Thunderstorms this evening in E IA

[Colonoscopy]

Probably below severe limits. Could be some good sized hail potentially.



...Eastern IA/northern IL tonight...
A modifying Gulf of Mexico air mass is returning northward into the
southern Plains, to the east of the lee cyclone in western KS. Some
increase in low-level moisture in a zone of low-level warm
advection, beneath midlevel lapse rates near 7.5 C/km, will support
elevated thunderstorm development early tonight over eastern IA and
storms will subsequently spread eastward over northern IL
(immediately in advance of the weak surface cyclone and ejecting
midlevel speed max). MUCAPE near 1000 J/kg, relatively cool
midlevel temperatures (near -18 C at 500 mb) and modest hodograph
length/curvature may support some low-end/elevated supercells
capable of producing isolated large hail of 1-1.5 inches in diameter
before storm coverage increases and storm intensity decreases late
tonight.

 

[millah_22]

You should do a poll.

Do you think it will be extreme? Leans Left
Do you think it will not be extreme? Leans Right
Do you think it will be a bust? Leans Left
DO you think it will be a bust? Leans Right

 

[Colonoscopy]

Also. Wildfire smoke from Oklahoma is making it's way up here and lowering air quality.

 

[Colonoscopy]

 

[Old_wrestling_fan]

What? Big hail possible?? I am picking up a new truck this afternoon...I suppose I should drive it straight to a garage!

 

[Colonoscopy]

What? Big hail possible?? I am picking up a new truck this afternoon...I suppose I should drive it straight to a garage!

Yeah. Up to 1.5 inches. Not predicting giant hail. But I'd watch it. Around 7pm storms could start firing. Go till midnight perhaps.

 

[Ree4]

You should do a poll.

Do you think it will be extreme? Leans Left
Do you think it will not be extreme? Leans Right
Do you think it will be a bust? Leans Left
DO you think it will be a bust? Leans Right

Pretty sure that all right leaning storms are extreme these days, they have the gall to call themselves moderate, LOL!

 

[bagdropper]

Meh...we'll see. The way things have been going for eastern Iowa, it'll no doubt juuuuuust begin firing up over EIA then exit quickly and go boom over NW Illinois.

We'll get sprinkles (yet again), they'll get the drought busters we badly need. Hell, I was stunned we (CR) got that half inch earlier this week...thought for sure we were going to get shut out yet again while just about everybody in Iowa gets an inch or more.

 

[Colonoscopy]

Severe warning for Q area for storm with 1inch hail

 

[Bank of Hawk]

Sounds like some areas are getting butt screwed with large hail

 

[bagdropper]

Yeah. CR Airport official NWS site, exactly 0.0 of rain out of the storm. Because OF COURSE we didn't get any rain.

Heard a few rumbles of thunder, couple of them even shook the house. But looking outside just now, pavement is dry.

 

[lonestar50]

Yeah. CR Airport official NWS site, exactly 0.0 of rain out of the storm. Because OF COURSE we didn't get any rain.

Heard a few rumbles of thunder, couple of them even shook the house. But looking outside just now, pavement is dry.

I could hear small hail hitting the house on the north side of CR so I know we got something but like you pavements were pretty much dry at 6:30