Originally posted by lookleft goright:
You are definitely generous with Mizzou and conservative with the Hawks in those numbers.
Things working in the Hawks favor are Garrett from Cornell being hurt and not up to form all year and Delgado being out all year and not up to form. Both those things are going to make it easier for Gilman to go deeper into the tourney. That could be big points for the Hawks and I think it may be the difference in winning the title or not winning. 8 5th or 6th place finishers will not do it, but a couple 3rds and and 6 5-6 th placers mat be enough. And if a couple get in the finals, it is all Iowa in St. Louis.
It seems to me that the Hawks have the most bullets and only a couple need to hit their mark for the Hawks to win it all. I also think Cornell is going to get a trophy. (In the vein of full disclosure- I am usually wrong about these things and most other things for that matter)
The situation that applies to Gilman, applies to Waters as well does it not? And Waters will be a higher seed. I like Houdashelt's chances of making the Finals every bit as much as Waters, and Cox I think is a lock.
And I like all 3 of their chances better than anyone from Iowa.
As far as I'm concerned, Mizzou is the favorite, and fOSU right behind. I think Iowa and Minny battle it out for 3rd.
Until Iowa takes it upon themselves to improve their situation at Nationals, I won't believe it until I see it.