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This might be a little tougher than Putin thought...

Historically, attackers have needed a 3-to-1 manpower advantage to successfully conduct an offense. Ukraine is also dug in and has “home field advantage.”

I would back of napkin their losses at around one-third of Russia’s, so in the 50k-60k range.
That’s reasonable….if reporting on Russian casualties is accurate.
 
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The part of the equation thats alway missing is this….

(Ukraine "also continues to suffer a high attrition rate", the UK said.)

We have no accurate data on this front. Makes it almost impossible for us armchair quarterbacks to get a real read of the situation.


Yeah, data around Ukrainian losses is scant. General Milley believes dead and wounded is in excess of 100k for each side, probably more. Official Ukrainian stats report significantly less.

I do think it's a distinct possibility that Russia simply overruns Ukraine with sheer volume of troops and weapons. That's why Russian military assets have to be degraded now.

 
Yeah, data around Ukrainian losses is scant. General Milley believes dead and wounded is in excess of 100k for each side, probably more. Official Ukrainian stats report significantly less.

I do think it's a distinct possibility that Russia simply overruns Ukraine with sheer volume of troops and weapons. That's why Russian military assets have to be degraded now.

We need to be getting stuff to the Ukrainians as fast as possible for sure…
 
The part of the equation thats alway missing is this….

(Ukraine "also continues to suffer a high attrition rate", the UK said.)

We have no accurate data on this front. Makes it almost impossible for us armchair quarterbacks to get a real read of the situation.

Going to disagree here. There is a very clear difference between the tone of the citizens, government officials, and allied countries that shows exactly who is clearly winning this war and who is closer to giving up.

One can tell from the way unhinged Russian Propagandists and government officials alike speak, the overall increased videos coming out of demoralized troops, the contrast of the citizens passion, and actions and size of each sides international weapons and economic support their is a very very clear winner right now.
 
Going to disagree here. There is a very clear difference between the tone of the citizens, government officials, and allied countries that shows exactly who is clearly winning this war and who is closer to giving up.

One can tell from the way unhinged Russian Propagandists and government officials alike speak, the overall increased videos coming out of demoralized troops, the contrast of the citizens passion, and actions and size of each sides international weapons and economic support their is a very very clear winner right now.
I’m just talking overall military casualty figures. Pretty mum on the Ukrainian front. (For good reason)

Ukraine engages in propaganda as well…every country at war does. I think Ukraine is much better at it than the Russians FWIW.
 
I can’t find it but already they are showing some clips of the physical and mentally damaged veterans of war. Going to be so many never same even if they make it home. This compares to NAM to me and our guys were messed up. They are nearing three times what we lost in that war in 12 months vs 10 years for perspective. Heck look at our aftermath from Afghanistan and Iraq and they are suffering those losses WEEKLY
 
The ole boy is speeka da trute.
Russia has been stoned across the field of battle, lost markets for their commodities, wasted a generation (or more) of population, pushed their educated and motivated young out of the country, caused an environmental disaster of unknown consequences, and exposed their leadership as thugs and criminals.

How does this crap still happen in the 2020’s?
 
I’m just talking overall military casualty figures. Pretty mum on the Ukrainian front. (For good reason)

Ukraine engages in propaganda as well…every country at war does. I think Ukraine is much better at it than the Russians FWIW.
I think it is pretty clear here as well that it is not insignificant and costly but not even close to the Russian numbers. They are better trained, equipped, organized and playing defense in their own land. I would bet they are at 25-30 percent of Russia. Worth noting they almost have a 1/3 the population of Russia too, anre demographic wise younger, and are going to fight to last man.
 
I can’t find it but already they are showing some clips of the physical and mentally damaged veterans of war. Going to be so many never same even if they make it home. This compares to NAM to me and our guys were messed up. They are nearing three times what we lost in that war in 12 months vs 10 years for perspective. Heck look at our aftermath from Afghanistan and Iraq and they are suffering those losses WEEKLY
Sux, highly.
To hear of so many who will suffer from these effects for the rest of their lives…
Fook pootie. He is acewhole.
 
I haven’t been reading every post the last few days, but I read that a Ukrainian higher up complaining that we do not provide longer range missiles, because Ukraine does not want to waste HIMARS rounds, and it only fires them if they receive coordinates from us. If true, and we give them a rocket and tell them exactly where to point it, and all they do is pull the trigger, then Russia has to know that too. If that is where we are at, I don’t see how longer ranged rockets are a problem. Or jets or tanks.
The front is 1000 miles long, sure they can concentrate some things, but we simply have not provided enough launchers and rockets to cover that distance effectively. And, they undoubtedly have some back for maintenance at any given time, some have been lost by now, and, some are probably sitting north of Kiev holding in reserve in case Russia does make an advance from Belarus.
 
Attacking, or running away? This is supportive of the higher Russian death totals, though. It shows disorganization, obviously. And, this literally may be what the Russians are doing. Forcing conscripts into the front via officers with guns behind them. Run forward and maybe you get shot, or run backwards and get shot for sure.
 
The part of the equation thats alway missing is this….

(Ukraine "also continues to suffer a high attrition rate", the UK said.)

We have no accurate data on this front. Makes it almost impossible for us armchair quarterbacks to get a real read of the situation.

And, the wounded that turn into KIA? What percentage on each side survives? I have to believe the Russian side suffers a higher rate. The West is pouring in non combat aid, and it's actually from this century versus the Cold War era bandages the Russians are using.
 
And, the wounded that turn into KIA? What percentage on each side survives? I have to believe the Russian side suffers a higher rate. The West is pouring in non combat aid, and it's actually from this century versus the Cold War era bandages the Russians are using.
I agree but I have a feeling the numbers aren’t as skewed as we’d like to think.

There’s a reason the lines have been stagnant for 3 months and there was no Ukrainian winter offensive.

After Kherson that was all the talk in November/December.
 
I’m just talking overall military casualty figures. Pretty mum on the Ukrainian front. (For good reason)

Ukraine engages in propaganda as well…every country at war does. I think Ukraine is much better at it than the Russians FWIW.
It is a possibility that Ukraine's figure of Russian KIA are not accurate. Especially if any aspect the success of Ukrainian operations is measured by body count. But the reports of non-personnel Russian losses seem in line with reality, so I tend to believe that the KIA is at least in the ballpark.
 
I’m just talking overall military casualty figures. Pretty mum on the Ukrainian front. (For good reason)

Ukraine engages in propaganda as well…every country at war does. I think Ukraine is much better at it than the Russians FWIW.
I also think that Ukrainian propaganda is far more likely to be boosted by western media than Russian propaganda. Not that I have any problems with that.
 
I also think that Ukrainian propaganda is far more likely to be boosted by western media than Russian propaganda. Not that I have any problems with that.
I think it is the opposite on the nightly news programs-they are parroting Russian claims of advances and believing the numbers of Russian troops they claim to have in the field now. Irritates me :)
 
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