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This might be a little tougher than Putin thought...

SIAP

Not good.

Azu International is an example of how supply channels to Russia have remained open despite Western export restrictions and manufacturer bans. At least $2.6 billion of computer and other electronic components flowed into Russia in the seven months to Oct. 31, Russian customs records show. At least $777 million of these products were made by Western firms whose chips have been found in Russian weapons systems: America’s Intel Corp, Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD), Texas Instruments Inc and Analog Devices Inc., and Germany’s Infineon AG.

 
Next up will be 117k, more KIA than America lost in all of World War 1.
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282 planes. Dayum. 282 pilots plus or minus.
Russian military is being gutted by a supposedly smaller, weaker neighbor.
The oligarchs have to be talking exit strategy by now.
If you want a very insightful read on how dire it is within Russian forces, this tweet/essay of a Russian war correspondent was posted the other day and is an excellent read:

 
 
We know Wagner is recruiting convicts and putting them in the field. This article has information about it given by one such convict captured by Ukraine.

 
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By the time this is all said in done, Ukraine will be unconquerable by the Russians, short of a nuclear Armageddon. The Russians have tripped over their dicks repeatedly and delightfully, and if they ever get their shit together from an organizational/leadership/doctrinal standpoint, Ukraine is going to be armed to the teeth. Once they modernize their warplanes with NATO warplanes and armaments, they will be even harder to take over. And of course, this does not even address the fact that they will become a NATO member protected by Article 5.
 
By the time this is all said in done, Ukraine will be unconquerable by the Russians, short of a nuclear Armageddon. The Russians have tripped over their dicks repeatedly and delightfully, and if they ever get their shit together from an organizational/leadership/doctrinal standpoint, Ukraine is going to be armed to the teeth. Once they modernize their warplanes with NATO warplanes and armaments, they will be even harder to take over. And of course, this does not even address the fact that they will become a NATO member protected by Article 5.
Russia has shit the bed. Their military is trashed, the brain drain is epic, cash flow via carbon sales will only come via black market for the foreseeable future, all neighbors are doubling down on defensive spending, internal bloodshed will only increase…
Wow. A “world power” has been reduced to an obvious criminal enterprise with crippled abilities within a ten month window.
putin’s folly will have negative impacts for generations. Sucks for the peeps whose history gave us the Bolshoi, world class porcelain products including the amazing Faberge eggs, chess masters, stoic resistance to Hitler, etc…
 
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Russia has shit the bed. Their military is trashed, the brain drain is epic, cash flow via carbon sales will only come via black market for the foreseeable future, all neighbors are doubling down on defensive spending, internal bloodshed will only increase…
Wow. A “world power” has been reduced to an obvious criminal enterprise with crippled abilities within a ten month window.
putin’s folly will have negative impacts for generations. Sucks for the peeps whose history gave us the Bolshoi, world class porcelain products, chess masters, stoic resistance to Hitler, etc…
All of that is wonderful. The thing which will be hardest to overcome is the brain drain, either through KIAs or men fleeing the country to avoid being conscripted. From what I understand, lack of leadership and military know how is getting lots and lots of Russians killed. The cliché meatgrinder really is an apt metaphor. It wouldn't necessarily have to be that way, but no one knows any better, or to avoid being the squeaky wheel which gets greased, the people that know better continue to just send wave after wave of infantry to be blown to pieces. Either way, Russian men of fighting age are dying by the tens of thousands, and with many of their deaths their knowledge and know how is snuffed out.
 
All of that is wonderful. The thing which will be hardest to overcome is the brain drain, either through KIAs or men fleeing the country to avoid being conscripted. From what I understand, lack of leadership and military know how is getting lots and lots of Russians killed. The cliché meatgrinder really is an apt metaphor. It wouldn't necessarily have to be that way, but no one knows any better, or to avoid being the squeaky wheel which gets greased, the people that know better continue to just send wave after wave of infantry to be blown to pieces. Either way, Russian men of fighting age are dying by the tens of thousands, and with many of their deaths their knowledge and know how is snuffed out.
It is unimaginable to think of being a serf in one of the far reaching republics of pootin’s Russia today. The men are expendable, the women are lied to, the children have no future, the oligarches remain above the fray…
American citizens should mouth a thank you daily for our circumstances.
 
It's insane to recognize that Russia will likely have had as many men actively killed "IN" combat as we lost in total during all of WWI. They've already far surpassed how many we lost IN combat, but we're nearing total deaths and that doesn't count how many they've lost not on the field of battle.
 
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