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This might be a little tougher than Putin thought...

Sound like a cruise missile to me!! Or very sophisticated and large jet powered drone (primitive cruise missile lol)



I wonder if the Russian Soldiers running for their lives 300 miles in at a majorly strategic ammo bunker (supposedly able to withstand nuclear strike) are starting to have questions on the three day welcoming parades in Kyiv war.

Might be Putler’s wake up call that Ukraine can now pepper them with their own cruise missiles 300 miles in. Game changer if true give they have such terrible air defense.
 
Sound like a cruise missile to me!! Or very sophisticated and large jet powered drone (primitive cruise missile lol)



I wonder if the Russian Soldiers running for their lives 300 miles in at a majorly strategic ammo bunker (supposedly able to withstand nuclear strike) are starting to have questions on the three day welcoming parades in Kyiv war.

Might be Putler’s wake up call that Ukraine can now pepper them with their own cruise missiles 300 miles in. Game changer if true give they have such terrible air defense.
UK Storm Shadow?
 
At some point in near future there is going to be a military target that gets hit in Moscow. I think it was yesterday where Ukraines allies stated that Ukraine had a good plan to force Russia to the negotiating table, on Ukraines terms. Maybe Ukraine has developed its own long range missiles and knows just where the best targets to hit are located. The latest weapons depo being exhibit A.
 
Maybe a possibility for the attack on the ammo dump that sounded like a jet.


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Ukraine energy grid faces ‘sternest test yet’ over winter after destruction of power plants​


Coming winter ‘sternest test yet’ for Ukraine energy grid, warns IEA​

The coming winter will prove the “sternest test yet” for Ukraine’s energy grid since Russia’s invasion, with numerous power plants destroyed or damaged, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday.

Putting forward a 10-point plan for Ukraine to safeguard its war-battered energy security, the IEA also warned of problems for neighbouring Moldova’s electricity supply after Ukraine stops allowing the transit of Russian gas at the end of 2024, reports Agence France-Presse (AFP).

“Ukraine’s energy system has made it through the past two winters … But this winter will be, by far, its sternest test yet,” IEA executive director Fatih Birol said in a news release accompanying the report.

The report said that in 2022 and 2023 “about half of Ukraine’s power generation capacity was either occupied by Russian forces, destroyed or damaged, and approximately half of the large network substations were damaged by missiles and drones”.

With Ukraine having lost more than two-thirds of its electricity production capacity since the Russian invasion, the report warned of a “yawning gap between available electricity supply and peak demand”.

It urged European countries to expedite deliveries of equipment and parts to rebuild the damaged facilities and called for measures to protect them from drones.

AFP reports that in the summer, when energy needs tend to be lower, Ukraine’s capacity for power generation already fell more than two gigawatts below the peak demand of 12 gigawatts.

As demand for energy to heat homes increases in winter, the IEA predicts that the country’s peak demand could increase to nearly 19 gigawatts.

“Strains that are bearable in the summer months may become unbearable when temperatures start to fall and supplies of heat and water falter,” the report said.

The IEA said that power plants damaged by Russian attacks or occupied by Russian troops, such as the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant, urgently needed replacing or repairing, while the physical and IT security of critical infrastructure needed strengthening.

It also recommended increasing electricity and gas import capacity from the EU, accelerating the decentralisation of electricity production and greater investment in energy efficiency.

It estimated the cost of necessary repairs and upgrades at $30bn.

 
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Ukraine war analyst says Russia keeps surprising him with just how bad its soldiers are: 'The bar is very, very low'​


A Ukraine war analyst told Business Insider that while watching this conflict, he's been continually surprised by how poorly trained Russia's soldiers are. Even when he thinks they can't get any worse, they somehow find a way.

"I find myself being surprised with the new depths of how poor the Russian individual soldier quality is," George Barros, a Russia analyst at the Insitute for the Study of War, a US think tank, said.

Each batch of new recruits gets progressively worse as Russia rushes them off to battle, he said. "It's becoming really difficult for me to see what other additional shortcuts they could take, other than maybe deploying just people unfit for service," such as people with disabilities or who are too old.
"But the bar is very, very low at this point," Barros said.

Captured Russian soldiers, war experts, Ukrainian troops, and Western intelligence have all pointed to Russian troops being poorly trained and treated as disposable throughout the war.

The poor training, coupled with the intensity of the war, has resulted in quick deaths: In October 2022, only one month after Russia announced a mobilization of 300,000 Russian citizens, some of those new soldiers were already dead, having only received days of training before being sent to Ukraine.

US intelligence estimated in December that Russia had lost 87% of the troops it had before the start of its full-scale invasion, meaning it started the new year without the vast majority of its professional army, which had its own problems. It is now largely fighting with a replacement force that's been hastily thrown together.

 
Ukrainian leader has said he wants to present a peace plan to President Biden, and presidential candidates Trump and Harris. What we know on day 939
  • Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump said on Wednesday he would “probably” meet Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, who will be in the US next week to address a meeting of the UN security council on Russia’s war in his country. “Probably, yes,” Trump said in response to a question from a reporter about whether he will meet the Ukrainian leader. Trump did not provide further details. Zelenskiy said in August he wanted to present a peace plan to US President Joe Biden, vice-president Kamala Harris and Trump. While Trump and Zelenskiy talked over the phone in July, they have not talked in person since Trump’s 2017-2021 term.
  • Zelenskiy said on Wednesday that his “Victory Plan”, intended to bring peace to Ukraine while keeping the country strong and avoiding all “frozen conflicts”, was now complete after much consultation. Zelenskiy pledged last month to present his plan to Biden, presumably next week when he is in the US. While providing daily updates on the plan’s preparation, Zelenskiy has given few clues of the contents, indicating only that it aims to create terms acceptable to Ukraine, now locked in conflict with Russia for more than two and a half years.
  • The Biden administration still is not convinced that it should give Ukraine the authority to launch long-range missiles deeper into Russia, and US officials say they are seeking more detailed information about how Kyiv would use the weapons and how they fit into the broader strategy for the war, the Associated Press reported on Wednesday. US officials said they have asked Ukraine to spell out more clearly its combat objectives. The report comes a week after Biden discussed easing restrictions on Ukraine’s use of long-range missiles supplied by the west with British prime minister Keir Starmer.
  • A Ukrainian drone attack on a large Russian weapons depot caused a blast that was picked up by earthquake monitoring stations, in one of the biggest strikes on Moscow’s military arsenal since the war began. Pro-Russian military bloggers said Ukraine struck an arsenal for the storage of missiles, ammunition and explosives in Toropets, a historic town more than 300 miles north of Ukraine and about 230 miles west of Moscow. Videos and images on social media showed a huge ball of flame rising high into the night sky and detonations thundering across a lake, in a region not far from the border with Belarus.
  • The European Union must be quick to increase its defences as Russia may be ready for a confrontation in six to eight years, the nominee to be the EU’s first defence commissioner told Reuters in an interview. Andrius Kubilius, a former prime minister of Lithuania, has been tapped to boost the continent’s arms industry, by getting EU countries to spend more on European weapons and procure jointly – as well as by getting companies themselves to cooperate more across borders. The new post reflects how security has risen to the top of the EU’s political agenda since Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine. “Defence ministers and Nato generals agree that Vladimir Putin could be ready for confrontation with Nato and the EU in six to eight years,” Kubilius, a fierce critic of Russia and a supporter of Ukraine, said on Wednesday.
  • Putin on Wednesday said he had ordered a boost of Russia’s army to 1.5 million active soldiers earlier this week to ensure a well-trained military. The president on Monday signed a decree boosting the number of active troops by 180,000 soldiers – making the Russian army the second largest in the world by active troop size.
  • Russia’s counteroffensive to retake Ukrainian-held territory in the Kursk region has been “stopped”, a spokesperson from Ukraine’s military administration there told AFP on Wednesday, after Moscow said it was beginning to repel the surprise incursion. Russia earlier this month said it had taken back several villages from Ukraine in the region, where Kyiv has held on to swathes of land since its shock offensive began more than a month ago. “They tried to attack from the flanks, but they were stopped there,” spokesperson Oleksiy Dmytrashkivsky from Ukraine’s military administration in Kursk told AFP.
  • The British government on Wednesday said it summoned Russia’s ambassador to condemn what it called Moscow’s “unprecedented and unfounded public campaign of aggression against the UK”. Andrei Kelin was told that Russia’s behaviour, including its “malicious and completely baseless” claims of spying against six British diplomats, contravened the Vienna Convention on diplomatic relations, the foreign ministry said.
  • The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has indefinitely postponed a staff mission to Moscow this week to review the Russian economy for the first time since the invasion of Ukraine, after the move came under heavy criticism from several of Kyiv’s European allies. After revelations in the Guardian of widespread condemnation, the IMF said it would spend more time gathering information for a “rigorous analysis”.

 

Ukraine energy grid faces ‘sternest test yet’ over winter after destruction of power plants​


Coming winter ‘sternest test yet’ for Ukraine energy grid, warns IEA​

The coming winter will prove the “sternest test yet” for Ukraine’s energy grid since Russia’s invasion, with numerous power plants destroyed or damaged, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday.

Putting forward a 10-point plan for Ukraine to safeguard its war-battered energy security, the IEA also warned of problems for neighbouring Moldova’s electricity supply after Ukraine stops allowing the transit of Russian gas at the end of 2024, reports Agence France-Presse (AFP).

“Ukraine’s energy system has made it through the past two winters … But this winter will be, by far, its sternest test yet,” IEA executive director Fatih Birol said in a news release accompanying the report.

The report said that in 2022 and 2023 “about half of Ukraine’s power generation capacity was either occupied by Russian forces, destroyed or damaged, and approximately half of the large network substations were damaged by missiles and drones”.

With Ukraine having lost more than two-thirds of its electricity production capacity since the Russian invasion, the report warned of a “yawning gap between available electricity supply and peak demand”.

It urged European countries to expedite deliveries of equipment and parts to rebuild the damaged facilities and called for measures to protect them from drones.

AFP reports that in the summer, when energy needs tend to be lower, Ukraine’s capacity for power generation already fell more than two gigawatts below the peak demand of 12 gigawatts.

As demand for energy to heat homes increases in winter, the IEA predicts that the country’s peak demand could increase to nearly 19 gigawatts.

“Strains that are bearable in the summer months may become unbearable when temperatures start to fall and supplies of heat and water falter,” the report said.

The IEA said that power plants damaged by Russian attacks or occupied by Russian troops, such as the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant, urgently needed replacing or repairing, while the physical and IT security of critical infrastructure needed strengthening.

It also recommended increasing electricity and gas import capacity from the EU, accelerating the decentralisation of electricity production and greater investment in energy efficiency.

It estimated the cost of necessary repairs and upgrades at $30bn.

It gets cold in Russia, too. Ukraine is exhibiting the ability to hit targets deep inside of Russia, so, they can turn out the lights in Moscow if pushed to it.
 
I feel like there is a 0.0% chance the U.S. signs on to any changes that eliminate the veto.

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Yeah, the US fears Putin and his nukes too much to allow him to be provoked in this way. Nuclear powers are hard to discipline.
 
"To a large degree the Russians have been able to control the strategic discourse, setting up for us new rules in war, which have never existed before. Like for example, that when you invade another country, the entire war should take place on the territory of the country that was invaded... It's completely absurd and yet somehow it's accepted in the United States as normal"

I think it's It's about keeping that proxy status to the war.

How do we think Johnson or Nixon would have reacted if the Soviets gave North Vietnam rockets to hit targets in America?

Would people really just shrug and say, 'that's what we get for bombing North Vietnam, they're allowed to hit back."

I think we would have viewed that as the Soviets attacking us via a proxy.

Would we have just sucked it up?
 
I think it's It's about keeping that proxy status to the war.

How do we think Johnson or Nixon would have reacted if the Soviets gave North Vietnam rockets to hit targets in America?

Would people really just shrug and say, 'that's what we get for bombing North Vietnam, they're allowed to hit back."

I think we would have viewed that as the Soviets attacking us via a proxy.

Would we have just sucked it up?
Definitely a different situation now since Russia also has the whole of Europe against them (minus one or two obvious idiots). And a couple in Europe that are actually itching to open this up further.
 
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Definitely a different situation now since Russia also has the whole of Europe against them (minus one or two obvious idiots). And a couple in Europe that are actually itching to open this up further.

Who in Europe do you think wants a wider war?
 
Who in Europe do you think wants a wider war?
Some of the Baltic States and Poland have hinted that they will not allow Ukraine to lose. Denmark even gave Ukraine all of its artillery, showing that they are all in.
 
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Some of the Baltic States and Poland have hinted that they will not allow Ukraine to lose.

Baltic States don’t really have much in the way of military.
Poland does, but I don’t think they’ll step out of NATO’s umbrella to start a war with Russia.

April 10, 2024
New research by Statistics Poland (CBOS) found that 74.8% of Poles oppose the army of Poland or any other NATO country getting involved in the conflict, with only 10.2% favouring such support.

Denmark even gave Ukraine all of its artillery, showing that they are all in.

My understanding is that referred to all (19) of their Caesar 155mm SPGs.
 
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