You can take all the polls you want but if people dont vote, people who say they back you dont go vote, you are going to lose. The polls are useless and I generally ignore them.
My thoughts are a lot of people who voted for Biden and more that said they were going to vote Dem this time sat it out because 1) she is a woman, 2) she is black and 3) they think that the inevitable jump in inflation caused by pouring $4 trillion in covid money into people's pockets alond with supply chain issues driving up prices were Joe Biden and the Dems' fault.
Inflation was inevitable after covid because of huge increas in demand and lower supplies and no one as president in 2021 could have stopped it short of quick high interest rates which would have caused a RECESSION. Trump if elected in 2020 would have had the same big inflation pressures.
But getting back to the low turnout, hispanic men broke more for Trump but that didnt cause his win. Trump also had about 5 million fewer votes.
We have a stupid, lazy electorate who wont vote when it is so easy to vote. They will mail you a ballot that you can fill out in your kitchen and mail back. So easy.
Well, the Founding Fathers (yeah they were not perfect by a long shot- Read "Hamilton's Scheme" if you want to find out how greedy they were) said the citizenry needed to be smart to elect the right people but they didnt mention energetic. It turns out our voting age citizens are LAZY AND FULL OF APATHY.