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This might be a little tougher than Putin thought...

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And there you have it. This is a big one. They are officially being described as running out of effective fighting units. War is lost.
My first reaction was relief-maybe that all out offensive will never exist. I feared like the Battle of the Bulge, Russia may be able to really start off really well but then hopefully peter out due to lack of men and equipment. I like skipping to the petering out part.
We may see that Ukraine counter offensive soon if Russia is this weak.
 
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Looks like another German company has even more Leopard 1s that can be put back into action and Germany is debating whether to allow 187 (!) to be sent to Ukraine. Yea for Germany.

"Federal government allows industry to export 187 Leopard 1 tanks for Ukraine, from Rheinmetall (88 ) and Flensburger Fahrzeugbau Gesellschaft (99 ) ). What that means for the war"

 
I wonder why Southampton and not to France, or another port in the continent? Taking them over via the Chunnel?
I've read where a lot of the shipping is going through Hamburg which is something like another 24 hours away.
You would think that would not require any more fuel or provisions. Maybe they are picking up some UK stuff also?
 
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They found themselves a unit too judging by the uptick in tanks and APV. It’s almost half our total dead for 20 years in Afghanistan. In. One. Day.
My hope is that for the Russian offensive, Ukraine has a viper pit set up. My further hope is that with this mobilization and offensive, there will be enough killed that have family clout to get Russia to just stop this madness.
 
My hope is that for the Russian offensive, Ukraine has a viper pit set up. My further hope is that with this mobilization and offensive, there will be enough killed that have family clout to get Russia to just stop this madness.
With Russia telegraphing their punch I'm thinking Ukraine will be more than ready.

This is where U.S and "western" intel really is a benefit for Ukraine. I don't think the Russians would be able to pull off a "surprise" offensive (hitting Ukraine where they least expect it) because it seems that Russia is an open book as far as intel goes...
 
With Russia telegraphing their punch I'm thinking Ukraine will be more than ready.

This is where U.S and "western" intel really is a benefit for Ukraine. I don't think the Russians would be able to pull off a "surprise" offensive (hitting Ukraine where they least expect it) because it seems that Russia is an open book as far as intel goes...
It seems like their only surprise capability is making Ukraine guess which war crime they will commit in targeting apartment complexes, malls, or civilian critical infrastructure.
 
Kind of a repeat of other stuff linked, but I like the message.

 


‘Pretty Complicated’​

Cigarette maker Philip Morris International Inc. also has spoken out about departure problems. The company’s CEO Jacek Olczak told Bloomberg Television in July that the company’s exit is “a pretty complicated process” that would take several more months. Olczak referenced the pressure of meeting the expectations of stakeholders including employees, shareholders and government regulators. He also spoke about the complexity of operating conditions in Russia.
Dutch telecom company Veon also has had a lengthy departure. The Russian government reportedly didn’t approve its sale of its Russian arm Vimpelcom until last week. Veon said it concluded a deal to sell its Russian mobile network towers in December.
Ford Motor Co. sold its 49% stake in its joint venture with the Russian manufacturer Sollers in October. The move finalized Ford’s exit from Russia after the company suspended its operations earlier last year. But the company also said at the time that it will retain the option to buy back the shares within a five-year period “should the global situation change.”
The report form the Swiss professors said such buy-back clauses have been part of similar Russian divestment deals involving companies such as McDonald’s and Nissan Motor Co.
Steven Tian, director of research for the Yale Chief Executive Leadership Institute who works alongside Sonnenfeld, said that repurchase options are common in divestments and asset sales.
“Until a company has actually shown any interest in re-buying their operations, which none have, this diversionary red herring should not distract from the fact these companies have fully exited Russia,” he said.

Still Here​

Companies which have left Russia often divulged the risks that prompted their departure. French industrial company Legrand SA, for example, said last month that it decided to divest its Russian operations “in view of recent developments, including rising operational complexity and uncertainty.”
Scores of others, including US-based restaurant chains Sbarro, LLC and TGI Fridays, for example, still have an ongoing presence in the country.
TGI Fridays issued a statement shortly after the war began that any exit plans from Russia would be made by local, independent franchisees.
But for those companies that do stay, it’s not quite business as usual.
“It’s still possible to do so but it is extremely complex legally speaking,” Mosman said. Companies that are still willing to “thread that needle” have the headache of ensuring compliance with a litany of mounting Western sanctions and export controls on Russia, she said.
The sprawling range of sanctions and export controls issued by the US and EU restrict transactions with Russia’s Central Bank, imports of Russian oil and other energy products, imports of raw materials, gold and seafood, and a host of export controls on sectors including defense, technology and aerospace—to name a few.
Some banks aren’t willing to take the risk of facilitating any corporate financial transactions connected to the country, said Terry Gilroy, a partner at Baker McKenzie who previously headed Barclays’ financial crime legal team. Banking options in Russia for Western companies “are becoming more and more limited,” he said.
As the practical difficulties in operating a subsidiary in Russia take hold, Gilroy said some companies feel like they’re “jumping through hoops and spending a lot of money on compliance.”
To contact the reporter on this story: Clara Hudson in Washington at chudson@bloombergindustry.com
To contact the editors responsible for this story: Jeff Harrington at jharrington@bloombergindustry.com; Michael Ferullo at mferullo@bloomberglaw.com
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Clara Hudson

Clara Hudson
Reporter
 
With Russia telegraphing their punch I'm thinking Ukraine will be more than ready.

This is where U.S and "western" intel really is a benefit for Ukraine. I don't think the Russians would be able to pull off a "surprise" offensive (hitting Ukraine where they least expect it) because it seems that Russia is an open book as far as intel goes...
And, hopefully this time Ukraine listens. They reacted quickly, but analysis tells they were still a little flatfooted and in disbelief that Russia was going to invade.
 
I am still confused why the supposed new offensive is planned exactly one year after the failed attempt last year when weather played such a big part?

Someone that knows...is Eastern Ukraine similar to the area around Kiev as far as terrain? Cause what I understood was the Russian attack a year ago was bogged down by mud.
 
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