argument above. Reality really does matter.
First let's look at the top 20 QBing seasons at Iowa.
Passing (min. 1,500 yards) Name Comp-Att __Pct. __ Yards __TDs _ Year
1. Chuck Hartlieb _____ 288-460 __ .626 __ 3,738 __ 17 __ 1988
2. Chuck Long________ 260-388 __ .670 __ 3,297 __ 27 __ 1985
3. Chuck Hartlieb _____ 217-334 __ .650 __ 3,092 __ 19 __ 1987
4. James Vandenberg__ 232-404 __ .574 __ 3,022 __ 25 __ 2011
5. Ricky Stanzi________ 221-345 __ .641 __ 3,004 __ 25 __ 2010
6. Nate Stanley _______ 237-399 __ .594 __ 2,951 __ 16 __ 2019
7. Chuck Long________ 216-322 __ .671 __ 2,871 __ 22 __ 1984
8. Nate Stanley _______ 235-396 __ .593 __ 2,852 __ 26 __ 2018
9. Drew Tate _________ 219-352 __ .622 __ 2,828 __ 22 __ 2005
10. C.J. Beathard _______ 223-362 __ .616 __ 2,809 __ 17 __ 2015
11. Drew Tate _________ 233-375 __ .621 __ 2,786 __ 20 __ 2004
12. Drew Tate _________ 207-352 __ .588 __ 2,623 __ 18 __ 2006
13. Chuck Long________ 157-265 __ .592 __ 2,601 __ 14 __ 1983
14. Brad Banks ________ 170-294 __ .578 __ 2,573 __ 26 __ 2002
15. Matt Sherman______ 170-295 __ .576 __ 2,546 __ 14 __ 1995
16. Nate Stanley _______ 196-351 __ .558 __ 2,437 __ 26 __ 2017
17. Jake Rudock _______ 213-345 __ .617 __ 2,436 __ 16 __ 2014
18. Ricky Stanzi________ 171-304 __ .562 __ 2,417 __ 17 __ 2009
19. Jake Rudock _______ 204-346 __ .590 __ 2,383 __ 18 __ 2013
20. Matt Rodgers ______ 185-283 __ .654 __ 2,275 __ 14 __ 1991
The posters grades are presumably based on Iowa QBing and not national historical standard. Two very different metrics. Winning is not particularly significant to a positional evaluation.
Need a reasonably objective metric. Iowa has probably has at least 200 different QBs get a starting opportunity. So top 10% make the above list. The top 10%, is almost always an "A". Next twenty "B".
Let's look at each QB you named.
Drew Tate
12 | 233 | 375 | 62.1 | 2786 | 7.4 | 6.8 | | | | 20 | 14 | 134.7 |
| JR | QB | 12 | 219 | 352 | 62.2 | 2828 | 8.0 | 8.4 | 22 | 7 | 146.4 |
| SR | QB | 11 | 207 | 352 | 58.8 | 2623 | 7.5 | 6.8 | 18 | 13 | 130 |
Drew played his soph starter season without a running game. So, 2004 #9 top season, 2005 (#11), 2006 (#11). All three seasons are within a range of only 205 yards. Tate played much of his last season with injuries. The only reserve was true freshman Jake Christensen. Senior year clearly less than 100%. Blame Kirk F for the Drew's injuries and inhibitions they imposed?
Ricky's Stanzi
Ricky started the last ten games of his soph season and played equal time with Jake in the first two games. So 2008 (#29) B, 2009 (#18) A and his senior season (#5) a solid A? Does KF get credit for the extensive improvement in Ricky's career?
CJ
Nothing on which to evaluate soph year. Significantly worse than Rudock's, whose junior year is #17 solid A CJ, also injured his senior year regressed all the way to #30. Blame KF for the injuries?
Vandenberg
| | | SO | QB | 3 | 5 | 8 | 62.5 | 45 | 5.6 | 8.1 | 1 | 0 | 151.0 |
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| | | JR | QB | 13 | 237 | 404 | 58.7 | 3022 | 7.5 | 7.9 | 25 | 7 | 138.5 |
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| | | SR | QB | 12 | 223 | 389 | 57.3 | 2249 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 7 | 8 | 107. |
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Junior year was the 4th best single season QB performance in Iowa history. Only two guys named Chuck had better seasons. James had an even worse injury than Drew or CJ.
Nate Stanley
SO | QB | 13 | 196 | 351 | 55.8 | 2432 | 6.9 | 7.6 | 26 | 6 | 135.1 | | | |
JR | | | JR | QB | 13 | 235 | 396 | 59.3 | 2852 | 7.2 | 7.4 | 26 | 10 | 136.5 |
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Sr | | | SR | QB | 13 | 237 | 399 | 59.4 | 2951 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 16 | 7 | 131.2 |
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All three seasons were A seasons. Nate improved every season in yards and completion percentage but fewer TDs senior year. Sr season Nate lost his top 3 receivers, two of whom were All Americans and Iowa was running the three headed monster at RB. Senior season (#6) Nate still completed more passes for more yards at a higher percentage with even fewer interceptions than the prior season (#8). Nate did improve every season at Iowa, So who get's credit for that?
The Stanzi thing is entirely different. He's the worst starting QB in the country and, at least for two games, he's still starting. That cannot be reasonably explained but is coming to an end, I think.