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The race is breaking

After this racist Nazi rally tonight, anyone who votes for Trump is totally fine with continued racism in America. Any election pre-Trump and the comments made tonight would have eliminated the candidate. Anyone who can vote for that garbage and the implementation of Project 2025 are pissing on the graves of the men and women in our military who died fighting for American democracy. F. You.
Anyone who votes for Harris is totally fine with trans people molesting young girls in their locker rooms. tom, is that the game you are playing, making up absurd nonsense and spouting it on a sports forum? You obviously are blessed with a lot of class and common sense. :rolleyes:
 
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What about retiree “wages”? 🥴

Social security benefits get an annual inflation increase via the "COLA" (Cost of living adjustment). If you have other sources of income in retirement:

* Many annuities have the option to include inflation protection, either via an automatic, periodic percentage increase or an increase that kicks in based on actual inflation
* If you don't have annuities but have assets invested, interest rates on CDs, savings, and MYGAs have increased - and the stock market has gone up significantly - resulting in higher income (interest & dividends) and higher principal in your investments; consider using some of that principal increase to buy a SPIA that will provide increased income.
 
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The 538 judges each poll based on methodology and historical accuracy, and weights them accordingly. You can go with it, or you can go with your gut. I’m just saying people who think Harris is positioned well are ignoring the available evidence.
She is positioned very well. So we'll she will easily win.
 
Anyone who votes for Harris is totally fine with trans people molesting young girls in their locker rooms. tom, is that the game you are playing, making up absurd nonsense and spouting it on a sports forum? You obviously are blessed with a lot of class and common sense. :rolleyes:
Lol. There is racism in America...shown last night at the Nazi rally. There are not trans people molesting girls in locker rooms in America. This is how stupid you are. Thanks for the constant reminders.
 
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Yes. The wrong term was used. Reasonable people on here know that what was being conveyed though. That is the total inflationary number for the Biden Harris term.

That stands at approximately 20% and that is crushing American families.

Bet your house? I love idiots making claims they won't own.
 
I didn’t make that statement and wasn’t defending it. I was pointing out that polymarket is being manipulated. A single French man has bet $45 million alone. I have no idea if he is a billionaire or simply a very wealthy millionaire.

From Fortune Magazine

Polymarket odds are being actively manipulated by wealthy foreigners for whatever purpose they may have. Maybe the dude thinks Trump will win, maybe he wants to curry favor with Trump. What I know is he ain’t American and the odds don’t represent the view of Americans.
You literally called it a platform for billionaires lol nice walk back. Keep it up and you may catch up to Joe's place in time. Trump landslide is imminent. Enjoy the show (and your remaining time with gohox)
 
Lol. There is racism in America...shown last night at the Nazi rally. There are not trans people molesting girls in locker rooms in America. This is how stupid you are. Thanks for the constant reminders.

Wrong as always. THIS is how stupid you are. Thanks for the consistent reminders.
 
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Everything I have read about early voting indicates a)all it tells us is who is voting early, and b)Republicans are doing much better than usual.

Do you have data that suggests otherwise?
Reread my post that's the data. a) this is a turnout election turnout is currently very high. Sure it could slow down and that could mean trouble for her but I think we are going to continue seeing high turnout and she will win. b) yes republican are doing much better than usual on the early voting front but as I said very little of that is new republican voters. I feel his voters are just voting early instead of day of that's not going to add to his totals. He's the one who has to add voters and just because people who previously voted day of are now voting early doesn't mean there is more of them.

Again none of this is hard evidence she is going to win I just think it's a good sign and I personally don't trust polls I think they have to manipulate them way too much to get the data they need and that isn't their fault even its just the reality in today's environment.
 
You literally called it a platform for billionaires lol nice walk back. Keep it up and you may catch up to Joe's place in time. Trump landslide is imminent. Enjoy the show (and your remaining time with gohox)
No that was @HawkNester who you originally responded to. It’s post #34. I jumped in the ring to school you on Polymarket.

You seem confused, are you ok? Maybe you should consider:
APFM_v_rgb.jpg
 
It might be but there is nothing out there suggesting this. All data points to Trump winning. I’ve been hesitant to embrace it but I think Trump wins and it might not be close. He even has an outside shot at winning the popular vote
If any of this were true then Trump wouldn't be dropping hints about the "secret plan" to win the House. There would be no need to do that. But I can see you are perfectly set up to be shocked if he loses. Maybe to the point of doing something violent someplace.
 
From a June 2024 article.

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Honest question for you Northern…what do you think the rates would have done through 2021 if Trump had won a second term? Personally I believe they would have continued to rise, but perhaps not quite as high depending on any additional pandemic relief he put in place. Trump was printing money bigly in 2020 to solve the pandemic recession and inflation is a lagging indicator to money supply expansion.

I was very pissed that Biden added to that as I believe it made the problem worse. But I also wonder if Trump would have done the same thing…he is no fiscal conservative. I tend to think he would not have gone as big as Biden, but have no idea.

Net net I believe the inflation problem began under Trump and continued under Biden. But I’m honestly curious on your take.
 
Sort of curious to see which of the polls this week suddenly lurch in a direction they've not previously been leaning. An old Rasmussen game.
 
Honest question for you Northern…what do you think the rates would have done through 2021 if Trump had won a second term? Personally I believe they would have continued to rise, but perhaps not quite as high depending on any additional pandemic relief he put in place. Trump was printing money bigly in 2020 to solve the pandemic recession and inflation is a lagging indicator to money supply expansion.

I was very pissed that Biden added to that as I believe it made the problem worse. But I also wonder if Trump would have done the same thing…he is no fiscal conservative. I tend to think he would not have gone as big as Biden, but have no idea.

Net net I believe the inflation problem began under Trump and continued under Biden. But I’m honestly curious on your take.

All for Nothing​

Assessing the Inflation Reduction Act, one year later


As the highly inflationary Inflation Reduction Act passes its first birthday, it’s worth taking stock of its track record over the last 12 months.

First, in contrast with its name, the IRA hasn’t done much to reduce inflation. Even President Biden agrees, now that political attention is focused elsewhere. “It has nothing to do with inflation,” Biden told donors recently, conceding what critics said all along. “It has to do with the $368 billion, the single-largest investment in climate change anywhere in the world.”

....
What, then, can we conclude about the Inflation Reduction Act? It made substantial contributions to the biggest inflation crisis in four decades via procyclical fiscal stimulus; it directed economic activity toward unviable sectors of the economy that can’t survive without government support; it made credit for non-subsidized sectors significantly more expensive, depriving them of needed funding; and despite its intent to cut the deficit in the back half of its ten-year window, as cost estimates for the subsidies increase, it appears that it will on net add to the government debt, costing the government valuable fiscal space to deal with future crises and deepening our ruinous debt path.

And all for nothing.

Full article:
 
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The 538 judges each poll based on methodology and historical accuracy, and weights them accordingly. You can go with it, or you can go with your gut. I’m just saying people who think Harris is positioned well are ignoring the available evidence.
538 used to do this.

It's been bought out and now is far more skewed than it was originally.
GOP/oligarch interests bought a brand, and are now running it.
 
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Why doesn't that graph continue into '24? Hacky shit you are posting. It does show the trend that Biden had to deal with when he came into office. So inflation now is at half of the run rate it was at when Trump left office?
Wow....Trump REALLY started some bad bad inflation that Biden had to tame down....
 
You think Trump is going to win. I'd take the house money that he won't.

And inflation stats are not worth shit with out COVID

Drink some more bleach

The odds are in his favor.

How about this. Let's wager a 3 month absence from HBOT? Trump wins, you leave. Kamala wins, I leave.
 

All for Nothing​

Assessing the Inflation Reduction Act, one year later


As the highly inflationary Inflation Reduction Act passes its first birthday, it’s worth taking stock of its track record over the last 12 months.

First, in contrast with its name, the IRA hasn’t done much to reduce inflation. Even President Biden agrees, now that political attention is focused elsewhere. “It has nothing to do with inflation,” Biden told donors recently, conceding what critics said all along. “It has to do with the $368 billion, the single-largest investment in climate change anywhere in the world.”

....
What, then, can we conclude about the Inflation Reduction Act? It made substantial contributions to the biggest inflation crisis in four decades via procyclical fiscal stimulus; it directed economic activity toward unviable sectors of the economy that can’t survive without government support; it made credit for non-subsidized sectors significantly more expensive, depriving them of needed funding; and despite its intent to cut the deficit in the back half of its ten-year window, as cost estimates for the subsidies increase, it appears that it will on net add to the government debt, costing the government valuable fiscal space to deal with future crises and deepening our ruinous debt path.

And all for nothing.

Full article:
I was genuinely interested in your opinion on what Trump would have done. Instead you post an article about Biden’s policies. I already said I thought Biden made the inflationary cycle he inherited worse.

Are you to lazy to answer my question or do you not have your own thoughts?
 
Wow....Trump REALLY started some bad bad inflation that Biden had to tame down....
"It's going to disappear. One day — it's like a miracle — it will disappear," - Trump on COVID and the resulting economic fallout
 
I was genuinely interested in your opinion on what Trump would have done. Instead you post an article about Biden’s policies. I already said I thought Biden made the inflationary cycle he inherited worse.

Are you to lazy to answer my question or do you not have your own thoughts?

It's pretty clear. Trump and Republicans wouldn't have put forward a massive climate change bill in the middle of high inflationary times.
 
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It's pretty clear. Trump and Republicans wouldn't have put forward a massive climate change bill in the middle of high inflationary times.
Allowing people to afford far more efficient home appliances and heating systems, putting more money into their monthly pocketbooks, absolutely improves things for them.

When you reduce your energy bills by $100 a month or more, that's $1200/yr+ to spend on other things. Aside from not needing more $$ to build more power plants where that money has to be borrowed and paid back over 30-50 yrs.
 
It's pretty clear. Trump and Republicans wouldn't have put forward a massive climate change bill in the middle of high inflationary times.

Quit with your inflation comments. It is absurd. You want inflation ? Lets start putting tariffs on imports, which will....be a tax on the poor.
 
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How, specifically, did he "make it worse", when the US has had higher GDP than most Western countries and among the lowest inflation?



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He printed money Joe, just like Biden.

Call a spade a spade. IMO Biden should not have done that, we were going to emerge from the recession just fine without it.

He did a number of good things in his term, that was not one of them.
 
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538 used to do this.

It's been bought out and now is far more skewed than it was originally.
GOP/oligarch interests bought a brand, and are now running it.

Nate Silver's new page shows the same numbers. Harris' lead is down to 1.2% nationally from nearly 4% after the debate.
 
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