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This might be a little tougher than Putin thought...

At nearly 650k casualties, that has to be a generation of men gone in just 2.5 years. That's a huge price to pay for Putin's ego.
It's not just that, it's also the 1 million+ men that fled the country to avoid the draft. And the longer the war goes on and the threat of broader conscription increases, the less likely it is they will ever go back as they put down roots and develop relationships in their new homes.
 
One of these days this may happen...



Ukraine should definitely use Odessa as a staging area. Putin still has ambitions to capture Odessa as a functioning port, so will be reluctant to risk the parts he cares about.

How long that remains a good strategy is anyone's guess, but Ukraine needs to score heavily before winter, and in anticipation of a possible Trump win.
 




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Wow. That's a huge contribution.

Are we reimbursing Australia for that or replacing them with newer models (as we've been doing with some European donors)?
More, newer Abrams tanks but do not know if we are helping financially too.

"In 2022 the Morrison government finalised a $3.5 billion order for 75 of the more modern M1A2 Abrams, which are expected to enter service next year, with defence sources confirming 27 of the new fleet have now been delivered to Australia.Sep 12, 2024"

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-09...de-battle-tank-goes-on-display-army/104346024
 
More, newer Abrams tanks but do not know if we are helping financially too.

"In 2022 the Morrison government finalised a $3.5 billion order for 75 of the more modern M1A2 Abrams, which are expected to enter service next year, with defence sources confirming 27 of the new fleet have now been delivered to Australia.Sep 12, 2024"

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-09...de-battle-tank-goes-on-display-army/104346024
Thanks. I don't know either if we're subsidizing the replacement tanks, but that's where I'd put my bet.

Ziggy tells me the tanks are made in Lima, Ohio. A shame that a red state that will support Trump - who won't even say he wants Ukraine to win - is getting the profit from this transaction.
 
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That was interesting, but also kind of weird that they would burn a HIMARS on something spitting distance away.

I guess maybe that was what they had available, but it seems like overkill - and now they don't have it to kill something far away.
And they may have just said it was HIMARS if they did not know. It is still the "cool" weapon system :)
 
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FWIW



Related and probably posted earlier - fascinating.

"Leonid Tymchenko spent the first month of Russia’s invasion sitting in his dark government office after curfew. Unable to go home, Ukraine's Deputy Minister of Internal Affairs scrolled through Telegram, looking at thousands of videos and images of advancing Russian soldiers. When Tymchenko was offered a chance to test a new facial-recognition tool, he uploaded some of the photos to try it out.

He could not believe the results. Every time Tymchenko added a photo of a Russian soldier, the software, made by the American facial-recognition company Clearview AI, seemed to come back with an exact hit, linking to pages that revealed the soldier’s name, hometown, and social-media profile. Even when he uploaded grainy photos of dead soldiers, some with their eyes closed or their faces partially burned, the software was often able to identify the person. "Every day we identified hundreds of Russians who came to Ukraine with weapons,” Tymchenko tells TIME in a video interview from his office in Kyiv."

 
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